WM_Su2015_01

Welding Metallurgy Summer 2015 Session · 11 sections 10 cases · Watch on YouTube ↗ all files
Layer 3 — readable edition

§1. Course logistics and introductions [00:04]

§1.p1

I'm Tom Eagar. I came here as an undergraduate in 1968, got my doctoral degree here, worked with Bethlehem Steel Corporation for almost two years, and came back as a faculty member. I've been here ever since, except for one year — my first sabbatical, in 1984 and 85 — in Tokyo, Japan, with the US Office of Naval Research.

§1.p2

I sent around a sign-up sheet. The sheet from the registrar lists ten of you, plus there's supposedly two or three other non-students. So please sign up. The course is videotaped, so if it's hard to get to class you can take that lecture by video. It'll be posted on YouTube. Stellar, which is the MIT course website, hadn't even started to do it for the summer as of last Thursday. I used to give out hard copy handouts, but now you'll get things digitally. I guess I'm just an old dinosaur.

§1.p3

To get 12 units you need about 36 hours of lectures. On Mondays, Wednesdays, and Fridays — except this Friday, I'll be out of town — we'll meet for one hour until about 8:40. On Tuesdays and Thursdays we'll meet for two hours with a break in the middle, but this Thursday and next Thursday I've got something scheduled, so we'll only meet for one hour. I need to lecture about 8 or 10 hours, maybe 12, and each of you needs to make a presentation. We can do two or three presentations in an hour.

§2. The 2N Navy program and the SDM context [04:07]

§2.p1

Most of the students here are in the US Navy program. Navy officers come back for three years to get two master's degrees. It's a plum assignment. There used to be about ten universities across the country where the Navy would send back their officers. The Navy sends people back to learn new skills and go back, because they're doing the same type of work. A lot of them end up in the SDM program. Typically half to three-quarters of the Navy students go into the SDM program during the three years and get an SDM degree.

§2.p2

Student: It's about a three-term program. The name is System Design and Management, and it primarily focuses around engineering professionals — they have about eight years experience — coming back to focus on system architecture, project management, and system engineering. So it's a unique program in that you take some courses from the business school, from Sloan, and you take some from the engineering school that you kind of tailored based on what company or field you're going to go back to.

§2.p3

It turns out it's almost perfect, except the 2N program already existed before SDM was created — SDM started around 1994 or 95. But the Navy program goes back 120 years. There used to be ten or twelve universities in the country; there are now two: the Naval Postgraduate School at Monterey and the MIT program. There used to be four or five that had a Navy nuclear degree — MIT, Penn State, University of Michigan, others — but with budget cutbacks they've all gone away except this one. Monterey is always trying to kill this program. I've been to meetings in Washington for 30 years about whether they're going to keep the 2N program at MIT, and the Navy brass all decide they want you.

§2.p4

One of you asked before class, how'd you get this assignment rather than Monterey? Monterey, pretty nice weather, let's face it. But this is the diploma assignment, and you really are here because you're the best the Navy has to offer. And you're the best Boeing has to offer. People who've gone back to Boeing from this program have ended up a couple years later heading up the building of a new aircraft for the whole program. Some of you will head up building a whole new ship.

§2.p5

One of the first people I met in Washington was Millard Firebaugh. Millard was a captain at the time, head of the SSN-21 program — the Sea Wolf submarine, in the 1980s when it got cancelled by Congress. Then he had to go up to the Hill, they got it reinstated, and then when the Sea Wolf had a problem — this is getting to the point where some of you were barely born — it ended up costing the Navy $2 billion. At that point Captain Firebaugh, who was a graduate of this program before my time, was then Admiral Firebaugh, Chief Engineer of the Navy, and he put me on the committee with a bunch of other people to figure out what went wrong.

§3. The student presentation assignment [10:08]

§3.p1

Your assignment is to give a ten-minute presentation, a PowerPoint of no more than ten slides. It can be on any subject you like. To give you an idea of what the 2N people did last year: one student did flight deck corrosion. A lot of these are things you may have already done at a shipyard or on board ship.

