§1. Yesterday's theme, and how to listen to a lecture [00:03]
If you had to pick a theme for yesterday's lecture, what would it be?
This is actually more important than you think. It was a real revelation to me when I was a junior here. For whatever reason I decided to take introduction to quantum mechanics in the physics department. You have to understand, I came here in the bottom third of my entering class. They put us in Kresge Auditorium and said, fifteen years ago we'd say look to your right, look to your left, one of the three of you won't be here next year — we don't do that anymore. And they flashed up the high school SAT scores. I was smart enough to know I was in the bottom third, and so one of the three of us wouldn't be here next year.
Actually MIT doesn't treat its freshmen like that anymore. They have a fairly high graduation rate, like ninety-six percent of the freshmen end up graduating. Some schools are higher — Princeton is like ninety-eight, and they really push the students to graduate on time. MIT's graduation rate on time is only about ninety-six. So we don't really flunk people out, but we do make it difficult for them while they're here.
It was a great revelation to me in my junior year to take this course, introduction to quantum mechanics, and I didn't have a clue what was going on. I was getting fifteens out of a hundred on the homework sets and the averages were eighty-five. The night before the three-hour final — and I already told you what I thought of three-hour finals — I decided I'm just going to take the book and try to pick out the highlights. I walked into the final, finished in an hour and twenty minutes, checked it over another twenty minutes, walked out, and got an A in the course.
And then all of a sudden it dawned on me. It's not all this detail the professor goes through, like cow magnets, or passing out these little half-inch balls of different materials. That's all fluff. They're only trying to get a couple of points across in each lecture, and they're trying to hide it from you. If you can figure out the one or two or three points in a one-hour lecture and focus on those, you actually can do quite well around here. So that's what I did for the rest of my career here. I quit taking notes, I just sat there and tried to guess the professor's lecture notes, his outline. It's worked for me. I've tried to explain it to students over the years, I don't know if anybody knows what it is.
§2. From the sublime to the ridiculous in measurement [03:15]
So getting back to my lecture yesterday — I started talking about measurement leading to science. There's the Lord Kelvin quote. Then we started talking about observables, and the real theme on observables is, I wanted to take you from the sublime to the ridiculous. The sublime is LIGO, one part in 10 to the 22nd. And the ridiculous is I get up here with a grinding wheel and start showing you sparks.
The point is, if you're going to do science you have to measure and get data and work on facts. But you don't have to spend a half a billion dollars to measure gravity waves in space, one part in 10 to the 22nd. Although there are people out there who do that, most of the time it's not necessary. A lot of times a cow magnet up against a piece of metal will tell you a lot. Or taking a grinding wheel and grinding the surface of something will tell you a lot. There's an old Yiddish saying that Einstein used to quote, "as simple as possible but no simpler." A large part of engineering is to get things simple.
So that was yesterday, the sublime to the ridiculous in measurement, because measurement is fundamental to science. Today I'm going to tell you my theme — you don't have to guess it. I'm going to talk about the practical limits on some of these things that we try to measure.
There are many properties of materials. We did some of them when we took the little half-inch spheres, a lot of which are ball bearing materials. There's a brass one, there's a bunch of polymer ones, there were some ceramic ones. I was actually a little surprised nobody could figure out the aluminum oxide. You're clearly not ceramists. But I thought some of you might get it based on — actually, you were doing quite well when you were bouncing things. That's a hardness test. Did you know that's a hardness test on a material? There are thousands of portable hardness testers. One of them is the scleroscope, and it basically takes a little steel ball and bounces it off the surface. The problem you had is your table wasn't stiff enough.
The scleroscope has a little tube, and you measure the rebound height. It's called the coefficient of restitution in physics. I call it rebound height, but if you want to sound scientific, you call it the coefficient of restitution. Did you know the ping pong ball has a coefficient of restitution of 0.97? Pretty good. They put limits on the coefficient of restitution so it's a fair game the rich can play golf. You'll hear me say in some of the videotape lectures that you can sell anything to a golfer.
§3. Practical limits on mass, length, and time [06:50]
So there are many properties of materials, and we're going to get to some of those today, but first I want to talk about the practical limits of some of these measurements. We talked about mass, length, and time, and I want to talk about the practical limits, because I have something I want to get to which might surprise you.
Mass. When we talked about the NIST people doing the seven fundamental constants — speed of light, mass of the kilogram, Planck's constant — those are all about one part in 10 to the seventh or 10 to the eighth. We know those to seven or eight significant figures. If I sent you over to the lab and said weigh this piece of chalk, how many parts per thousand or per million do you think you'd be able to weigh it to? Anyone ever work in a chemistry lab, you had to weigh things before an analysis?
One part per thousand I can do with an electronic balance in my kitchen right now. Maybe one part in 500. With electronic balances I can do pretty good. And in the chemistry lab, did you see the marble table with a balance on it that had doors on it? You put the sample in, close the doors, weigh it on this big massive table with doors to isolate it. Why? It turns out you can get about 10 micrograms out of a gram, which is one part in 10 to the fifth.
