CS_F2012_11

Codes and Standards Fall 2012 Session · 8 sections 8 cases · Watch on YouTube ↗ all files
Layer 3 — readable edition

§1. Standards selection for the module presentations [00:03]

§1.p1

Anybody have any questions? I think everybody in here has told me which modules you want to do, but I also like to know what standard you're going to do your presentation on sometime in the next week or so. If you need to come sit down and talk to me about it, I'd like to know, because I don't want someone taking a big broad standard that's going to be too broad. I'd like you to take a simple standard. The student who did the bayonet blades, that was fine, that standard was fine. But other things — I don't want you to do the whole structural welding code, or the pressure vessel code. In 10 minutes how could you cover something that's thirty-two volumes, in terms of how it evolved, what it covers, does it have force of law, what other codes does it call out? A 32-volume code calls out thousands of other things. A simple little code like a code for making a piece of steel pipe — like an A53, this is welded pipe — that's manageable. It might call out another 20 standards. The problem is those other 20 standards are going to call out another 15 or 20 standards each, and so things start multiplying until they start converging eventually. No other questions?

§2. Why tractor-trailer frames are bolted, not welded [01:36]

§2.p1

A couple of things Dr. Belmar talked about. He mentioned just in passing about this trailer that he designed, and the fact that in other locations he didn't have to worry about the welds because he uses bolts. It turns out using bolts is actually required by certain standards if you're doing the big semi trailers that go down the highway. They require that you not weld on the frame. If this is your truck — not a very good truck — and you've got the trailer here, there are two frame rails. They're C-shaped pieces of steel. If you look at the back of the tractor that's going to be pulling the trailer, there'll be two frame rails. They're just formed pieces of steel. They might be half- to three-quarter-inch-thick steel. It's pretty heavy steel.

§2.p2

There are load limits on the highways because they don't want to destroy all the asphalt roads. The one place I'd say has really heavy loads is in Michigan. You've seen those 48-wheeler tractor trailers? Because it's the big automotive area, they will put on four or five rolls of sheet steel, which is probably 150 tons on one trailer, and they will distribute the load. If you count it up it's like 46 or 48 wheels on this tractor trailer. Most of the tractor trailers you and I know in Massachusetts or Connecticut or New York or Pennsylvania are 18-wheelers. Some of these things in Michigan — I've never seen them anywhere else except Michigan — are 46 or 48 wheelers.

§2.p3

Anyway, you want to reduce the weight, and so they actually use a high-strength steel, 100 ksi strength steel. You can weld 100 ksi strength steel, but the fatigue strength is terrible. I cover this somewhere in one of the joining courses — you don't get a significant increase in fatigue strength even though you're using higher strength steel. You tend to get the same fatigue strength as if it was lower strength steel. So this is clearly a fatigue-loaded situation, with the weight of the thing bouncing up against the frame rails. They will have punched-out holes in these things, and they will bolt to them. The reason they don't have welds is because historically people have found that fatigue cracks start and don't get noticed, and all of a sudden the trailer is going down the highway and it breaks in two. Not a good day.

§2.p4

It turns out the welds are actually stronger than the bolts on average. If we look at a strength probability plot, a bolt has a fairly well defined average strength, but a weld may have a higher mean strength. However, the minimum strength of the weld — because welds tend to have more defects — is lower than the cutoff for the bolt. So in a sense the bolts have less variability even though they have less strength. You can predict statistically the capacity of the bolts better than you can the weld.

§2.p5

So there are codes for designing tractor-trailers that don't allow you to weld, and most of those have been adopted by states that have the force of law. The states don't care until they actually have some trailer fatigue on the highway, spin out, kill somebody or tie up traffic for four hours, and then the state police get involved, they start investigating, figure out the reason, and they will then incorporate that somehow into some legal requirement. But that was just an example as he mentioned it. He was designing this trailer for his farm up in Canada, and he kind of knew to use bolts. It is sort of intuitive. If you have to have a certain level of strength you can use welds, like pressure vessels. You don't want to bolt together a pressure vessel — big thick pressure vessels, if it's thick you couldn't even build them if you didn't weld them. But you're going to spend as much on quality control of non-destructive testing as you do on fabrication making the welds. Whereas on a trailer, who's going to spend all that money? You going to take it out and have the welds x-rayed, or magnetic particle tested? No, you're just going to make it.

§3. Slugged welds: the Nova Scotia sailboat trailer [08:27]

§3.p1

In fact I always call them horse trailer welders. There's a significant number of people in the world who learned to weld growing up on the farm, and they know how to weld but they don't know the science behind the welding. Every now and then they do something stupid. One of my favorite stories is a guy brought a weld to me once, and it was from a trailer he'd made up in Nova Scotia. You've got the A-frame — the hitch right here, and here's the frame — and right in the corner they made a weld. They basically cut and formed the angle iron or the C-channel, and they had a gap in there. So they threw a bolt in there to fill the gap, and they welded over the bolt. That's actually known as slugging a weld.

§3.p2

It was very common in World War Two when they tried to build Liberty ships and stuff. Not necessarily Liberty ships but on battleships and stuff — when you're welding 16-inch-thick armor plate it's really dull putting 600 passes into the same little section of weld. People get a little break, they might take a piece of pipe, or they may take a bunch of welding electrodes themselves, and they just throw them in the big groove, and they weld over them. No one could find it because they're buried between several inches of steel in this old armor plate. But it did weaken the whole thing. It's like making perforated steel.

§3.p3

Slugged welds were always something we used to joke about, because it went out after World War Two when people started seeing this. No one would ever select a weld with a bolt in it. I had never seen a slugged weld. They brought me this piece of a trailer, and the story is: this person had bought the trailer in Nova Scotia from a farmer who built it for him. It was a trailer for their 40-foot sailboat. They drove from Nova Scotia with their sailboat all the way down to Newport, Rhode Island for the races, and they had won the race. They were coming back up — it's Route 24, an interstate-like highway just south of Boston here — cruising along about 55 or 60 miles an hour with their trailer behind them, and they hear a bang. They slow down and put their brakes on, and there's a sailboat just passing them on the highway. The weld broke. The trailer let go. All of a sudden you had a freewheeling trailer and a 40-foot sailboat, and it crashed and destroyed the sailboat. They brought me the weld and said, what's wrong with this? They wanted to go back to the farmer who had welded up the trailer and complain to him. It wasn't hard — you saw about a three-quarter-inch bolt that had been put in there and just little welds put on top of it. It was not a fully welded joint. That's the only time I've ever seen slugging a weld. You sometimes look at this level of engineering and wonder about it.

§4. Load paths: the jet engine removal bolt [12:17]

§4.p1

So far as that level of engineering, another bolted thing — we found this the other day when we were cleaning out some junk downstairs in the basement. [Tom produces a small hardened-steel bolt assembly.] We called this Tron air in the old days. This little bolt is part of a system to take a jet engine off the airplane wing. You have a sort of roll-up dolly that's about 15 feet tall, you roll it up to the wing, you put this bolt into the hanger for the thing that holds the turbine engine on the wing, and you torque it down. You torque it on this side, then you torque on this side, and then you pull it out. You release the bolts that held it on the wing, and now you have the jet engine that you can work on as a mechanic.

§4.p2

The guy who designed this designed the centerpiece with flats on it. [Tom passes the bolt around.] You could grab this thing with a pair of pliers, and if you grabbed it here you could torque this to the proper torque for this size bolt. This is a hardened steel bolt — probably a two-hundred-dollar bolt, very specialized. The other side had a different size thread, and you were supposed to grab it here and torque here. Well, they actually torqued it without bothering to grab the center; they held it with the nut here and they torqued there. Look — the two of them are different diameters. It turns out the proper torque for this is just enough to start a crack in this.

§4.p3

So you have to worry about the load path. If the load path was only from here to here and there's no stress on this when you're doing the torque of the large-diameter, what's the problem? However, if your load path ignores this little shoulder and you don't grab it and keep it restrained, now your load path goes all the way through to the other nut, and all of a sudden you over-torque this thing. So in hindsight, after they dropped an engine on the tarmac — and it costs about five million dollars, engines are not cheap — they looked at it and said, not a good design. Simple little things, load path problems.