§3.p2

One year after the Second Gulf War — which only lasted two or three days — there was a destroyer in the Persian Gulf that was part of the attack. All of a sudden their 3,000 psi air system went out, and if you lose your 3,000 psi air system, not much else works. They had to come offline in the middle of the attack. People in the Pentagon were not happy. It turned out to be a stress corrosion cracking problem in a brass valve that blew. One student who had been on board that ship gave his presentation on that experience. Another student in the same class, they didn't know that both of them had worked on different parts of this — the other student had been in the Naval Supply Center in Philadelphia, and after this occurred they had to study everything in inventory, because the brass alloy was the wrong alloy. They found about twenty-some percent of all the brass valves in the Supply Center were the wrong brass alloy. Both of them were working on different parts of the same problem.

§3.p3

Other students did replacing Monel in submarine piping with titanium; Monel weld metal on stainless steel; a bearing failure they were familiar with; new ship construction. One Navy nuke did nuclear corrosion from a generic point of view, because he felt anything he knew about Navy nukes must be classified. It's not true, but nonetheless. You can do corrosion, welding — I've had students talk about sailboat masts. Any topic you want. If you pick a topic you're interested in, you'll do a better job. Many of you have had to do presentations, and I don't care if you reuse one. When undergraduates take this, some of them will do something they did for their summer internship.

§3.p4

MIT requires that I evaluate each student independently. I have a very bad attitude about teaching, having been a student here, and having taught here for a number of years. Looking at how we teach in general in this country, we teach so that students can pass exams. We don't teach so students can learn. We train you to take a quiz, and I'm of the opinion you wouldn't be here at MIT if you didn't know how to take a quiz. So I'm not interested in testing your ability to take a quiz, I'm not interested in writing the quiz, I'm not interested in grading the quiz. Students will say they enjoy the students' presentations as much as the lectures.

§3.p5

I learn more from the students' presentations than from the lectures, because it's sort of assumed that maybe I knew what I was talking about in the lectures. I would much rather that you interrupt me in the lecture and ask a question, so that I can digress on something else. That's the challenge for me — whether I have a story to tell about your question. Students are usually pretty surprised to see the breadth of my stories after 40 years in this business. I'd rather tell the story, because I've never heard these lectures. After you've taken the class 20 times, it gets to be kind of old hat.

§4. Adjusting to MIT [15:09]

§4.p1

Getting an education at MIT is like taking a drink from the fire hose, and it's not a bad analogy. MIT is not really that intimidating. Ninety-five percent of all the pressure at MIT is self-inflicted. Doesn't matter whether you're a student or a faculty member. There's a lot of pressure around here. So you need to learn to adapt to the pressure. I gave him a copy of an article I wrote ten years ago to the MIT Faculty Newsletter on leadership, management, and education at MIT, trying to tell what I'd learned over 36 years about what makes MIT unique.

§4.p2

One of the things that makes MIT unique — not completely unique; Caltech and MIT are somewhat unique — is they only admit one class of students. Anybody know what the class of students is? Scholars. Whereas Harvard and the other Ivy League schools admit scholars, athletes, and legacy students. You can always compare yourself to a legacy student, because most of them probably shouldn't have gotten out of high school. They're a great hockey goalie or whatever. But at MIT you have no one to compare yourself with like that, and on average, you're average. MIT is not really as intimidating as you hear. Other people fought through, so why shouldn't you be able to?

§4.p3

There'll be times — I think I told the story about freshman year when I thought I was going to flunk freshman physics. I don't think I told the story about junior year when I had my epiphany. I was taking introduction to quantum mechanics in the physics department. I was a materials student; why I decided to take quantum mechanics I don't know. But I had a good teacher, a full professor of physics, one of the first two women to get full professorship at MIT. Her father was a Nobel laureate at Harvard, chemistry. Brilliant woman, nice person. I didn't follow a thing she was talking about in class. I was getting 15s out of 100 when everybody was getting 85 out of 100 on homeworks. The night before the three-hour final I said, okay, I'm going to take Eisberg-Resnick, Fundamentals of Modern Physics, and just go through and pick out the highlights.

§4.p4

I did. I went into the three-hour exam, finished it in an hour and 20 minutes, checked it over, and walked out. I got an A. All of a sudden a light went off and I said, all that other stuff they talk about, it's just fluff. They can only get two or three points across in an hour. If you could figure out what those two or three points were, that's what the quiz was going to be on. From there on out I didn't take notes. I just sat there trying to figure out what was this professor's outline, what was he trying to tell me. A lot of anything in life is trying to figure out what the problem is.