Typically it's about one part in ten thousand for everyday weighing — you said one part in a thousand, you weren't far off. But if I wanted to be precise, what limits that? Why am I doing it on a big marble table, why do I have to have these little doors that close around the thing? Did you have to wear gloves, or lift things with tweezers? The three most common errors in weighing something — now you're thinking too scientifically. Fingerprints. That's why you wear gloves or use tweezers. Wind. And vibration.
At MIT we're going to teach you to think fundamental physics — temperature, pressure, the thermodynamic parameters. But if you're trying to weigh something on the gram scale and you blow on the scale, the wind will create one part in 10 to the fifth error. My fingerprint will weigh one part in 10 to the fifth. Not if I'm weighing something that weighs a thousand pounds — a fingerprint won't matter then, but other pieces of contamination might. So it's difficult to get much better than one part in 10 to the fifth. You can get better than that, but you have to go to very expensive equipment. One part in 10 to the fifth is pretty good.
For that reason, when you do a chemical analysis of a material, the most accurate chemical analyses have historically been dissolving the thing in acid and analyzing that way. You start out by weighing the sample that you dissolve in the acid, and then measure the concentration. It's actually a weight basis, and one part in 10 to the fifth is pretty good.
That's mass — the big problems are wind, fingerprints, and vibration when I start getting into the fifth decimal place. Length. Anybody done any machining in a machine shop, or seen anybody do it? If I'm going to machine a one-inch diameter bar, what's a typical tolerance? In parts per thousand?
1/100th is what I expect most of you to get — that's ten thousandths of an inch. That's not very good. A good machinist can easily do one part in a thousand, plus or minus one mil, one thousandths of an inch. And the machinist who's been around the block a couple of days can get half a thousandths. So typically one part in two thousand, half a thousandths per inch.
Student: [What's the limitation?]
Relative stiffness of your tool and your work piece — good. But there's something in the environment. It's called temperature. The coefficient of thermal expansion of steel is about 10 to the minus 5 per degree C. So if I want to measure something one inch long, a one degree change in temperature of the room will change it by 10 micro inches, and a 10 degree change will change it by 100 micro inches.
10 degrees centigrade is not that big a change. If I measure something outdoors in the winter as opposed to indoors at ambient temperature, I can be off by a tenth of a thousandths. And there are many bearings that require a tenth of a thousandths over one inch or half an inch. You've seen a micrometer — this little thing I hold in my hand and twirl, and it measures the length of something. Most of those are accurate to about a thousandths or a half a thousandths, one part in two thousand. That's a simple thirty-dollar, hundred-dollar tool.
But a ball bearing mic — you've seen one? They're about the size of a lathe. They can measure to 50 micro inches. When you work at Pratt and Whitney or General Electric aircraft engines, they have a bunch of these ball bearing measuring machines, because they make ball bearings just like those little steel balls I gave you. They try to make them uniform, but they can't make them all uniform within 50 micro inches. So they have an air-conditioned room for temperature control, and this measuring machine has all kinds of compensation. It can measure down to 10 micro inches on an inch, one part in 10 to the fifth — about the same as on the mass scale. But it takes a ten-thousand-dollar measuring machine to do it.
So what do they do? They'll have a hundred thousand balls, and they grade them. They're all half inch plus or minus less than a tenth of an inch. But they sort them — "these are within 50 micro inches of this reference value," and so on — so they match them. Then they make their high-speed precision bearings up from a matched set of these balls.
So we're pushing the limits of practicality when we get into one part in 10 to the fifth on length. Now, I can buy things — anybody ever seen Johansson blocks? Jo blocks. These are actually Webber blocks because they're made by a different company, but they're precision length scales, made out of chromium carbide. You can buy them in steel. They have lapped surfaces, and I can ring them together if I'm careful.
[Tom rings two precision blocks together.] The little bit of moisture or grease that remains after I wipe them on my shirt holds them together as the adhesive. If you want to pass these around, you can't ring the ground surfaces together — it's only the end surfaces. You slide them together. These have a certificate of standard that comes with them — grade one, two, and three, and grade three is plus or minus three micro inches per inch. You can get a laboratory master which is federal grade 0.05, which is 0.8 micro inches, less than one part in 10 to the sixth. These three-parts-per-million blocks are laboratory standards. What good are they?
§4. The Stratford helicopter bearing case [18:58]
Let me tell you the story. This is sort of a Navy story. There is a helicopter company in Connecticut that builds helicopters, that remain nameless, but they're in Stratford. There aren't a lot of helicopter companies in Stratford, so you can probably guess. The Navy buys MH-53 helicopters — big helicopter, they use it to pull minesweeping sleds.
These are twenty- or thirty-million-dollar helicopters. They were manufacturing one for the Navy, and the Navy had not yet taken custody. There's a standard — I can't remember the number, a DOD 501 form or something — that has to be signed off when equipment, whether an aircraft carrier or a helicopter, transfers from the manufacturer to the Navy. When this single-page piece of paper is signed by the company and by the Navy, ownership transfers. Why does it matter? If there were a fire and the whole thing got destroyed, who takes the loss? So there's a standard time of transfer — this is another type of standard.