§5. The hierarchy of design: conceptual, architectural, detailed [15:06]

§5.p1

One of the things I want to talk about today — we've talked about measurement and codes and standards — I wanted to talk about design and the types of design. We often talk at the university about how you're supposed to have a capstone design course as an undergraduate, where you can show your creative energy. One of the things I wanted to do in this course was to point out to you that your creative energy is limited by codes and standards. You're not free to just go out and do whatever you want. Good manufacturing practice tells you that you should follow the experience of other people who have learned through sad experience with other failures that have caused a lot of property damage.

§5.p2

Design is actually a complex process. People teach whole courses on it, and there are different levels of design. In different businesses you might come up with different lists, but if you were building a bridge or a building you usually start out with what we call the conceptual design. The concept is: we're going to have a bridge across the Charles River. If you look at the Mass Ave Bridge, it's going to have walkways on either side with a certain type of railing, it's going to be low to the ground, it wouldn't have domes, and it's going to be made out of steel. If you look at the Longfellow Bridge, built a few years earlier, it's all made out of stone and has the salt-and-pepper-shaker columns. That's the conceptual design. Could be something as simple as someone sketching it out on the back of an envelope — this is what I want my bridge to look like, or my building to look like, pyramidal shaped rather than box shaped.

§5.p3

[Tom crumples up four sheets of paper and tosses them on the desk.] This is a conceptual design right here. Anyone who hasn't heard this story before — does anyone know what that is the conceptual design for? You know the Stata Center, the building over here that has all the weird shapes. I know this story for a fact because Vicki Sirianni, an architect who was head of MIT physical plant, and her team were about to build the Stata Center, and they hired Frank Gehry, one of the world's renowned architects. I happened to meet with her the morning after she got back from Los Angeles meeting with Gehry in his office. She was in the conference room with some of the other people, and Gehry walks in and starts crumpling up paper, and he throws it on the table and says, that's what your new building's going to look like. So there's the conceptual design of the monstrosity we call the Stata Center: crumpled paper.

§5.p4

There are all kinds of levels of conceptual design, and if you're one of the world's renowned architects you can just throw out the biggest piece of crap in the world and call it a conceptual design. You leave it for your underlings to work out the architectural design. The concept was: we were going to build this 400-million-dollar building. Actually it was supposed to be 115 million — that's another story, but it went over budget a little, came in at 430 million. They froze everybody's salary at MIT for two years, because they were so far in the hole after going over budget by a factor of nearly four.

§5.p5

Today conceptual designs are often done on a CAD system. You get a nice little rendering in 3D that you can rotate, and it might show you where the windows are in a building and the entrance and some of the sculpting around doors. But it doesn't give you a lot of detail. What does the architectural design involve? You're a civil engineer, Steve.

§5.p6

The architect tells you how many square feet it's going to be, where the rooms are located inside the building. Gehry didn't have to worry about where the rooms are. He didn't have to worry about the details of the design. You walk in the lobby of the Stata Center, most expensive building on campus by far — what do we have in the lobby? Concrete block walls and concrete floors. Everything's sort of catawampus. Nothing has square corners. It's crumpled paper. A whole team of architects was approached by MIT, 40 or 50 million dollars for their time, worried about what the shapes were, where they were going to put the doors and the windows, and which windows are on a sloping wall so they have to have an extra frame to be vertical windows on a sloping wall. The thing's a monstrosity. Some people love it; it's sort of like politics. Some of us think the Stata Center is a disaster.

§5.p7

So the architectural design goes to things about where the doors are going to be, restrooms over here, big lecture hall there. These are the pieces of the Lego system that are going to build up the whole three-dimensional object of crumpled paper. What's the detailed design? Come on, you've worked on detailed designs.

§5.p8

Those are the engineering drawings, rather than architectural drawings which show you the layout. Using the architectural layout of a home, it says we have a master bedroom here, family room over here, fireplace here. The detailed design actually starts telling people where you're going to have two-by-sixes, where you're going to have two-by-fours, whether you're going to have a steel beam to hold up some cantilever. That's the detailed design, where engineers — not architects but engineers — are actually doing calculations on the stresses on beams. There's often two sets of detailed designs on a complex building. Sometimes, rather than detailed designs, they call it shop drawings. Anybody know what a shop drawing is?

§6. Shop drawings, erection drawings, and as-built drawings [23:03]

§6.p1

So the detailed design — the civil engineer says we need a 2x6 here, two-by-fours over here to hold up the floor, a fabricated joist to hold up the ceiling. He doesn't tell you how to build it. He might tell you it's going to be made out of wood because he had to figure out the strength based on wood or steel, but he doesn't worry about things like how do you join it together. If it's a wooden beam and you've got the A-frame of a roof, how do they join it? They used to use nails. If you go back far enough they used wooden pegs. The finest construction is with wooden pegs, but 400 years ago they used wooden pegs because nails were too expensive. Nails got to be cheap with the coming of Andrew Carnegie and steel becoming cheaper, and they quit using wooden pegs, which are very labor-intensive, and started using nails.

§6.p2

They don't use nails nowadays when they make up one of those flat roof trusses. What do they use? Punched metal plates. They take a piece of galvanized steel, they punch it so they make little triangular cutouts, and the pointed triangle is sticking through. You may have 50 of these things or a hundred of them, and just put it on the joint. If you've got a 2x6 running this way and a 2x6 this way, you put one of these galvanized plates with all these punch marks in it, lay it on, and the guy pounds it down with a mallet. All these little nails — which are just punches of the sheet metal — go in there, spread out nice and uniformly. Great distribution of stresses compared to toe-nailing at some angle. Labor savings. All done in the shop. He laid this out on a great big table flat, put it on a truck and takes it to the site, crane drops it in place.

§6.p3

Which gets you to the next thing, the erection drawings. I've been driving in down Broadway and coming across on Galileo Galilei, by the Whitehead Institute. Somewhere behind the Whitehead Institute they're building a new building, and they've got some really big steel beams. Three-inch-thick flanges, four-inch-high webs. They could store M1 tanks in whatever they're building. Really heavy stuff. There's nowhere to bring all these things at once to the building site. So you've got a logistical problem. If you were building this out in the middle of Kansas in some field, you'd have what they call a laydown yard, and it doesn't matter.

§6.p4

The fabrication shop that does the shop drawings tells you what welds to put where. The detailed drawings may tell you what shape beam or what shape steel, but the shop drawings will say put a half-inch fillet weld here, continuous or intermittent. Lots of details on a shop drawing that tells the guy out there in the shop where to put the welds and what size pieces are going to put together to make up these beams. Over here at the Whitehead site, in the erection they have to keep track of every beam, and they can't store all the beams in a field. When I drive in, there's usually two or three trucks parked there right beside the Whitehead Institute with these huge beams on them, ready to unload. It's a huge logistical problem of making sure the right beam arrives at the correct time, because you have no storage space. Once it gets there, it's just-in-time erection. They have bolting plates and they bolt them together in the field, they may weld in the field, and they're supposed to build in a particular way. But they don't always build it the particular way, just because the erection drawing says so, or the architectural drawing says so. Sometimes for some reason there's a change.

§6.p5

And you don't always see this in a job — this could be building a nuclear submarine as opposed to a building, building anything — they will go in afterwards and have an architect or engineer do a whole new set of drawings called the as-built drawings. How did we actually build it as opposed to how we thought we were going to build it? That's in case later you need to get in there and do something. People have found that when they're doing repairs and they go back to the original drawings, and they come up with the correction based on the original drawings, then they get down in the bottom of the ocean on an oil rig and they find out — oh, they didn't build it that way. Just because we have the drawings, that's not the way it was really built. And everything they just spent a million dollars putting together doesn't fit, because it wasn't built the way the drawing said. So many times you have a set of as-built drawings.