§5. World Trade Center, Lester Thurow, and the soundbite world [19:47]

§5.p1

I've given you some other handouts. One's an article I wrote a couple weeks after the World Trade Center collapsed, which for about eight or ten years was the number one article if you looked up Google "WTC collapse." The reason it was the number one article is I was asked by an editor to write it. I was so sick of hearing false information, like the steel melted in the fire. Anyone who's ever been to a fire knows that steel doesn't melt in a fire. If steel melted in the fire, we didn't need Sir Henry Bessemer in 1856 to teach us how to melt steel — we would have been melting it for a few thousand years before that. I wrote this in three hours, which is less time than it took for me to write any of my several hundred publications. I've gotten more comments on this, positive and negative, than any paper I've ever written, or actually all of the papers combined. Why? Because I wrote it for a high school science student. I was trying to write it so someone could understand it.

§5.p2

That's one of the things I learned almost 30 years ago, when I took the Sloan School Senior Executives Program, and I heard this guy Lester Thurow talk. He was the dean of the Sloan School. He called himself an educational economist. His colleagues at Sloan School called him "Lester the rower." But Lester — this is 1988 — was getting $30,000 a lecture, not quite as good as the Clintons are doing right now, but still pretty good. He had the number two top-selling book on the New York Times list, and as he once said, you never try to compete with Princess Diana's book.

§5.p3

When I took this senior executive program, Lester came in twice to talk to us. He was just an engaging speaker. I just loved to listen to him. He seemed to make so much sense. The first time, I was impressed. The second time, the 49 other senior executives in industry — I was the one academic — were all enthralled to hear him again. I was sitting there trying to analyze what he said and why he was such — well, I wouldn't mind getting $30,000 for a lecture. If you start figuring out what your tuition is, MIT is getting about $30,000 for this lecture.

§5.p4

At the end I realized he didn't say anything I didn't already know, but it was the way he said it. By 1989 I changed the way I was going to conferences and giving talks. For example, I was giving a keynote lecture on resistance spot welding — how they put automotive bodies together — at a conference in Gatlinburg, Tennessee. I said, you know, they put 3,000 spot welds in the average automobile because you need 2,000 good ones. A year later at the Welding Society conference at a reception, I heard someone behind me say, "you know, they put 3,000 spot welds in there." People will remember short little quotes. We live in a soundbite world.

§5.p5

My favorite quote from Lester was a few years later. He was Dean of the Sloan School, giving a lecture at the Marriott Hotel to a group of alums. He was lamenting the fact that we tend to lose some of our best faculty to other universities who pay big bucks for them. Everyone kind of knew he was talking about Robert Merton. Merton was the guy who worked with Black and Scholes on derivatives — not dy/dx, but derivatives as trading on Wall Street. It's called the Black-Scholes method, but Merton was the postdoc working with these faculty, and they came up with this way to predict the price of a stock in the future in a very precise mathematical way. This led to the whole derivatives trading, which led to the collapse of the economy in 2008. You have a bunch of people on Wall Street sitting around the table placing bets with each other.

§5.p6

They call it selling the risk, trading the risk. Every time someone who owns $5 billion worth of mortgages says, I'll sell you $3 billion of these, but you're going to have to give me 2%, or I'll give you 2% for assuming the risk — they just go around in a circle and keep trading paper, no value added. And everyone is getting a cut of the action on trillions of dollars. The amount of derivatives in 2004 in the world was $1 trillion. The amount of derivatives in 2008, at the time of the collapse, was $50 trillion. It's equal to the world's gross domestic product for a year. When a couple of banks defaulted, they were going to have to pay another bank, and they didn't have the cash. The other bank was going to have to pay the other guy on the other side of the table, and they didn't want to give up their cash. Just like the stock market crash of '29: everyone wanted to hold on to their cash, because they were afraid someone was going to call them on their paper.

§5.p7

Merton had been a faculty member at Sloan. He got hired away for big bucks to Harvard, and a couple years later won the Nobel Prize. Lester's lamenting the fact that some of our star faculty are hired away, but he says: fortunately they tend to hire our extinct volcanoes. Think about it. He didn't have to explain to anybody in the room what he meant by an extinct volcano in that context. You need to learn to communicate in vivid metaphor. That's what the management at the top wants to hear, folks.