They had not yet signed this thing. The helicopter had to hover for, I think, an hour as part of the spec. Two pilots were hovering about 50 or 100 feet above the tarmac at the manufacturing facility. And while they're hovering, the swash plate bearing — anybody know what a swash plate is? It's the control surface, part of the rotor. It gives you cyclic. It's a circular plate that you can rotate in two dimensions, X and Y, which lets you tilt your rotor blade. If you want to turn left, you tilt the rotor blade to the left. If you want to go forward, you tilt it forward so it pulls the air in like a fan blade. If you want to slow down, you tilt it back. The swash plate gives you motion control — turning, forward, backwards. To go up or down you increase or decrease the power.
All of a sudden the bearing started to seize, the helicopter crashed, and the two pilots died. And the Navy said: we had not signed the DOD form, so therefore you, helicopter company, can run your own investigation. You still have to build us another one, because we ordered one and we're not going to accept this one, it's not in acceptable condition after the crash.
If it had occurred after they'd signed the DOD form, when some Navy pilot was trying to fly it away, they would have formed a joint commission to figure out what went wrong, with some Navy officers on it. Those officers would have been just like you, they didn't know squat about how to do a failure investigation. But they would have been told, you're now the failure analysis expert, figure out why this thing crashed. People would come to you and say, oh, I think it was the phase of the moon, and you'd have to figure it all out. But you're smart, you graduated from MIT, you'll figure it out, good luck. These are fairly complex structures.
In any case, the Navy said: we hadn't signed off, it's yours, do your own failure investigation, no Navy officers on this. This is sort of like the fox watching the henhouse. The Navy wanted to know what happened, because they didn't want it to happen anywhere else. Over the next few months they did have more incidents — the Japanese Navy had one go down, and they fished it out of about 5,000 feet of water off the coast of Japan. They had a couple go down at other places, and Cherry Point was just collecting old hulled MH-53 helicopters. So the Navy started to get interested, because it was happening in service.
In the helicopter there was a ball bearing — I've been to the plant where they manufactured them. It was 42 inches in diameter with a tolerance of plus or minus two thousandths. Plus or minus two thousandths over 42 inches is about one part in ten thousand. That's about five times more accurate than what most of you would get sent into the laboratory with a machinist.
They were called Ready Slim bearings — 42 inches in diameter, only half an inch in cross-section. This thing is flexible. You pick it up and it'll bow. It doesn't even have its own shape — it gets its shape from the aluminum swash plate housing, which is massive, several inches of aluminum.
The helicopter company decided to form their own investigation committee, and they put their attorney on it. The attorney was smart enough that whenever they started discussing anything substantive — these were open meetings that they taped — he would go off the record. There were no tapes whenever they started talking about anything important, other than what we're going to have for lunch. They'd tape that. But when they'd start talking about why the bearing seized catastrophically, that was always "we need to go off the record." This is why it would have been good to have a Navy person there. You could say, no, I think we ought to stay on the record.
They came to a conclusion. The bearing manufacturer had once produced a bearing with a closed conformity. If the bearing race looks like this [Tom draws on the board], a closed conformity means the ball is a little too big for the race and it touches at the endpoints. It's not a good design — a lot of wear very quickly, the balls get scored, they start to gall, you have catastrophic failure. They hadn't had a catastrophic failure on that one, but the company had produced one and sold one, it got out of their quality control, and they still don't know how. But it had a closed conformity.
Here's an open conformity. You want these balls to be smaller diameter, so the contact point is right there, so it can roll around the race. So this is closed, this is open. This is bad, that's good. They'd made six bearings at one time, and one of them had a closed conformity. Someone noticed before anything happened. So what does the helicopter company do when the helicopter crashes in Stratford? They conclude, oh, it must have had a closed conformity. Too bad, can't prove it, there's no observable here, because it crashed, the whole thing is torn to pieces. But that's the reason, and it's the fault of the bearing manufacturer. FBI, come in.
The FBI comes in, they quarantine all the bearings. Meanwhile the Navy is stopping flights of all MH-53s while they try to figure out what's going on, particularly after they start investigating the Japan accident. They had a couple of close calls — one was landing at Cherry Point, and as he's landing, a couple of feet off the ground, all of a sudden the bearing starts to seize. Fortunately he was only a couple feet off the ground, he lands, no one gets hurt, but they couldn't start it back up because the bearing was seized.
I was brought in — not for the criminal charges, but the helicopter company was telling the bearing company, you owe us twenty million dollars for our crashed aircraft, but we only make about five million profit, so you only owe us fifteen million. All of a sudden there's about thirty million dollars worth of lawsuits. I come in for the bearing company along with some other experts in bearings, and we go look at these bearings in Michigan. Whenever we looked, we had to have an FBI agent standing next to us, because of the criminal investigation. We weren't involved in that, but you couldn't look at it without an FBI agent present.