§6.p6

There's a whole hierarchy in the design process. A design is not someone sitting down and laying out the final set of drawings. In building something like a nuclear submarine or a new Boeing jet, you can spend a billion dollars just doing the drawings. In Course 2N, which used to be Course 13, they had a whole group of people for shipbuilding 10 or 15 years ago, when computers and CAD designs were getting more sophisticated and more powerful, so that they could have a virtual walkthrough in a building or a nuclear submarine — where you're going to put the piping, the ductwork, where the electrical cables are going to go. In the past on a nuclear submarine you'd have some guy designing the electrical cables and he puts them right in the middle of the ductwork, because the guy designing the ductwork is putting it where he wants it and doesn't worry about the electrical cables. You get down in the middle of the ship at the shipyard and the guys say, this is impossible, I can't build it. That's why they would modify it on site, and it would double the cost of a ship.

§6.p7

The 777, I think, was the first Boeing aircraft designed entirely on the computer. The original 737 design was a huge number of drawings. They had rooms full of draftsmen just sitting there making drawings for this aircraft, the old 737 back in the '70s, and they got updated, and they had to have a library of what's the latest drawing. I've been to Bell Helicopter — you ask, can I see the drawing on this? They have to go through a library going back 30 years to figure out what drawing applied at the time when this helicopter was built, because the drawings change over time. It's not a constant thing. The drawings for automobiles are horrendous in their complexity — the contours and shapes. You like the nice aerodynamic design of an automobile? The drawings on that make it very difficult to do.

§6.p8

In any case, having a huge database where you can check — and this was one of the mathematical problems in CAD designs — to see if you're putting the electrical cable or the drainage pipe through the air duct. Because you don't really want big holes in your air ducts, they don't work so well. You don't want electrical cables going through your sewer pipes, but that's what they would have. One of the mathematical things was for the computer to find where things were intersecting when they shouldn't have been. That's not necessarily the easiest problem. It's sort of standard practice today, but 10 or 15 years ago it was not standard practice. Today most complex detailed designs are done in a CAD system. You still have a whole group of draftsmen, but they are computer draftsmen, IT engineers more so than the guys with pen and paper.

§6.p9

Student: [Inaudible — apparently asks about data volumes, "terabytes."]

§6.p10

Yeah, terabytes. They used to say that the paperwork — and this is not the drawings, this is just the quality control paperwork that occurred during building of a 747 — the paper weighed more than the 747, and had to be stored forever, until that aircraft went out of service 20 or 30 years later. Now it's all stored on some disk somewhere in digital form. So there really has been a revolution in manufacturing — from aircraft to nuclear submarines to automobiles. There's a whole set of standards on how to do that, that have developed over the last 15 or 20 years.

§7. The Hyatt Regency walkway collapse [34:08]

§7.p1

Let me give you an example of an as-built that didn't quite do it the way and caused a serious problem. This is the Hyatt Regency Hotel in Kansas City, July seventeenth, 1981. People who have been to Hyatt hotels know they have these big tall atriums. I lived in Atlanta, Georgia as a teenager, I think when they built the Hyatt Regency Atlanta, which was the first big Hyatt Regency with a big atrium. That building is still there; they built a bigger Hyatt right next to it. The old one was only 40 stories tall, the new one's like 60 stories tall, but people still go to the old one to commit suicide. They go jumping off the balconies, and so you're sitting there eating your breakfast at the restaurant on the atrium floor, and all of a sudden someone comes splat right next to you. Doesn't happen that often, but I remember as a teenager — I moved from Atlanta when I was 13 or 14 — I remember in the newspapers, this big 40-story atrium was the selling point for the Hyatt Regency. Everybody in Atlanta had to go see this atrium. Then about six months later people started using it as a place to kill themselves.

§7.p2

Nonetheless the Hyatt still likes to build atriums. If you go to Hyatt San Francisco, big atrium. They built one in Kansas City, and they decided to have walkways going across the big atrium. You had this ring of balconies outside the rooms, and they decided in Kansas City that they were going to have walkways that might take you from the 10th floor down to the 8th floor, and you could cut across 180 degrees across the atrium. So they had a series of these at different angles — sort of artwork up there. On July seventeenth 1981, it was a Friday night, they were having a party. There was a big band and the whole atrium was just a huge party scene. There were a bunch of people on the cantilevered walkways going across the atrium, 10, 15, 20 stories in the air, dancing to the music, soft on their feet. All of a sudden these walkways started to collapse. 114 people died and over 200 were injured.

§7.p3

The Kansas City Star won a Pulitzer Prize for tracking down what really happened in the design. This comes right out of the Petroski book To Engineer is Human, which he wrote in 1982 — updated 1986–87. Some of this was still in litigation. What happened was: the architect who had designed it decided they were going to have a hanger rod. I don't remember if this is three-quarter inch or 1-inch steel rod. A one-inch steel rod might hold 50 tons in theory, and if you put a safety factor on it — this might have been a building safety factor. If they used the structural welding code, they wouldn't, because it wasn't welded, but they might have used a safety factor of 1.67 for the steel. It should have been a factor of 2 because it's dynamically loaded. This is not just a static building, this is something that could be swinging out there in the atrium, so it's fatigue loaded. The detail design basically showed a rod that had two C-channels that had been welded together. The rod would go through here and have a nut on the bottom that would hold the C-channel that held the walkway, and there are a number of these rods hanging down.

§7.p4

The only problem is, this was supposed to be a solid rod, it wasn't a threaded rod. How do you get the nut on? You could have threaded it 15 feet down to the next walkway, but who wants to sit there and turn the nut for 15 feet to get it at the right position? No one had ever stopped to think about a shop drawing or an erection drawing of how you're actually going to make this. So in the field they said, I can't make this, what idiot designed this? They decided they would just fix the problem: have two rods, one rod hanging down with a nut up here and another rod coming through here, the nut on the bottom. Solves the problem, they can erect this. That was the as-built — different from the design.

§7.p5

It turns out, in the management of this whole stream of design, anybody who makes a change down here has to submit it to the people up here to have them sign off on it. In a big complex building like this there are thousands of changes, and they have to be signed off. Frankly, if you've ever been involved in one of these things, people will go, you've got to get it built, and you make the change that day, you submit the drawing, and it gets approved three weeks later by the architect. Under the law, the architect in most states has to be a registered architect, and the engineer — the engineer of record — who is responsible for the detailed design. You've got an architect for the architectural design, and an engineer responsible for the detailed design. He could have a hundred engineers underneath him, but he has to be a professional engineer, licensed by the state, and he puts his seal on there to say he has checked it and knows this design has been calculated and it's good, that it has enough strength.

§7.p6

It either got done late or people just missed it among the thousands of details that were coming in for changes, or the person had no experience. I'm not sure they ever figured out exactly what happened. Certainly no one was coming forward saying I did it, after 114 people died. But here's what happens to the load path: the original design was going straight through the steel rod here. In the as-built, the load path goes through the rod, takes a dogleg over, and then comes down through the other rod. As Petroski says, think about it. If you had two people hanging from a rope, that's interesting. You've got a rope, a person up here hanging from the rope, and another person hanging from the rope down here. All you have to have is a rope that can bear the weight of two people. But if you had a rope coming down with a person on it, and then you tied a rope to this guy's leg and another person was on that — it turns out this person's leg becomes the weak link. The rope is still bearing the same weight, but this person's leg becomes the weak link. That's exactly what happened. The weak link was between those two bolts in the staggered system, and that basically sheared rather than a straight tensile pull. You changed the entire load system with that small little change. The guys erecting it didn't think it's a big deal; they figured I can make this, I couldn't make the other, whoever designed this, it's impossible.

§7.p7

There are lots of design foibles. The 1978 Chevy Vega — they build the whole engine and they put the engine into the frame of the vehicle, and it turns out when you needed to change the spark plugs on a Chevy Vega you had to remove the engine, because some of the other components were blocking it. It was impossible to get a wrench in to remove the spark plug. In the plan it was no problem, the spark plugs were already in the engine when they put it in the vehicle, but no one ever bothered to check, could you ever service that engine. So there are little details that you have to worry about, the whole system going forward.