§6. Why steel: ceramics, toughness, and critical flaw size [27:02]

§6.p1

Another article you'll get is Materials Research Needs in the 21st Century. I wrote this for the National Research Council of the National Academy. They had a committee of distinguished people trying to tell the Defense Department what high-tech materials they would be using in the 21st century. Copyright 2003, so we were doing this around 2001. Harvey Schadler was chair, General Electric Research. Alan Liss, General Dynamics retired. James Baskerville, Bath Iron Works — I think he was a grad of this program too. Millard Firebaugh I mentioned; he was at Electric Boat then, but has been Chief Engineer of the Navy.

§6.p2

I didn't really fit in, because I tended to agree with this million-dollar US Army study. The US Army had done a study in the late 1990s of what material they would be using the most of in the next 30 or 40 years. Anybody know what it was? Student: Aluminum? A million dollars to figure this out. Student: Humans? Steel. I'm going to tell you why it's steel in a moment. Because I could convince them that it would be steel, and they needed me to write something, I sort of took the outline of my material selection course — which is one of the modules of 12 units — and I put it into this four-page summary, which they put into an appendix. It doesn't have my name associated with it. I'm not ashamed of it.

§6.p3

In 1992 I wrote this article in the Welding Journal called "The Future of Metals." This was at a time when people thought fine ceramics were going to take over jet engines and everything else, and they didn't. I was predicting in 1992 that they wouldn't. How did I know? Because I was looking at the properties. What do you think about a ceramic as a structural material? Student: Hard, brittle. Hard, brittle, right. High temperature too, which is why they wanted it for jet engines. They actually built jet engines, but it turns out the critical flaw size for a brittle material is extremely small. The formula is simple: the toughness has to be greater than the stress times the square root of pi times the crack length. You can get a very high applied stress. The toughness of a ceramic is terrible. Anyone ever seen someone cut glass? They score it. They take a carbide or a diamond tool and scratch the surface, and then they hit it with the heel of their hand and it'll break right where they put the scratch — because the critical flaw size is less than a human hair for a brittle material like glass.

§6.p4

So as long as you make a jet engine with no imperfections larger than half or one-tenth the size of a human hair, it'll run at great temperatures. We've already done that. It's called a cruise missile. The cruise missile engine is made out of graphite. Graphite's not particularly tough, but it only has to last for an hour, and the bigger problem is keeping it from burning up in an hour. They put coatings on it. But graphite's tougher than most of the ceramics.

§6.p5

When I was in Tokyo in the mid '80s, they had what they called ceramics fever. They had a ceramic show in 1985, when I left — a million people showed up. Not just scientists; everybody thought fine ceramics were great and were going to take over the world. I came back and gave talks at NIST in Gaithersburg, Maryland. I got up and said, the problem with ceramics is they don't have any toughness. The only structural materials made out of ceramics are Portland cement and toilet bowls. I'd throw in the kitchen sink, but you've got to line it with cast iron to give fracture toughness. If you drop something in the sink and it was just made out of ceramic, you'd end up with a shattered sink. So they make it out of cast iron — and gray cast iron is the worst metal of all in terms of toughness. People forget this toughness requirement.

§7. Ashby plots and concrete in compression [34:14]

§7.p1

[Tom puts up an Ashby plot from Mike Ashby's book on material selection.] Professor Ashby was at Harvard, now retired from Oxford. He's British, a great scholar. He wrote a book on material selection and mechanical design. If you're not already a materials person at Boeing, the material selection module is one of my favorite modules, although you're going to hear me talk about steel all the time. This graph is fracture toughness versus strength for a lot of classes of material on a log scale. You can plot anything on a log scale and get a straight line.

§7.p2

Here's the fracture toughness K₁c squared over pi times sigma s — basically the critical crack length. If this is in centimeters, 100 cm would be the critical flaw size. That's pretty big, except the only materials that will cross that line are some of the engineering alloys, and steels are right up here. You want the highest strength and the highest toughness, so up at 45° you want everything at the top of this, and that's where steels are, along with nickel, titanium, copper. Aluminum alloys are way down here. Engineered ceramics are down here — critical flaw size of 10⁻³ cm, less than a human hair. Ceramics are great as long as you load them in compression. That's what we do with Portland cement.