On about the second day it hit me. This can't be the wrong conformity. When you have high speed and everything starts to gall, it heats up, and that squeezes everything together, and the balls get squeezed into the race. What would be the shape of a spherical ball being squeezed into a circular race? If you had a closed conformity, the wear mark of the ball being squeezed into the race would be an hourglass shape. If you had an open conformity, it would be a barrel shape. I had 192 balls, and I could measure 188 of them, and they were all barrel-shaped — they were all the proper conformity. So what's the chance I had the wrong conformity? Zero.
And everybody — a hundred engineers at the helicopter company, a lot of people had been looking at this — everybody was trying to point their finger at the bearing manufacturer, saying you screwed up, you killed two pilots, their widows are asking for fifteen million, and the helicopter company wants fifteen million for the loss of the hull.
Student: [Were the marks hourglass or barrel?]
The ones we saw were barrel-shaped — they had to be the open conformity, the proper one. They were claiming it had to be the closed conformity, because the manufacturer had once made a set of six bearings with one of the wrong conformity, even though that one didn't cause a crash.
Now we had to figure out why the thing had failed. I learned a lot about these bearings. To make something 42 inches in diameter, plus or minus 0.002 — they had a micrometer that would measure 42 inches, a big long pipe with a little regular micrometer on it like you use in the machine shop. They would put it in the machine with the oil bath that was doing the machining. So it was at the same temperature as the oil bathing the whole thing. They weren't trying to get a precise absolute measurement of 42 inches plus or minus two thousandths — they were doing a reference where everything was at the same temperature.
When they specified it, they had to define on the drawing the temperature at which you would make the measurement. But in order to machine it, they didn't care if you were five or 10 degrees above or below, as long as your micrometer was at the same temperature, since they're both steel and have the same coefficient of thermal expansion. That had nothing to do with the conformity, but nonetheless — I'm looking at this and saying, it can't be the wrong conformity, we had the proper conformity on this bearing, why did it fail? You have to come up with an alternate hypothesis.
So we started looking more carefully. They weren't all equal barrels. Some were skinny barrels and some were fat barrels. And they went in quadrants. First and third quadrant you had fat barrels, second and fourth you had skinny barrels. Why?
Going around the whole 42-inch bearing, 192 balls, 48 in each quadrant. The barrels change shape from fat in the center of one quadrant to skinny in the next quadrant to fat in the next. How can that be? This outer race is only half-inch by half-inch, but it's 42 inches in diameter. It doesn't have enough stiffness on its own. It gets its stiffness from the aluminum housing. If I'm getting different shaped barrels in each quadrant, that means my aluminum housing is potato-chipped. A potato chip is a saddle shape. It's not circular.
We went back and said to the helicopter company — they made the aluminum housing — what horizontal or vertical boring machine did you machine the aluminum housing on? They said, oh, we scrapped that, it was three years old, we sent it to the scrap yard, that's been destroyed. A three-million-dollar machine, three years old, time to scrap it. It's called hiding the evidence.
The upshot is — we ended up having five or six destroyed helicopters; I had to go down to Cherry Point a couple of times. Only one killed anybody, the one in Stratford. They had a milling machine that wasn't square, making distorted aluminum housings. They knew it, they hid it, and they passed the buck to the bearing manufacturer. The bearing manufacturer got out pretty cheap on the criminal case, but ended up paying off the helicopter company for the hull.
The reason was, there was a new manager at the bearing company, and all of these problems — the improper conformity, the failure in Stratford — didn't occur on his watch. When he came in with thirty million dollars in lawsuits in his first hundred days, he could say, let's pay it off and get rid of it, and not have to explain to the board of directors that he had been the problem. So he paid it off. The helicopter company got their blackmail.
A few of us were able to tell some people in the Navy in secret that it's not the bearing, it's the swash plate housing. The official story was an improper conformity bearing. That's the politics of it all.
But the precision machining of these things is pretty interesting. That was one part in ten thousand, five times better than what a good machinist gets. It had nothing to do with the steel ball on the steel race — it really had to do with the steel race inside the aluminum housing. Fortunately the helicopter company had been smart enough to scrap the three-year-old milling machine. Three years old, you get rid of milling machines, right.
There are a lot of things in these stories — the politics of paying off fifteen million dollars because the new manager could do it without taking the blame. He could pass the blame to somebody else. You should understand these things, because you could be on either side of that equation someday in your career.
§5. Time, atomic clocks, and the practical question [39:33]
So mass, length, and time. Let's talk about tolerances on time. Yesterday someone mentioned quartz clocks. In the old days. What was driving the need for precise time measurement? Navigation. They could do just fine with latitude, looking at the angle of the sun. But what do you do for longitude? You need accurate clocks. So the most accurate clocks were being developed in the 1600s and 1700s for marine navigation.
Mechanical clocks — the question is how many pieces can you break a second into? If a mechanical clock works at 10 Hertz or 100 Hertz, you're going to end up with a fair error, because if you're off by one percent at 10 Hertz, it adds up over the day. Then quartz clocks. What's the frequency of a quartz oscillator? On the order of 10 to the fifth Hertz, a hundred thousand Hertz. That's a significant improvement, good enough for most of us. I think this is a quartz clock.