§8. The Ford Taurus air conditioner and the GM van [43:38]

§8.p1

The Hyatt Regency as-built was not like the as-designed, and there was all kinds of finger-pointing. Another story out of automotive that I ran into: in '90 or '91 I bought a Ford Taurus. I bought it in February. Never turn the air conditioner on in February for whatever reason. Come May, I turn the air conditioner on one day, doesn't work. Brand new car — well, not brand new anymore, four months old, but still under warranty. So I take it to the dealership, they said, oh we don't have the parts to fix it. Fine, give me a new vehicle, I don't care. Because under the Massachusetts lemon law, all I have to do is bring it in three times to have them fix it, and if they can't fix it within three days then I can get a brand new car.

§8.p2

I did that to General Motors once in 1985 and got them to buy back my car. It was a van, and had a sliding side door, and the door fell off five times. One time I had them come tow it out of my driveway because I didn't want to drive it over to the dealership — the door was just hanging by sheet metal. I was trying not to go lemon law on them, but the owner of the dealership wrote a nasty letter to me telling me it was my fault. I said, okay, I could have done lemon law after three, now it's five. Here's my lemon-law demand. General Motors came in and said, what do you want? Us to fix it, give you a brand new vehicle? I said I just wanted a van, I wanted to go on vacation with my family that summer, in two months. They said, we have this executive vehicle — you know the one that they let their people drive for 5,000 miles and give you a discount? We'll give you another one as soon as this is available. It was supposed to show up in three weeks. Well, they called me up and they said, sorry, the executive hasn't finished with it, we'd rather give you a check instead. I said, well I really wanted something to go on vacation. They gave me a check, I went out and I bought another vehicle at another dealership.

§8.p3

The problem with the Taurus was that they had a problem with all their air conditioners. They came up with a wonderful design that had just one sliding shuttle going back and forth — air conditioner, you've got a compressor to compress the freon and then expand it, and they had this simplified design. But it had very tight tolerances on the shuttle going back and forth, because it didn't have the same types of seals that were in most air conditioners of prior design. The engineers who had conceived this decided, well, when we machine this we're going to have the proper fixturing so that when we clamp this thing and then machine it and then unclamp it, we don't lose some of our tolerances. Makes sense. So they sent this out for prototype development, had the drawings, showed not only how to machine it and the dimensions, but also how to build the fixture to clamp it during machining. They got the part back, tested it, works great. They decided to build a hundred-million-dollar facility to make these air conditioner compressors for the early '90s Ford Taurus.

§8.p4

I happened to buy one of these early version air conditioners, which turns out didn't work. Ford had been learning, because there were probably people who bought it in February in Arizona who were turning theirs on in March, that it wasn't working. They were trying to figure out why, and they went to this machinist who'd done the prototype clamping and said, did you clamp it this way? "Oh no, I knew that wouldn't work, I built my own clamping arrangement." So he designed the clamping arrangement that worked, but they didn't know that. They didn't know the as-built of the prototype. They built a hundred-million-dollar facility with tens of thousands if not hundreds of thousands of dollars of clamping fixtures that were wrong — that this machinist knew better. They had to retool their whole line to put in the proper clamping so they could get the tolerances they needed on the machining to make the air conditioners work.

§8.p5

In my case, by the time I found out in May that my air conditioner wasn't working, they were way behind, and all their production of the rapid improvement of their screwed-up stuff was going to production models, because they can't sell a vehicle in May in most parts of the country that doesn't have air conditioning. Maybe on the North Slope of Alaska, but not in the continental United States. Everybody wants an air conditioner. So I come in for repair, they say, well, we don't have anything, will be in July. That's it, give me a new vehicle. They said, well, we can't. I said, give me a whole new air conditioner. They said, we can't. I said, give me a whole new vehicle at that point. I said, I also know some vice presidents at Ford and I'll be happy to call them if you like. They found me an air conditioner. I'm sure it probably slowed down someone's delivery of ordering a new vehicle, because I got one that would have gone to the production line.

§8.p6

I actually didn't know the full story until the guy who later became dean of Harvard Business School told me some of this other story. He had been studying Ford, and he had heard about it. I knew what had happened to me — that they wouldn't give me an air conditioner and were telling me I wouldn't have one for most of the summer that year. I said, nope, not acceptable. But the real reason was because some machinist knew more than the engineers, which is not uncommon. That's the moral of that story. I'll see you tomorrow.

Cases referenced

  • Nova Scotia sailboat trailer weld failure §3.p3

    Tom's forensic case. A farmer-built sailboat trailer with a slugged weld (bolt buried in the joint, then welded over) fractured on Route 24 south of Boston on the return trip from a Newport race, destroying the 40-foot sailboat. Used to illustrate why standards prohibit welding on tractor-trailer frames and what "slugging a weld" means.

  • WWII ship construction slugging welds §3.p2

    Historical precedent for the Nova Scotia case. Welders on 16-inch armor plate, bored with 600-pass joints, would throw in pieces of pipe or bundles of electrodes and bury them in the weld groove.

  • Jet engine removal bolt design failure §4.p1

    Stage-business case. Tom passes around a hardened steel bolt assembly used to dismount jet engines from aircraft wings. The bolt had two diameters with flats on the center shoulder for restraint; mechanics torqued only the outer nut, ignoring the shoulder, which over-torqued the assembly and initiated a crack. A 5-million-dollar engine dropped on the tarmac. Used to introduce load-path reasoning.

  • Stata Center (MIT Building 32 / Gehry crumpled-paper concept) §5.p3

    Stage-business case. Tom crumples four sheets of paper to demonstrate how Frank Gehry presented the conceptual design of the Stata Center to MIT physical-plant head Vicki Sirianni. Budget went from $115M to $430M; MIT froze salaries for two years. Used to illustrate how informal conceptual designs become consequential.

  • Hyatt Regency walkway collapse §7.p1

    The lecture's centerpiece forensic case. July 17, 1981, Kansas City. The original detail design called for solid hanger rods, threaded only at the ends; field fabricators, unable to thread a nut 15 feet down a solid rod, substituted a two-rod stagger that doubled the load on the upper rod's C-channel connection. The change was approved (or missed) under the high-volume change-order process. 114 dead, 200+ injured. Used to illustrate the as-designed vs. as-built distinction and to introduce the engineer-of-record concept. Cites Petroski's *To Engineer is Human*.

  • Chevy Vega engine removal for spark plug service §7.p7

    Brief design-foible aside in the Hyatt section. The 1978 Chevy Vega had to have its engine removed to change spark plugs because surrounding components blocked wrench access. Used as a low-stakes illustration of the same as-designed / as-serviceable gap.

  • Ford Taurus air conditioner compressor §8.p1

    Personal forensic case. Tom bought a 1990 or 1991 Taurus in February; the AC failed when first switched on in May. Ford's $100M production line had been built with clamping fixtures matching the engineering drawings, but the prototype machinist had built his own (correct) clamping fixture and never told the engineers. The as-built of the prototype was lost. Tom invokes the Massachusetts lemon law and his Ford VP connections to get a replacement AC. Used to illustrate prototype-to-production handoff failure. The Harvard Business School story attribution is preserved.

  • General Motors sliding-door van lemon-law case §8.p2

    Personal forensic case, 1985. The sliding side door of Tom's GM van fell off five times. After a nasty letter from the dealership owner, Tom filed lemon-law demand; GM offered an executive vehicle, then offered cash instead when the executive's loaner wasn't ready. Used as a narrative bridge into the Taurus case and to illustrate manufacturer response patterns.