§7.p3

Student: I don't know what it means to load something under compression — for instance that 3,000 psi, what does that mean? Okay. Portland cement: you start with limestone, put it in a kiln, drive the CO₂ off, make burnt lime, which is calcium oxide, magnesium oxide, and other things. You throw some sand in, which makes a composite, and you mix it with water. The water hydrates the burnt lime: calcium oxide plus H₂O gives you calcium hydroxide. This is a way oversimplified formula, but that's basically it. It takes time to set up, and it gives off heat. If you pour Portland cement and stick a thermometer in it, five hours later it'll be about 140 or 150°F. It's an exothermic reaction. It takes a month to get to its engineering strength.

§7.p4

When they pour the foundation for the new NanoTech building, they'll pour cores and send them to a laboratory. They may test them after one week — it has to support a thousand psi after one week, because it hasn't finished setting up. After 30 days its structural design strength should be 3,000 psi, and if it fails, rip it out and start over. Student: That tells me you load it to make sure it's working correctly, to make sure there are no flaws. But you only put it in compression. If you want to put it in tension, you have to use steel rebar.

§7.p5

[Tom produces a piece of steel rebar.] Here's a piece of steel rebar. It's got notches rolled into the surface, so that the concrete grabs those, and that takes the tension. If you make a concrete beam, the bottom of the beam that's in bending tension — it's the steel that's taking the tension, not the concrete. Concrete may have 500 psi tension capability, but it depends on the size of the bubbles in there. The engineering credit you get for concrete in tension in an engineering design is zero, and 3,000 psi in compression. When they were pouring some steps in the basement of NanoLab, they have wire mesh for the steps. Well, steps are mostly in compression — you stand on them, you're not pulling on them.

§7.p6

Student: Were you saying that concrete doesn't set correctly unless you compress it as it's curing? No, I'm just saying it takes time to get to its strength. Just like two-part epoxy, concrete is two-part — you take the dry Portland cement, you mix it with water, and it forms a chemical reaction. It takes a month or more to harden up. In fact it can take years. The oldest reinforced concrete structure in the country is Harvard football stadium. If you go ask the workmen around here about drilling in these concrete walls — this stuff is really hard after a hundred years of setting up. You have to have a hammer drill with a carbide tip.

§8. The Dan Rather building collapse [41:00]

§8.p1

Student: Concrete is really good to resist being crushed, but it's very weak when being pulled apart. So you want to use it in applications where you're only crushing it. You can't put it in tension. I had a case I'll tell — back in the early '80s they were building a new building for Dan Rather, for CBS at the time. Six-story building in Manhattan. They had concrete beams with steel rebar. During construction, one of the beams on the fifth floor — the bottom in tension, compression on the top, that's fine for concrete; concrete's great in compression but lousy in tension — broke. Like a house of cards or dominoes, all the other beams came down. One workman broke a leg from stuff falling on him, but otherwise it was a $50 million loss. Plus Dan Rather didn't have this nice new room for another year.

§8.p2

I went out to the scene. Looking at all this rubble, you couldn't really tell too much. You couldn't get on the other side, because you'd be out in the middle of the air. Finally they had some inspection. I couldn't meet the day of the inspection because of a family vacation, so I had to go like two weeks later to this wood storage facility — CBS's property, where they had to store the stuff while the walls were going to go on. CBS owned Steinway Piano at the time, and Steinway has to season their wood, so they had big racks of wood out there seasoning for five years. Right across the way, through the chain-link fence, was LaGuardia Airport — the runway 100 yards further down. Middle of July, I'm looking down at the fracture surface, the brittle fracture on the steel. This rebar should not brittle fracture — you bend before you break. You've been to a construction site, you've seen a bent rebar.

§8.p3

But this was a brittle fracture. Then I looked at one with concrete on the fracture surface. I looked at some others still encased in concrete — and I realized they had tack-welded these things together where they crossed. You don't tack-weld rebar. High carbon, it'll form a brittle fracture; that's how lousy fracture toughness is — you'll drop it by a factor of eight. So this tension connection was now a brittle tension connection, because the weldability of the steel was lousy. Student: How are you otherwise supposed to connect the re— you wire it together. You take little wires and you wire it together, you make a cage. There are rebars that are designed to have high strength and low carbon for good weldability, but most rebar is garden-variety merchant-quality steel. That was the answer to this case. And then I got a personal tour of the Steinway Piano factory, and now when I see a Steinway I go up and start inspecting it to see all the different things they do for a Steinway. A lot of good reasons it costs so much.