Atomic clocks are at about 10 to the 10th Hertz. It was Isidor Rabi, one of the physicists in the 1930s, who suggested that we could use the vibrations of atoms at very high frequencies as a time standard. Before the laser, they had masers, which came out of radar in World War II — microwave. Laser is light amplification by stimulated emission of radiation. Before that they had masers, microwave-amplified stimulated emission of radiation. The guy working on masers who invented the laser — there was a patent dispute, just got resolved in the last 10 years. The guy who won the Nobel Prize for the laser was Charles Townes, who at one time was Provost here at MIT. He was at Bell Labs when he did his laser work.
The first maser for an atomic clock was done in the United Kingdom in their measurement laboratory — I looked it up this morning. Today they can get about one part in 10 to the 14th averaging over a day. Most recently, folks in the UK have come up with improved systems. How do you get something better? You go from microwaves to light. Now they have Bose-Einstein condensates, where they cool individual atoms down to within a fraction of a degree of absolute zero, and they go into a quantum state where the vibrations can be measured very precisely. Now they're at 10 to the 16th, which is good for one second in 138 million years.
So any of you who need to be on time for your next meeting 138 million years from now. You get to the point of, who cares. But someone out there does, and some of them care just because it's science. So these are the numbers — one part in 10 to the fifth for mass, one part in 10 to the fifth on average for length, and time at one part in 10 to the 10th or 10 to the 12th. That's why we do a lot of things based on time. The meter is defined in terms of time, the frequency standard, and the speed of light, because we can measure that at such high frequencies.
Now the real upshot of all this. What is the most precise manufacturing that we do on a regular basis? Is it making one of these little ball bearings to 50 micro inches on a half inch? That's about one part in ten thousand.
Microprocessors — you're right. But 10 years ago you would have been wrong. In most questions of that sort, you need to go to the extremes. One extreme is, what's the smallest thing we manufacture? It's a computer chip. Typical dimension of a computer chip is about one square centimeter. Features on it now are about 10 nanometers — might be 11 or 12, but order of magnitude 10 nanometers. That's 10 to the minus 8 against 10 to the minus 2, one part in 10 to the sixth.
But I said you go to an extreme. What's the other extreme of manufacturing? Large — thank you, that's an MIT answer, that's a 40,000-foot view answer. What's the largest manufactured object? They actually have ships longer than aircraft carriers — some ultra-large crude carriers — but for the Navy it's an aircraft carrier, about 300 meters in length. When you're putting that hull together, you'd better bring those plates together within about a millimeter, side to side. That's 10 to the minus 3 against 3 times 10 to the 2, so 3 in 10 to the sixth. Ships are almost as precise as computer chips in parts per million. You didn't know you worked in precision manufacturing, did you.
§6. NIST, mass redefinition, and shipbuilding by hydraulic ram [48:10]
I was down at NIST in March, and this person Catherine Gabby [Gebbie], who heads up their measurement system — which is now part of their manufacturing program — Catherine is well into her 80s, but she looks like a very prim and proper Bostonian. She graduated from Bryn Mawr, came to MIT for her last two years of undergraduate, got her bachelors in physics at MIT. The MIT physics department won't allow their undergraduates to go on to graduate school at MIT — they say you should go somewhere else. Same thing happened to Richard Feynman. He was an MIT undergraduate and couldn't get into graduate school at MIT, not because he wasn't smart enough, but because the physics department thinks you should go somewhere else, you don't spend your entire career at MIT. There are other good physics departments. We don't say that in the materials department, because there is no better materials department than MIT, why should we penalize our students.
Feynman went to Princeton. Catherine had to go up to the school up the road called Harvard, and she got her PhD there. She's been working on atomic clocks and heading up this whole area. She's quite a gracious lady. That was the first time I'd heard about the rice-size atomic clock that they developed in 2004, which as of last year you can now purchase commercially.
She had said their big problem is they're trying to come up with a uniform standard for mass. The problem is — I told you yesterday — there's still this platinum-iridium mass held in the vault in Sèvres, France, only taken out of the vault about every 10 years. As far as they can tell, it's losing weight at 60 micrograms per century. I went up to her at the break and said, why is this thing losing weight, and how do you know if it's the reference standard? She said, we weighed it against a bunch of other reference standards, and they're either all gaining weight at the same rate, or this one's losing weight. I said, how can it be losing weight? Oh well, platinum oxidizes. Excuse me, I'm a materials scientist, I didn't know platinum oxidized a whole lot. But apparently before they weigh it — it's been in a vault under vacuum — they wipe it down. So they're wearing it away every 10 years when they wipe it with some cloth before they weigh it. It's all statistics. They think it's losing weight, so they want to define it in terms of some non-variable standard.
They're going to try to relate it to Planck's constant. This was part of her talk, and I was sitting there worrying for the next 45 minutes, how do you get mass out of Planck's constant? The only thing I could think of was — it took me 45 minutes — Planck's constant: E equals h-nu, where that's energy and Planck's constant and the frequency. This is the formula that Einstein won the Nobel Prize for. He didn't win it for relativity, he won it for the photoelectric effect, and this was the formula. But there's also E equals m-c-squared. Put them together: E equals hc over lambda. So here's mass, here's h, equate the two, you've got the speed of light and a wavelength, and you can define mass.