Layer 2 — cleanup edit
p1 00:03

Anybody have any questions? I think everybody in here has told me which modules you want to do, but I also like to know what standard you're going to do your presentation on sometime in the next week or so. If you need to come sit down and talk to me about it I'd like to know, because I don't want someone taking a big broad standard that's going to be too broad. I'd like to take a simple standard. I mean the guy who did the bayonet blades, that was fine, that standard was fine, okay. But other things, like I don't want you to do the whole structural welding code or something, or the pressure vessel code. Does it just be in 10 minutes how could you cover something that's thirty-two volumes, right, in terms of you know how it evolved, what it covers, does it have force of law, what other codes does it call out? Well a 32-volume code calls out thousands of other things. A simple little code like a code for making a piece of steel pipe okay, like a 10— this would be a 53, actually this is welded pipe, but that's manageable okay. It might call out another 20 codes. The problem is those other 20, not 20 codes but 20 other standards, those 20 other standards are going to call out another 15 or 20 standards each, and so things start multiplying until they start converging eventually. But anybody— no other questions?

p2 01:36

And the things I wanted to talk about, a couple of things that Dr. Belmar talked about. He mentioned just in passing about this trailer that he designed, and the fact that he didn't have to worry about— in other locations he didn't have to worry about the welds because he uses bolts. Well it turns out using bolts is actually required by certain standards if you're actually doing trailers okay, the big semi trailers that go down the highway and stuff. They require that you not weld on the frame. So the frame— if this is your truck okay, not very good truck, and you got the trailer here, there is a frame. There are two frame rails and there's sort of C-shaped pieces of steel like this. If you look at— ever look at the back of the truck? This trailer, it's going to— this tractor that's going to be pulling the trailer, on a tractor trailer there'll be two frame rails looking at it from the back, and these are just formed pieces of steel okay, and they go you know like that, right. Hopefully you're getting some idea of the geometry of the C-sections. They might be half- to three-quarter-inch-thick steel. It's pretty heavy steel.

p3 03:08

There are load limits on the highways because they don't want to destroy all the asphalt roads okay. I mean, the one place I'd say really heavy loads is in Michigan. You been to Michigan? You've seen those 48-wheeler tractor trailers? Well no, this isn't tandems. These are— because it's the big automotive area, and they will put on four or five rolls of sheet steel which is probably 150 tons on one trailer, and they will distribute the load because there is no— if you're all the way back on that tracker it's just you know four wheels, and if you count it up it's like 46 or 48 wheels on this tractor trailer okay. Most of the tractor trailers you and I know in Massachusetts or Connecticut or New York or Pennsylvania are 18-wheelers okay. Some of these things in Michigan— I've never seen them anywhere else except Michigan— are 46 or 48 wheelers. I can't remember, but something like that.

p4 04:20

Anyway, you want to reduce the weight, and so they actually use a high-strength steel, 100 ksi strength steel. And you can weld 100 ksi strength steel but the fatigue strength is terrible okay. And I think I cover that somewhere in one of the joining courses about— you don't get a significant increase in fatigue strength even though you're using higher strength steel. You tend to get the same fatigue strength as if it was lower strength steel. So this is clearly a fatigue-loaded situation with a trailer bouncing, you know, the weight of the thing bouncing up against the frame rails. And they will— if they have holes they will have actually punched-out holes in these things, and they will bolt to them. And the reason they don't have welds is because historically people have found that fatigue cracks start and they don't get noticed, and all of a sudden the trailer is going down the highway and it breaks in two. It's not a good day.

p5 05:21

So in any case there's that particular problem with welding to these things. And why is— it turns out the welds are actually stronger than the bolts on average. If we look at strength and we look at the number density okay of things, the bolts— if we look at a probability plot, and Dr. Belmar was kind of talking about probabilities for safety factors, but this is a strength probability okay. A bolt has a fairly well defined average strength, but a weld may have a higher strength. So the mean strength of the bolt is less than the mean strength of the weld, but the minimum strength— there's going to be some cutoff here— the minimum strength of the weld, because welds tend to have more defects, is lower than the cutoff for the bolt. So in a sense the bolts have less variability even though they have less strength. You can predict statistically the capacity of the bolts better than you can the weld.

p6 06:52

So there are codes for designing tractor-trailers that don't allow you to weld, and most of those have been adopted by states that have the force of law. Because, I mean, the states don't care until they actually have some trailer fatigue on the highway, spin out, kill somebody or tie up traffic for four hours or something, and then the state police get involved, they start investigating and figure out the reason, and they will then incorporate that somehow into some legal requirement okay. But that was just sort of an example as he mentioned it. You know, he was designing this trailer for his farm up in Canada or whatever— and I guess that's where he was designing, I don't know— and he kind of knew to use bolts. Because, and it is sort of intuitive okay, that he knew you don't use welds where you really have to— if you have to have a certain level of strength you can use welds, like pressure vessels. You don't want to bolt together a pressure vessel because big thick pressure vessels— if it's thick you couldn't even build them if you didn't weld them. But you're going to spend as much on quality control of non-destructive testing as you do on fabrication making the welds. Whereas on a trailer who's going to spend all that money? You going to take it out and have the welds x-rayed, you know, or magnetic particle tested? No, you're just going to make it.

p7 08:27

In fact I always actually call them horse trailer welders. There's a significant number of people in the world who learned to weld growing up on the farm okay, and you learned about how to farm in a rural area and so they know how to weld, but they don't know the science behind the welding. And every now and then they do something stupid, and I always remember one of my favorite stories is a guy brought a weld to me once and it was from a trailer he'd made up in Nova Scotia. And you got the A-frame, you know, this is the hitch right here, and here's the frame, and right here in the corner they made a weld, and they basically cut and formed the angle iron or the steel or the C channel or whatever it was, and they had a gap in there. So they threw a bolt in there to fill the gap, and they welded over the bolt. Well that's actually known as slugging a weld. It was very common in World War Two when they tried to build Liberty ships and stuff. Someone was bored— and they were not necessarily Liberty ships but on battleships and stuff— when you're welding 16-inch-thick armor plate it's really dull putting 600 passes into the same little section of weld okay, when you're welding something 16 inches thick. And so people— so they get a little break, they might take a piece of pipe, or they may take a bunch of welding electrodes themselves and they just throw them in the groove, the big groove, and they weld over them, and no one could find it because they're buried between several inches of steel in this old armor plate. But it did sort of weaken the whole thing. I mean it's like making perforated steel right.

p8 10:16

Well so per— slugged welds was always something we used to joke about because it went out with— after World War Two when people started seeing this, you know no one would ever select a weld. I had never seen a slugged weld. They brought me this piece of a trailer, and the story with this trailer is, this person lived on a farm or they bought the trailer in Nova Scotia from a farmer who had built it for him. And it was a trailer for their sailboat, their 40-foot sailboat. And they driven from Nova Scotia with their sailboat all the way down to Newport, Rhode Island for the races in Newport, and they had won the race okay. And they were coming back up in or not— it's not interstate, is route 24 or whatever— coming up from Rhode Island, it's like an interstate highway just south of Boston here, and they're cruising along about 55 or 60 miles an hour with their trailer behind them and they hear a bang okay. And of course they kind of slow down and put their brakes on, and there's a sailboat just passing them on the highway okay. Because the weld broke okay right here, the trailer let go okay. And this all of a sudden you had a freewheeling trailer and a 40-foot sailboat, and it crashed and destroyed the sailboat okay. And they brought me the weld and said what's wrong with this. Well, they wanted to go back to the farmer who had welded up the trailer and complain to him. I said, well I mean it wasn't hard, you saw about a three-quarter-inch bolt that had been put in there and just little welds were put on top of it okay. So it was not a fully welded joint, it's called slugging a weld. That's the only time I've ever seen it okay. But you know, you kind of look at this level of engineering in things and you sometimes wonder about it.

p9 12:17

So far as that level of engineering, another bolted thing which we found the other day when we're cleaning out some junk downstairs in the basement, what we found— this is— we call this Tron air in the old days. This little bolt is part of a system to take a jet engine off the airplane wing okay. You have this kind of sort of a roll-up dolly that's about 15 feet tall and you roll it up to the wing. You put this bolt into the hanger for the thing that holds the turbine engine on the wing, and you torque it down. It's, you torque it on this side, then you torque on this side, and then you just pull it out. You release the bolts that held it on the wing and you pull it out, and now you have the jet engine that you can now work on as a mechanic. So they were doing this, and the guy who designed this designed the centerpiece with flats on it. You can see the flats, I'll pass it around, you can look at it. So you could grab this thing with a pair of pliers, and if you grabbed it here with a pair of pliers you could torque this to the proper torque for this size bolt. This is a hardened steel bolt okay. This thing probably is a two-hundred-dollar bolt okay, it's very specialized. You know how many of these do you need? And the other side they had a different size thread, and you were supposed to grab it here and torque here. Well they actually torqued it here, and they didn't bother to grab it here, they just felt well, we talked it here, they held it with the nut here and they torqued there. Well look at them, the two of them are different diameters. It turns out the proper torque for this is just enough to start a crack in this okay.