§9. The Sea Wolf weld inspection problem [44:59]

§9.p1

One of the points I'm trying to make — this is one of the two or three for today's lecture — is that we use metals because they have good toughness, and we don't use ceramics because they have lousy toughness. Their critical flaw size is so small that you can never inspect for those things. The Sea Wolf submarine problem, to get back to a Navy example, is that they ended up getting too high carbon content and alloy content. The weld metal was 30 or 40% higher strength than it was intended to be, because of the chemistry, and they got a less tough steel. It formed little microscopic flaws that the original inspectors weren't looking for, something that small. It's a different type of cracking that we hadn't seen before. They had built 18% of the ship before a guy found it.

§9.p2

He found it by a non-destructive test technique that was not exactly authorized. The outside of the hull has to be very smooth. They grind off the weld reinforcement, because you want a hull so smooth that even the weld reinforcement would create enough of a ripple that a guy listening on the other side could hear it. So they grind the weld smooth on the outside surface. The grinder was grinding, and he saw some of the grinding swarf — what's grinding swarf? Grinding swarf is the little powder you get from grinding. He noticed some of it had been magnetized — the steel had been magnetized, and the magnetic field was aligning with these little cracks in the weld metal. He had never seen that before. He had enough sense to call over an inspector — what's that, I've never seen that before. They went in with their instruments and found these things that were about a millimeter in size. Typically all the requirements for any inspection anywhere — except some of Boeing's, which are tighter than anything the world ever needed — typically we're looking for eighth of an inch, 3 mm flaws. These were 1 mm flaws, all over the place but very small.

§9.p3

They had to cut out every weld in the sub. Student: What testing did they usually do? Typically magnetic particle, but they're looking for large flaws. If your minimum detectable flaw size is an eighth of an inch reliably detectable — the Air Force did a bunch of studies in the 1980s on what they call probability of detection. If you plot the probability of detection by flaw size in inches, you'll be at 95% probability of detection by a manual inspection at an eighth of an inch. You'll be at about 50% at a sixteenth of an inch. These were down in the millimeter size, very low probability of detection. Aircraft engines, they're looking for things 0.015". We don't really have inspection technologies that can do it, and Boeing has specs of 0.010". No one can find it, but it's in the spec.

§10. The 747-400 titanium catalytic converter and aircraft range [49:19]

§10.p1

Student: If it's not detected, it's not there, right? That's right. You better make sure you designed the structure to tolerate it for that size. I'll tell you the story. This was late '80s, they were coming out with the 747-400 — so I'm dated by that. To get the extended range aircraft, they had switched all the air tubing from stainless steel to titanium to save weight. Engelhard was building the catalytic converters for the air you breathe. Why do you need a catalytic converter on a high-flying aircraft? Student: Security? No, because there's a lot of ozone up there.

§10.p2

You know what happens if you breathe a lot of ozone for eight hours or three hours on a flight? You get terrible headaches. Ozone is not good for your health. It's good for cleaning smoke out of a hotel room if someone smoked in there before you — ozone is a strong oxidizer, and there's a very low tolerance level. There's all kinds of ozone in the atmosphere, and the air coming in is what the passengers breathe. So you have to put it through a catalytic converter to scrub out the ozone. Just like the catalytic converter on your car, there are great big catalytic converters for all the air coming into the aircraft. They were replacing this with titanium to cut down on the weight, so you make it a 10,000-mile aircraft. Some of the aircraft are now 13,000 miles. Why don't they want to go any further than that? Student: It's too heavy? No, you get halfway around the globe — 13,000 miles, you can get anywhere you want.

§10.p3

The only people who want 25,000 miles are the US Air Force. I was on a committee — I said, why do you need 25,000 miles, you can get anywhere in the globe with 13,000. They said: we are planning in the future not to have a base anywhere in the world other than in the United States. If you look at it, it's probably not a bad planning exercise. I'll tell another story. Millard Firebaugh said he was at the Pentagon once when he was Chief Engineer, and some Air Force General was complaining about the cost of aircraft carriers being $15 billion. It turns out the cost of a US Air Force airbase is also about $15 billion. This Air Force General was at the meeting — Joint Chiefs or whatever it was — complaining about the cost of aircraft carriers, obviously he probably wanted some of that budget the Navy had. Millard says: well, I served in Vietnam, and I don't remember leaving a single aircraft carrier behind. That's actually one of my favorite quotes. I often tell people, we're not going to leave anything behind.