I said, so is it just using E equals m-c-squared and E equals h-nu? She said, no, it's more complicated than that, I'll get you a paper. The paper I gave out to you is the same paper she gave me. I read it that night, and it turns out it is just these, but it's a little more complex than that, she's right. So we're both right, it's a little more complex.
The next day I'm chatting with her, and I say, do you know what the most precise manufacturing is? In parts per thousand. You can machine a little one-inch bar to one inch in diameter — how precise is that? She said, no. I said, it's shipbuilding. She said, it is? I said, yeah, the bigger it gets, the more — oh, that makes sense. She accepted that. Then she said, well, how do they do it? The problem with shipbuilding is, if the sun goes behind the clouds or comes out, the length of the ship changes significantly — it can grow half an inch depending on the time of day. You've got to be more precise than that. I said, they use big hydraulic rams, that's how they do it.
That's the sublime to the ridiculous. How do you do it? You just go in there and do it by brute force. If you've been to a shipyard, you've seen the rams, you've seen the strongbacks. They just pull it together. And you hope that the sun doesn't get too hot in the middle of the day and change all your dimensions.
So one of my themes in this whole thing was to teach you that you were working in one of the most precise industries in terms of parts per thousand. The guy who first pointed this out to me was Dan Whitney over in mechanical engineering.
§7. Design, simulation, and how engineering progresses [54:54]
Let me introduce Dr. Simone Belmar. Simone will be lecturing tomorrow on safety factors, which is sort of a standalone thing. I won't be here tomorrow, but I'll be here Thursday and Friday. I should be here next Monday, and probably Tuesday. I won't be here Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday — I have a son who's graduating.
Any questions? If you ask me a question, I can tell another story. I had to tell you my own story about Stratford, Connecticut, helicopters, and DOD forms.
Student: [question about the bearing specification]
When the bearing manufacturer makes these — Ready Slim bearings — if you needed a stiff bearing, you'd have to make it several inches in cross-section, not half an inch by half an inch, and that would be too heavy to fly for a helicopter. So they put it in an aluminum housing which is lightweight, which gives you the stiffness. Was there anything wrong with the specification for the bearing? The FBI was looking at the drawings, going through all the specifications. That drawing for that bearing is a piece of military hardware, because they sold it for a military helicopter. If it were a commercial helicopter, there'd be a separate set of drawings. But for military hardware, the DOD owns the drawing. The question for the FBI was, did they not meet specification, and was there criminal intent? The FBI was ready to crucify this company.
The FBI actually came in and took over the quality control section of the bearing manufacturer in Michigan. Why? The whole fleet was grounded. This had risen all the way up to the Pentagon, and people were saying, if someone attacks us, we don't have any MH-53s available. When something like that happens, it gets to very high levels. They call the FBI. The FBI came in because the government has the right to take over a manufacturing facility for national security interests, and they basically did that. The helicopter manufacturer said, it's not our fault, our poor pilots died because this bearing company made a bad bearing once before, and they must have done it again. We don't have any proof, but it's impossible to prove. We never made a mistake — not ABC helicopter company.
So the FBI, a bunch of law enforcement officials with all their engineering expertise, took over QC and made sure the company produced — as absolute first priority — new bearings that met the specification, until the fleet got back up and running. We're talking about tolerances that are one part in ten thousand. Not everybody can even measure those — you have to know how. Good old Lord Kelvin: you don't have any science unless you can measure it. They knew it met spec when they machined it, because they machined everything in the same oil bath. Now you take it out of the bath, and you have to measure it in a clean room at 72 degrees plus or minus one degree, to make sure it'll fit in the aluminum housing.
A lot of times failures occur at the interfaces. We have the interface between the steel bearing made by company A and the helicopter swash plate made by company B. And if they don't fit together, whose fault is it? That was your question, sort of. Whose fault is it? Specifications. We couldn't even look at these other bearings unless the FBI would open the padlock to let us look at them. And everything anyone measured met specification at the bearing company. But it doesn't matter, the helicopter company said it had to be an improper conformity bearing.
Then I'm sitting there looking at it and said, they're all barrel-shaped, I don't see any hourglasses. Everybody had been looking at this, and all of a sudden, after a day and a half, it just hit me. If this were what I had — when the whole thing heats up during the frictional heating of the crash, the heat that caused it to seize soaks back and pushes the balls into the race. If it's an improper conformity, you'd get hourglasses. But what I had was barrels — proper conformity. So the whole hypothesis of the helicopter company, I could prove was wrong.
Unfortunately, the third day was when the new president came in, and we went to dinner. The attorneys came and the new president, and he explained at dinner: this wasn't his problem, it wasn't on his watch, and he was going to settle the case. Even though I had found the key that was going to unlock this — and we were also trying to find out what happened to the milling machine that machined the swash plate. If we'd gotten that milling machine and found that the bed was potato-chipped, that's how you machine a potato-chip housing. But they scrapped a three-year-old machine. Everybody throws out three-million-dollar machines after three years. I bet your refrigerator, you don't keep it for more than six weeks, right.