p10 14:12

So you have to worry about your— look, what we called the load path. If the load path was only from here to here and there's no stress on this when you're doing the torque of the large-diameter, what's the problem? However, if your load path just ignores this little shoulder and you don't grab it and keep it restrained, now your load path goes all the way through to the other nut, and all of a sudden you over-torque this thing okay. So in hindsight after they dropped an engine on the tarmac okay— and it costs about five million dollars, engines are not cheap— they looked at it and said, not a good design. And so I mean simple little things, and I'll show you another one a little bit later, of a load path problem okay.

p11 15:06

But one of the things I want to talk about today— we've talked about measurement and codes and standards— I wanted to talk about design and the types of design. We often just talk at the university, well you're supposed to have a capstone design course as an undergraduate or something okay, where you can show your creative energy. And one of the things I wanted to do in this course was to point out to you that your creative energy is limited by codes and standards. You're not free to just go out and do whatever you want. Good manufacturing practice basically tells you that you shouldn't just do whatever you want, you should follow the experience of other people who have learned through sad experience with other failures that have caused a lot of property damage or other things.

p12 16:02

And so design is actually a complex process. People teach whole courses on it, and it turns out there are different levels of design. And in different businesses you might come up with different lists, but if you were building a bridge or a building, usually start out with something that we often call the conceptual design okay. And the concept is, well, we're going to have a bridge across the Charles River. And if you look at the Mass Ave [Bridge], it was going to have walkways on either side with certain type of railing, and it was going to be low to the ground, it wouldn't have domes or something, and it's going to be made out of steel. And that's the Mass Ave. If you look at the Longfellow Bridge, it was built a few years earlier, it's all made out of stone and has the salt and pepper shakers as the columns and stuff. That's the concept, it's sort of the conceptual design. Could be something as simple as someone just sketching it out on a back of an envelope okay, this is what I want my bridge to look like, or this is what I want my building to look like. It's going to be, you know, pyramidal shaped rather than box shaped building or something okay. That's, you just kind of sketch out a concept.

p13 17:23

This is a conceptual design right here. [Tom crumples up four sheets of paper.] I just crumpled up four sheets of paper. Anyone who hasn't heard this story before, does anyone know what that is the conceptual design for? Now, do you know the— you know the story of the Stata Center? You know, the building over here that has all the weird shapes and stuff. So I know this story for a fact because Vicki Sirianni— she's an architect and she was head of MIT physical plant— and they were about to build the Stata Center and they hired Frank Gehry, who's one of the world's renowned architects. And I happened to meet with her the morning after she got back from Los Angeles meeting with Gehry in his office. And she was in the conference room with some of the other people, and Gehry walks in and he starts crumpling up paper, and he throws it on the table and he says to her, that's what your new building's going to look like. So there's the conceptual design of the monstrosity we call the Stata Center okay, crumpled paper okay.

p14 18:35

So there's all kinds of levels of conceptual design, and if you're one of the world's renowned architects you can just throw out the biggest piece of crap okay in the world and call it a conceptual design. And you leave it for your underlings to work out the architectural design okay. But the concept was we were going to build this 400-million-dollar building, actually was supposed to be 115 million— that's another story, but it went over budget a little, came in at 430 million. They froze everybody's salary at MIT for two years okay, because they were so far in the hole after going over budget by a factor of nearly four. Anyway, that's another story probably not worth telling right now.

p15 19:25

But conceptual design can be— actually today conceptual designs are often done on a CAD system, and you kind of get a nice little rendering in 3D, you know, kind of imaging that you can rotate and everything else and someone does. But it's still sort of a boxy design, and it might show you where the windows are in a building and the entrance and some of the sculpting around doors and things. But it doesn't give you a lot of detail. The architectural design— what's the architectural design involve? You're a civil engineer, Steve.

p16 20:09

Well, the architect tells you how many square feet it's going to be, where the rooms are located inside the building. I mean, Gehry didn't have to worry about where the rooms are okay. He didn't have to worry about the details of the design. You walk in the lobby of the Stata Center, most expensive building on campus by far, and what do we have in the lobby? We have concrete block walls and concrete floors okay, right? But everything's sort of— well, I guess the word's catawampus, if you know what catawampus is. Nothing has square corners, you know, everything's— it's crumpled paper, right. But some architects— I'm sure a whole team of architects— were approached by MIT, 40, 50 million dollars for their time worried about how to make— you know what the shapes were, where they're going to put the doors and all the windows, and which windows are on a sloping wall so they have to have an extra frame because they got to be vertical windows on a sloping wall. Don't look at— the thing's a monstrosity. Anyway, but some people love it, it's sort of like politics, you know, you're on one side or the other. Some of us think the Stata Center is a disaster.

p17 21:29

Anyway, so the architectural design goes to things about, this is where the doors are going to be, we're going to put the restrooms over here, we're going to put the big lecture hall here, you know. That's the architectural design. It's kind of, these are the pieces of the Lego system that are going to build up the whole three-dimensional object of crumpled paper, right. So what's the detailed design? Come on, you've worked on detailed designs.

p18 21:59

Those are the engineering drawings, rather than architectural drawings which kind of show you the layout of the building. I mean, using the architectural layout of a home, it says we have a bedroom, master bedroom here, family room over here, fireplace here. But the detailed design is something that actually starts telling people where you're going to have two-by-sixes, where you're going to have two-by-fours, whether you're going to have a steel beam to hold up some cantilever, whatever. That's the detailed design, where engineers, not architects but engineers, are actually doing calculations on the stresses on beams. But those guys don't necessarily— there's actually often two sets of detailed designs, or you so maybe two sets of architectural designs on a complex building or two sets of detailed designs. Sometimes they call something— rather than detailed designs— in here they call it shop drawings. Anybody know what a shop drawing is?

p19 23:03

So the detail design— the engineer says— he's a civil engineer— he says well we need a 2x6 here, we need two-by-fours over here to hold up the floor, we need a joist, you know, here, a fabricated joist to hold up the ceiling or whatever. But he doesn't tell you how to build it okay. He might tell you it's going to be made out of wood because he had to figure out the strength based on wood or steel or whatever, he had to do the properties. But he doesn't worry about things like how do you join it together. If it's a wooden beam and you got the A-frame of a roof, how do they join it? They used to use nails. Well actually if you go back far enough they used to use pegs, right, wooden pegs. Now the finest construction is with wooden pegs, but 400 years ago they used wooden pegs because nails were too expensive okay. But nails got to be cheap with the coming of Andrew Carnegie and steel becoming cheaper, and so they quit using wooden pegs which are very labor-intensive and they started using nails.

p20 24:14

They don't use nails nowadays when they make up one of those flat roof trusses. What do they use? Punched metal plates. They take a piece of galvanized steel, they punch it so they make little triangular shape cutouts, so that if this is the plate, you'll put a triangular punch and the pointed triangle is sticking through. You may have 50 of these things or a hundred of them, and just put it on the joint. So you've got— if you've got a two-by-six running up this way and you got a 2x6 this way, you may put one of these galvanized plates with all these punch marks in it that you just lay it on here and then the guy pounds it down with a mallet, and all these little nails if you will— which are just punches of the sheet metal— all go in there, spread out nice and uniformly. Great distribution of stresses compared to toe-nailing at some angle in here. Labor and labor savings. All done in the shop. He laid this out on a great big table flat, put it on a truck and take it to the site, crane drops it in place okay.

p21 25:34

Which gets you to the next thing, is the erection drawings. So I've been driving in and I come in down Broadway and come across on Galileo Galilei, which is over here by the Whitehead Institute. And somewhere behind the Whitehead Institute they're building a new building, and you got some really big steel beams. I mean these things are like three-inch-thick flanges, four-inch high webs— these things are real, I don't know what they're building back there but they could store M1 tanks okay in whatever they're building. They're really heavy stuff, but I can't really see what they're building because it's down behind a bunch of other buildings. There's nowhere to bring all these things all at once to the building site. So you got a logistical problem. If you're building this out in the middle of Kansas in some field, you'd have that they call a laydown yard, and it doesn't matter.