§11. Demonstrations: ductile vs. brittle, and why metals [52:57]

§11.p1

Speaking of behind, I guess I can give you some demos of ductile behavior. [Tom produces a piece of polyethylene plastic.] This is a piece of polyethylene plastic. This is ductile. [Tom produces a piece of plexiglass.] This is plexiglass. Which would you rather fly in, or be in during a storm, or go under the ocean in when someone's dropping — okay, the Navy designs submarines for perfectly elastic, perfectly plastic behavior. Coast Guard surface ships are somewhere in between these two. Airplanes — well, they're actually this. But aircraft get a lot more inspection.

§11.p2

The other example I give of toughness — I've done this on the History Channel — a brittle material: you can talk about the strength of the material. Paper is brittle, but you can pull on this without a crack with several pounds of force. If I put a notch in it, takes ounces. And it's brittle — I can tell it's brittle because I can put it back together, just like a cup I drop, I can glue it back together and everything fits perfectly. [Tom demonstrates with paper, tearing a notched sheet.]

§11.p3

[Tom produces a piece of gum rubber.] One of the most ductile materials we know is rubber. This is gum rubber. I can put a great big crack in that, and all it does is blunt itself at the tip. [Tom produces a different piece of rubber.] This is a piece of other rubber that I pulled for many years. Pull this as hard as I can, barely extend it. So that's the difference between strength and toughness.

§11.p4

The reason we use metals is because they have excellent strength, excellent ductility — and it's not the same, but it's somewhat related — they have excellent toughness, compared to any other material. Some polymers — polyethylene has excellent toughness. Why don't we use polymers? Student: No strength? They don't have enough strength, but they also don't have enough temperature capability. Most polymers poop out in hot water. Polymers are fine at room temperature, but if you need to go any higher you're not going to get anything. Silicone polymers can go up to about 500°F. If you need to go to 1,000° or something, it's going to be metals. You only have choices between metals, ceramics, and polymers — the broad classes. So we're going to talk about metals, and specifically about welding. I'll see you tomorrow.

Cases referenced

  • Sea Wolf submarine weld cracking (SSN-21)

    The weld metal ran 30–40% higher strength than intended because of carbon and alloy content; toughness dropped; 1 mm microscopic flaws formed that the original inspection wasn't looking for; a grinder noticed magnetized swarf aligning with the cracks, an inspector was called, and every weld in the sub had to be cut out. 18% of the ship had been built. Cost the Navy $2 billion.

  • Persian Gulf destroyer brass valve stress corrosion cracking (Second Gulf War) §3.p2

    A destroyer in the Persian Gulf lost its 3,000 psi air system mid-attack; root cause was stress corrosion cracking in a brass valve made of the wrong alloy. Discovered at the Naval Supply Center in Philadelphia that twenty-some percent of brass valves in inventory were the wrong alloy. Two students in the same cohort had worked on different parts of the failure.

  • Dan Rather CBS building collapse

    Six-story Manhattan building under construction for CBS, early 1980s. Concrete beams with steel rebar; rebars were tack-welded where they crossed; high-carbon rebar at the tack-weld became brittle, fracture toughness dropped by a factor of eight, fifth-floor beam failed in bending tension, dominoed all the beams. $50 million loss, one workman's leg broken. The Steinway Piano factory tour (CBS-owned at the time) is a coda.

  • Boeing 747-400 titanium catalytic converter / air tubing

    Air tubing switched from stainless steel to titanium to save weight for the extended-range 747-400; Engelhard built the catalytic converters for ozone scrubbing in the cabin air system. Introduced here mainly as a vehicle for the aircraft-range discussion (10,000 → 13,000 mile aircraft) rather than as a developed failure case. Tom flags it as a long story not fully told.

  • World Trade Center collapse (steel did not melt) §5.p1

    Cited rhetorically, not as a developed case. Tom mentions the article he wrote two weeks after the collapse, which led the Google results for "WTC collapse" for nearly a decade. Used to make the writing-for-a-general-reader point — the article succeeded because it was pitched at a high-school science student.

  • Upstate New York brewery (1975 consulting job)

  • Air Force probability-of-detection studies §9.p3

    Cited as the source of the curve: 95% probability of detection at ⅛", 50% at 1/16", very low in the mm range. Used to anchor the Sea Wolf inspection-gap story.