Student: [question about design]
You hope someone designed it well in the beginning. How do you know? Mostly by experience. We like to think we do fancy computer calculations today, and we do — much more sophisticated than 25 years ago, because computers are much more sophisticated. You can simulate things, design them, play what-ifs, and come up with a good design by computer today.
In the past, it was: we made one like this 20 years before, we're going to improve it and make it 10 times better, increase the size — always incremental. You'd go until you had a failure. There's a guy, Henry Petroski at Duke University, a civil engineer, who wrote a book To Engineer is Human, playing off "to err is human." His whole thesis is that we only progress in engineering by making mistakes and having failures. We analyze the failure, figure out why it occurred, and fix it. That's how we progress. He goes back through hundreds of years of bridge building and explains that's how we learn to build bridges, how we learned to build ships. We made mistakes.
We're starting to transition out of that in the last 20 years. We can now put enough into a computer program — not just the geometry and the stresses. The first CAD program was developed in mechanical engineering here at MIT in like 1969, Sketchpad. It was very crude, but you could input geometry, lengthen something or shrink something. If you were a mechanical engineer 50 years ago, you'd have to take drafting courses — pen and pencil, little rulers. Sketchpad came along, and we could put geometry into the computer. In the 70s, there were finite element analysis programs, and you could put stresses into that geometry. Of course we had to learn to be compatible with the CAD program and the finite element analysis.
In the 80s, people started saying, can we put properties or performance in with the stresses? Now that we know the stresses and the geometry, can we calculate fatigue cracking, stress corrosion cracking, performance? So now the national labs — a lot of this is driven by the weapons labs, the nuclear guys, because you can't go test nuclear weapons anymore. You have to do it all in computers. The supercomputers are simulating nuclear explosions in hundred-million-dollar or billion-dollar programs, because you can't go and spend a billion dollars blowing up Nevada. It's part of the treaties. And all those little sheep in Utah don't die from radiation poisoning anymore. You know that story — how the winds from the nuclear test sites blew over St. George, Utah, and a bunch of sheep died, and some people in St. George said, why are sheep dying? The people at DOE went, no. Unfortunately some of the humans in St. George were also being rained on.
Now we're getting to the point — partly driven by the nuclear guys, who can't do full-scale tests, can't even do small-scale tests, because a small-scale nuclear test is still a pretty big test — is it fair to say we're getting to the point you can design something you have no experience with, and come up with a pretty good idea of structure, properties, and performance?
Student: When it comes to putting it together — manufacturing, service maintenance, operators — we're not there yet, to predict all of those.
That could be the next step for the next 10 years, where people are going to try to say, what's our manufacturing capability, what tolerances can we really control, what QC programs will we put in. If you look at the last 40 years, we go from Sketchpad in the 60s — geometry in the computer — to finite element in the 70s — stresses — to the 80s and 90s — properties and performance. Now we have to get back, as Simone says, to manufacturability, and we're not there yet. You can't simulate everything. Someday we'll have computers smart enough to do everything, right.
Has anybody seen 2001: A Space Odyssey? They don't show that movie anymore. Here's a trivia question: why was the computer named HAL? See how many people knew that. So if we want to talk about what was the theme for today, the theme is, why was the computer named HAL? There are some things that really are in the noise in terms of whether you need to know them, but these are the important things to me — like why was the computer named HAL.
§8. Materials properties — carbon as a case study [69:10]
I've got a little bit of time, so let me go back to what I was trying to do today. I was trying to give you some idea of the practical limits on manufacturing, and some of the limitations — fingerprints, temperature, frequency of measurement for time. We could have gone through the ampere, but I don't know anything about that. Well, that wouldn't have kept me from going through it, just because I didn't know anything about it.
What I really wanted to get to is that shipbuilding, on one level, is a precision manufacturing process. But we don't spend anywhere near the time or money in shipbuilding that they do in semiconductor manufacturing. A new semiconductor fab will cost 10 billion dollars. Who's invested 10 billion dollars in a shipyard lately? Well, they're going to sell millions of these chips and how many dozens of these ships?
They are bigger. When you sell fewer of them and you're sort of specialized — one of the big problems in manufacturing is that a lot of our technology is built around military needs. I taught a freshman seminar — Mike reminded me he was a freshman in that seminar — with Professor Hosler, who teaches archeology, when I was a department head. She asked if I'd do a freshman seminar with her, and we did one on what drives technology. My theory was, military needs have driven technology through the ages — catapults and things like that.
The whole term engineering — does anyone know what the word engineer comes from? It comes from the French word ingénieur, which means maker of war machines. What was the first engineering school in the world? It's the École Polytechnique in Paris, in the 1750s. The first one in the United States — West Point, 1797. Where did we get the term civil engineering? In 1823, when they founded Rensselaer Polytechnic in Troy, New York. They started a curriculum of study and called it civil engineering — there was only one curriculum, called civil engineering to distinguish it from military engineering. Why did they need civil engineers in New York in 1823? Erie Canal, exactly. See, it all makes sense if you put it in context.