p22 26:33

This fabrication shop that does the shop drawings— tell you what welds to put where okay. So the detailed drawings may tell you what shape beam or what shape steel, but the shop drawings will say put a fillet weld here, you know, half-inch fillet weld, and continuous or intermittent or whatever. There's lots of details on a shop drawing that tells the guy out there in the shop where to put the welds and what size pieces are that it's going to put together to make up these beams. When— any way, over here they're building this huge thing in the erection, they have to keep track of every beam, and they can't store all the beams in a field and that's go out to get the beam they want when they want it. When I drive in, there's usually two or three trucks parked there right beside the Whitehead Institute with these huge beams on them ready to unload. And so it's a huge logistical problem of making sure the right beam arrives at the correct time, because you have no storage space. Once it gets there it's just-in-time erection okay. And they have bolting plates and they bolt them together in the field, they may weld in the field whatever, and they're supposed to build in a particular way. But they don't always build it a particular way just because the erection drawing says this is how you're supposed to build it, or the architectural drawing says you're supposed to build it this way. Sometimes for some reason there's a change.

p23 28:08

And you don't always see this in a job— that's trying to— and this could be building a nuclear submarine okay as opposed to a building okay, building anything— they will actually go in afterwards and have an architect or engineer do a whole new set of drawings called the as-built drawings. How do we actually build it as opposed to how we thought we are going to build it okay? And that's just in case later you need to get in there and do something. Because people have found, when they're doing repairs on things they have some problem, and they go back to the original drawings and they come up with the correction based on the original drawings, and then they get down in the bottom of the ocean on an oil rig or something and they find out, oh, they didn't build it that way. Just because we have the drawings, that's not the way it was really built. And everything they just spent a million dollars putting together doesn't fit because it wasn't built the way the drawing said. So many times you have a set of as-built drawings.

p24 29:17

So there's a whole series in the whole process of design. It's not— a design is not someone sitting down and laying out the final set of drawings. There's a whole hierarchy of these things. And in fact in building something like a nuclear submarine or a Boeing jet, a new Boeing jet, you can spend a billion dollars just doing the drawings. And it used to be in Course 2 men, which used to be Course 13, they had a whole group of people for shipbuilding 15 years ago, 10-15 years ago, when computers and CAD designs were getting more sophisticated, more powerful, that they could have a virtual walkthrough in a building or a nuclear submarine where you're going to put the piping, the ductwork, where the electrical cables are going to go. Because in the past on a nuclear submarine you'd have some guy designing the electrical cables and he puts them right in the middle of the ductwork because the guy who's designing the ductwork is putting the ductwork where he wants it to go and he doesn't worry about the electrical cables. And so you get down in the middle of the ship at the shipyard and the guys say, this is impossible, I can't build it okay. And that's why they would modify it on site, it would double the cost of a ship.

p25 30:42

And it turns out where they designed the 777, I think that was the first Boeing aircraft design that was entirely designed on the computer. I know certainly that the new— digital, they called it the digital 737, after the 777— the original 737 design was a huge number of drawings. They had rooms full of draftsmen just sitting there making drawings for this aircraft, the old 737 back in the '70s, and they got updated and they had to have this library of what's the latest drawing. I mean I've been to Bell Helicopter and you know, you ask, can I see the drawing on this? They have to go through a library going back 30 years to figure out what drawing applied at this time when this helicopter was built, because the drawings change over time. It's not a constant thing. In manufacturing the drawings for automobiles are just horrendous in their complexity okay, the contours and shapes. I mean you like the nice aerodynamic design of an automobile? Well, the drawings on that just make that very difficult to do.

p26 31:56

In any case, having a huge database where you can check— and that this was one of the mathematical problems of in these CAD designs— to see if you are putting the electrical cable or the drainage pipe through the air duct, because you don't really want, you know, big holes in your air ducts, they don't work so well. You don't want electrical cables going through your sewer pipes, but that's what they would have. And so one of the mathematical things was for the computer to find where things were intersecting when they should have been intersecting okay. And that's not necessarily the easiest problem. It's sort of standard practice today, but 10 or 15 years ago it was not standard practice. And so today they design most complex things— very detailed designs, the detailed designs are done in a CAD system. And so you still have a whole group of draftsmen, but they are computer draftsmen, IT engineers more so than the guys with pen and paper and whatnot.

p27 33:11

Student: [Inaudible — apparently asks about data volumes, "terabytes."]

p28 33:14

Yeah, terabytes okay. Well, I— they used to say that the paperwork— now this is not the drawings, this is just the quality control paperwork, and you know that occurred during building of a 747— the paper weighed more than the 747 okay, and had to be stored forever, until that aircraft went out of service 30 years later, 20— for 20 years later. Now it's all stored on some disk somewhere in a digital form okay. So there really has been sort of a revolution in manufacturing from aircraft to nuclear submarines to automobiles to whatever. It's sort of amazing what's happened. And there's a whole set of standards on how to do that, that have developed over the last 15 or 20 years on how to do those types of things okay.

p29 34:08

Well, let me give you an example of an as-built that didn't quite do it the way and caused a serious problem. And this is the Hyatt Regency Hotel in Kansas City on July seventeenth of 1981. People been to Hyatt hotels, they know they have these big tall atriums. I lived in Atlanta, Georgia as a teenager, I think when they built the Hyatt Regency Atlanta, which was the first big Hyatt Regency with a big atrium. That building is still there, they built a bigger Hyatt right next to— but the old was only 40 stories tall. I think the new one's like 60 stories tall, but people still go to the old one to commit suicide okay. They go jumping off the balconies, and so you're sitting there eating your breakfast, you know, at the restaurant on the atrium floor, and all of a sudden someone comes splat right next to you. Actually doesn't happen that often, but this was one of the big things. I mean I remember as a teenager when I was just barely a teenager okay— because I moved from Atlanta when I was 13 or 14— but anyway I remember in the newspapers, this was this big 40-story atrium was— people would just come, and I think my parents, we went down to see it, everybody in Atlanta had to go see this atrium. And this was their selling point for the Hyatt Regency. And then about six months later people started using it as a place to kill themselves.

p30 35:44

But nonetheless the Hyatt still likes to build atriums. If you go to Hyatt San Francisco, big atrium, you know, most places. And they built one in Kansas City, and the one in Kansas City they decided to have walkways going across the big atrium. So you had this ring of balconies outside the rooms, and actually some of the suite hotels have the same type of design with atriums going ten stories up. In fact they may be a spin-off of the Hyatt chain now. But nonetheless, the— they decided in Kansas City that they were going to have walkways that might take you from the 10th floor down to the 8th floor, and you could cut across 180 degrees across the atrium. And so they had a series of these at different angles and this was sort of artwork up there. And so on July seventeenth 1981, it was a Friday night, they're having a party, and there was a big band and the whole atrium was just a huge party scene. And there were a bunch of people on the cantilevered walkways going across the atrium, 10, 15, 20 stories in the air, kind of dancing to the music, soft on their feet. And then all of a sudden all these atriums— all these walkways started to collapse. And 114 people died and over 200 were injured.

p31 37:13

And so the Kansas City Star won a Pulitzer Prize for tracking down what really happened in the design. And so here's the thing from the Kansas City Star, by the way this comes right out of the Petroski book To Engineer is Human, and when he wrote the book in— well in 1982 so— but it's updated 1986-87. Some of this was still in litigation. But what happened was the architect who had designed it decided they were going to have a hanger rod, I don't remember if this is three-quarter inch or 1-inch steel rod. You know, one-inch steel rod might hold 50 tons in theory, and if you put a safety factor on it— and this might have been a— this might have been a building safety factor. If they use the structural welding code, they wouldn't use the welding code because it wasn't welded, but nonetheless they might have used a safety factor of 1.67 for the steel. It should have been a factor of 2 safety because it's dynamically loaded right. This is not just static building, this is something that could be swinging out there in the atrium, so it's fatigue loaded. But anyway, the detail design basically showed a rod that had two C-channels that had been welded together. The rod would go through here and have a nut on the bottom that would hold the C-channel that held the walkway, and there are a number of these rods hanging down.

p32 38:59

The only problem is, this was supposed to be a solid rod, it wasn't a threaded rod. How do you get the nut on? Well, you could have threaded as 15 feet down to the next walkway, but who wants to sit there and turn the nut for 15 feet to get it at the right position? No one had ever stopped to think about a shop drawing of how you're actually going to— or an erection drawing of how you're actually going to make this. So in the field they said, I can't make this, what idiot designed this okay. So they decided they would just fix the problem, and they have two rods, one rod hanging down with a nut up here and another rod coming through here, the nut on the bottom, solve the problem, they can erect this. As-built— this was design.

p33 39:51

Turns out in this, in the management of this whole stream of design, anybody makes a change down here has to submit it to the people up here to have them sign off on it. Well in a big complex building like this there are thousands of changes, and they have to be signed off on them. And frankly if you've ever been involved in one of these things, people will go, you got to get it built, and you make the change that day, you submit the drawing, and it gets approved three weeks later by the architect. And under the law the architect in most states has to be a registered architect, and the engineer— something called the engineer of record who is responsible for the detailed design. You got an architect here for the architectural design, you got an engineer responsible for the detailed design. He could have a hundred engineers underneath him, but he has to be a professional engineer, he has to be licensed by the state, and he puts his seal on there okay, that he has checked it and he knows that this design has been calculated and checked and it's a good design, that it has enough strength.

p34 41:00

Well, it turns out it either got done late or people just missed it among the thousands of details that were coming in for changes, or the person had no experience. I'm not sure they ever figured out exactly what happened. Certainly no one was coming forward saying, I did it, you know, after 114 people died. But what happens here, the load path— the original design was going straight through the steel rod here. The load path goes through the rod, takes a dogleg over, and then comes down through the other rod. And as Petroski says, well, think about it. If you had two people hanging from a rope, that's interesting. So you got a rope and you got a person up here hanging from the rope, and you got another person hanging from the rope down here. All you have to have is a rope that can bear the weight of two people right. But if you had a rope coming down with a person on it, and then this person was— you tied a rope to this guy's leg and that person was on there— now it turns out that person's leg is bearing, or this rope is still just bearing the same weight, but this person's leg becomes the weak link okay. And it turns out that's exactly what happened. The weak link was between those two bolts in the staggered system, and that basically sheared rather than a straight tensile pull. You change the entire load system with that small little change. The guys are erecting it, they didn't think it's a big deal, they figured I can make this, I couldn't make the other, you know, whoever designed this, it's impossible.

p35 42:56

There's lots of design foibles. I mean there was, I think it's the 1978 Chevy Vega that, you know, they build the whole engine and they put the engine into the frame of the vehicle, and it turns out when you needed to go change the spark plugs on a Chevy Vega you had to remove the engine, because some of the other components were blocking— it was impossible to get a wrench in to remove the spark plug. Well in the plan it was no problem, the spark plugs were already in the engine when they put it in the vehicle, but no one ever bothered to check, could you ever service that engine okay. So there's little details that you have to worry about, the whole system going forward.

p36 43:38

Well, the Hyatt Regency was— the as-built was not like the as-designed, and of course there was all kinds of finger-pointing so far as that goes. Another story out of automotive that I ran into, it's '90 or '91, I bought a Ford Taurus. And turns out I bought it in February. Never turn the air conditioner on in February for whatever reason. Come May, I turn the air conditioner on one day, doesn't work. Brand new car— brand new anymore, four months old, but still under warranty. So I take you to the dealership, they said, oh we don't have the parts to fix it. That's— fine, give me a new vehicle, I don't care okay. Because I'm of the Massachusetts lemon [law], all I have to do is bring it in three times to have them fix it, and if they can't fix it within three days then I can get a brand new car.

p37 44:34

I did that to General Motors once in 1985 and got them to buy back my car, because it was a van and had a sliding side door, and the door fell off five times okay. You know, one time I had them come tow it out of my driveway because I didn't want to drive it over to the dealership, the door was just kind of hanging by sheet metal right. And I was not— trying not to go lemon law on them, but the owner of the dealership wrote a nasty letter to me telling me it was my fault. I said okay, I could have done lemon law after three, now it's five. Here's my lemon law demand. And General Motors came in and said, what do you want? Us to fix it, give you a brand new vehicle, or— and I said, I just wanted a van, I wanted to go on vacation with my family that summer, in two months. And they said okay, we have this, you know, executive vehicle, you know the one that they let their people drive for 5,000 miles and give you a discount? We'll give you another one, you know, as soon as this is available. And it was supposed to show up like in three weeks. Well they called me up and they said, sorry, the executive hasn't finished with it, we'd rather give you a check instead. I said, well I really wanted something to go on vacation— was alright, they gave me a check, I went out and I bought a— coughed a lot— and another dealership, okay, not the same vehicle, but anyway.

p38 46:08

The problem with the Taurus was that they had a problem with all their air conditioners. The design of the air conditioner— they come up with a wonderful design that had just one sliding shuttle going back and forth, and said, you know, air conditioner you got compressor to compress the freon and then expand it and stuff, and they had this simplified design. But it had very tight tolerances on the shuttle going back and forth, because it didn't have the same types of seals that were in most air conditioners of prior design. So they had very tight tolerances, so the engineer— or the engineers who had conceived this— they decided, well, when we machine this we're going to have the proper fixturing so that when we clamp this thing and then machine it and then unclamp it we don't lose some of our tolerances okay, makes sense right. So they sent this out for prototype development, had the drawings, showed them not only how to machine it and the dimensions, but it also showed them how to build the fixture to clamp it when you're doing your machining. And they get the part back, they test it, works great, decide to build a hundred million-dollar facility to make these air conditioner compressors for the early '90s Ford Taurus.

p39 47:38

And I happen to buy one of these early version air conditioners, which turns out it didn't work. And Ford had been learning, because there were probably people who bought it in February in Arizona who now were turning on their commute in March okay, that it wasn't working. So Ford had been learning that it wasn't working, and they went and fixed it. But as they were researching it, they were trying to figure out why it wasn't working, and they found out— they went to this machinist who'd done the prototype clamping and everything and said, well did you clamp it this way? "Oh no, I knew that wouldn't work, I built my own clamping arrangement." So he designed the clamping arrangement that worked, but they didn't know that. They didn't know the as-built of the prototype okay. They built a hundred million-dollar facility with tens of thousands if not hundreds of thousands of dollars of clamping fixtures that were wrong okay, that this machinist knew better okay. And so they had to retool their whole line to put in the proper clamping so they could get the tolerances they needed on the machining to make the air conditioners work.

p40 48:51

Well, in my case, by the time I find out in May that my air conditioner is not working, they're way behind, and all their production of these— you know, major rapid improvement of their screwed-up stuff— is going to production models right, because they can't sell a vehicle in May that, in most parts of the country that don't have air— doesn't have air conditioning. Maybe in North Slope of Alaska, but not in the continental United States. Everybody wants an air conditioner right. And so I come in for repair, they say, well we don't have anything, will be it in July. That's it, will give me a new vehicle. And they said, well we can't. I said, well— I said, go give me a whole new air conditioner. And they said, we can't. I said, well give me a whole new vehicle at that point. And I said, I also know some vice presidents at Ford and I'll be happy to call them if you like. They found me an air conditioner okay. And I'm sure it probably slowed down someone's delivery of ordering a new vehicle right, because I got one that would have gone to the production line to sell new vehicles.

p41 49:57

I actually didn't know that full story until— the guy who later became dean of Harvard Business School actually told me some of this other story. He had been studying Ford, and he had heard about this story. I knew what had happened to me, that they wouldn't give me an air conditioner and they were telling me I wouldn't have an air conditioner for most of the summer that year. And I said, nope, not acceptable okay. But the real reason was because some machinist knew more than the engineers, which is not uncommon okay. So that's the moral of that story okay. I'll see you tomorrow.