Engineering is a relatively new profession. My theory was that we've advanced technology over the ages because of security, military needs. Professor Hosler's theory was that we did it all for art and culture — that people in Central America, where she does her archeology, made these little bells for religious purposes, or needed a special knife to dig out a heart for sacrifice. They would do this for religious and cultural reasons.
That was the conundrum, the theme for the students to figure out. The students had to do a presentation, and I remember what they chose — chocolate. They were going to do presentations on chocolate. This was the late 1990s. About the third group, I said, did anyone here go to the library? Did everyone try to do all their research on the World Wide Web? That's when, for me, it was the transition of realizing students don't even know what a library is anymore. If you can't Google it, it doesn't exist.
The theme of today is, there are some practical limits to the precision with which we do manufacturing. Any questions? See if you can get me off, and I can tell stories. I haven't told you a story about how MIT fits in the engineering equation, or how Harvard does, but we can save that for another day.
Last time I also took you through a little bit of an introduction of chemistry. The physical measurements stuff has to do with physics, but chemistry — I handed out a dozen or 13 different materials of half-inch spheres. You scope McMaster-Carr and order every sphere you can think of. The tungsten carbide sphere costs about 50 bucks. That's why I only own one. The silicon nitride also costs about 50 bucks, and I only own one. The others — you can buy a hundred stainless steel spheres for two bucks. Anybody wants some steelies for your marble collection, I've got them.
As far as chemistry — and this goes back to the big broad MIT answers, like "large," that was a good answer. We go back to the basics. The little exercise with the balls was: what material properties do you know about that separate out these unknown materials? Magnetism could help you on some. You didn't know enough to take out your Bic lighter and start burning the polyethylene. But there are many material properties.
If I take a simple material like carbon — this is the structure of graphite. You can tell it's graphite because the atoms are black. This is diamond cubic, and you can tell it's carbon because the atoms are black — they're black here, they're black here. Two different structures: hexagonal close pack, and diamond cubic. They have very different properties. Same composition, very different properties.
What are the properties of diamond and graphite? It gets back to chemical bonding. Diamond is sp3 hybrid bonding. It forms a tetrahedron shape. Every carbon atom has four nearest neighbors arranged like the sides of a tetrahedron — a pyramid of four equilateral triangles. Graphite has sp2 hybrid bonding, which is 120-degree angles in a plane. You can see that if you look at the basal plane end-on — 120-degree angles, all planar. Diamond forms a three-dimensional structure.
Diamond is very hard, very strong bonds. Graphite is a planar structure — these things slip, slide over each other. When you get to cold welding — you'll hear me tell the story about the first initial space shots and how graphite didn't work as a lubricant. So the crystal structures, diamond cubic versus hexagonal. Density is significantly different. Optically, diamonds are transparent to visible light, graphite's black. Why? This structure leaves me some free electrons which absorb light. The diamond structure leaves me no free electrons. Because of that, diamond's an insulator and graphite's a conductor. There are 12 to 15 orders of magnitude difference in conductivity of diamond versus graphite.
Thermal properties — because diamond is cubic, the properties are uniform in all three directions, isotropic. Certain forms of graphite have the highest thermal conductivity in one direction. If I really wanted good thermal conductivity, to suck the heat out of something, if I could do it I'd make single-crystal graphite. But it's not easy. You can have anisotropic properties, where in one direction graphite has about a hundred times the thermal conductivity of any other material.
Nowadays people are getting very excited because the physicists have discovered graphene. Anybody know what graphene is? A single layer sheet of carbon atoms. You've heard of Buckyballs — a 60-atom soccer-ball shape of carbon atoms with sp3 hybrid type bonding. Then they have Bucky tubes, carbon nanotubes, little cylindrical tubes. And now some guys won the Nobel Prize a year or so ago because they discovered graphene and found a way to make single-layer sheets.
Why are they so interested? Because the carbon-carbon bond is the second-strongest bond we know. The only stronger bond is silicon-oxygen. So very strong, that's why it's very hard. They're predicting all kinds of things for graphene sheets. They predict the strength of these carbon nanotubes is 2 million PSI. Well, when you watch some of the other videos, I'll explain that we had iron whiskers with 2 million PSI 60 years ago. The physicists don't know about it though — don't tell them.
Thermal properties are dramatically different. Mechanical wear — diamond is an abrasive, graphite is a lubricant most of the time. Hardness — diamond is the hardest material because it's got the strongest bonds in a three-dimensional network. Graphite is relatively soft. Abundance — diamond is rare, carbon is abundant, all the coal we've burned. Cost varies from low to high depending on uniformity of properties. I was thinking about machinability for some other reasons this morning, so I added it — diamond is very difficult to machine, can be done with diamond powder, you can abrade it away. Graphite is very easy to machine.
You can think of all kinds of properties. It's not just the atom, it's the bonding configuration of that atom. The whole field of materials science works with understanding the bonding between atoms and what properties result. The physics folks have to worry about, in a manufacturing sense, how you put those things together. If you're going to build a ship, you have to worry about all these things.
That's probably enough for today. You'll get safety factors tomorrow. I'll see you Thursday. Thank you.