  • Ceramics fever in Japan (1985 ceramic show) §6.p5

    Tom in Tokyo 1984–85 saw the ceramic show that drew a million visitors. Used as evidence that the failure of fine ceramics to take over jet engines was not yet obvious to scientists, industry, or the public — Tom's 1992 *Welding Journal* prediction was contrarian at the time. Critical flaw size from the Ashby plot is the technical hinge.

  • Cruise missile graphite engine §6.p4

    Cited as the existence proof that brittle-material jet engines can be built — when the engine only has to last an hour, the inspection problem becomes tractable. Graphite is tougher than most ceramics; coatings prevent burn-up.

  • Harvard football stadium (1910s reinforced concrete) §7.p6

    Cited as the oldest reinforced concrete structure in the country, used to illustrate that concrete continues to harden over years and decades — "you have to have a hammer drill with a carbide tip" to drill it now.

Layer 2 — cleanup edit
p1 00:04

Acclimatize you. I'm Tom Eagar and I came here as an undergraduate 1968, got my doctoral degree here, worked with Bethlehem Steel Corporation for almost two years, came back as a faculty member, been here one year — I've been here ever since, except for one year which I spent, my first sabbatical, in 1984 and 85 in Tokyo Japan with the Office of Naval Research, US Office of Naval Research. So far as that goes.

p2 00:30

Okay, so I sent around a sign-up sheet, and even though I have this sheet from the registrar which lists, I see, lists ten of you — plus, actually are you in that ten? I, okay, see that's why I'm sending around a sign-up sheet. So it's on a little metal pad so you should sign up. But there's supposedly two other non-students, maybe three. We don't, well, a number of them inquire about it and then when they find 3.371. In fact I've had two-end students, I had one student one year who had to get his children off to school, and so he took the whole course by video. You don't have to ever come to class in this course except to make your presentation, and that's one of the requirements, I'll get to it in a little bit.

p3 01:29

And you are Adrian? Okay Adrian, and you're, are you in 2N? Student: I'm in the SDM program. Oh SDM, okay, you're the one that met with me yesterday. Okay, so I was explaining a little bit about the course. It is videotaped, and so if it's hard to get to class, um, you can take that lecture by video. It'll be posted on YouTube, and Young will tell everybody how to, or the other two people who are setting up for this. Stellar, which is the MIT course website — they hadn't even started to do it for the summer as of last Thursday. So there's a bunch of handouts. I used to give out hard copy handouts, but basically I gave him some things to give to you last week, and he said, well, don't you have a digital copy? So you'll get things digitally. I guess I'm just an old dinosaur, still does things.

p4 02:32

So you need to sign up for the course. The requirement of the course is to either watch the lectures or watch the videos, and in order to get 12 units, you need to watch — this is just like the regular courses — about 36 hours with the lectures. Okay, and here is the schedule. We're going, since you don't have any other requirements, I'm going to hand out some things for you to read and you can read those in your spare time. But the way we do things at MIT is Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday begins with an R, and F is for Friday. So here's the dates, and we're here today on June 8th. And the schedule we worked out is that in general — well actually I can come down to this week of the 15th — on Mondays, Wednesdays, and Fridays, except this Friday I'm going to be out of town, we would meet for one hour till 8:45, actually probably about 8:40 or so. On Tuesdays and Thursdays we will meet for two hours, I'll give you a break in the middle of that, but it turns out this Thursday and the next Thursday I've got something scheduled, and so we'll only be meeting for one hour. I need to lecture about 8 or 10 hours, depending on what we do, maybe 12 hours, and you need to make a presentation, okay, each of you. And we could probably do two or three presentations in an hour.

p5 04:07

The presentation can be on anything you want. Now I think — you don't, Andre, you haven't heard — most of the students who are here are in the US Navy program. Navy officers, they come back for three years to get two master's degrees and other things. And in fact it's sort of a plum assignment for Navy officers, in the sense that there used to be about ten universities across the country where the Navy would send back their officers. Just like you're an SDM — what company do you work for, are you Boeing? Boeing okay, so you're in the aerospace business. Well, same thing. The Navy just sends people back, just like Boeing sent you back, and they send them back to learn new skills and go back, because they're actually doing the same type. In fact a lot of them are going to be in there — how many of you have already decided you're going to be in SDM program, Systems Design and Management? Typically about half to three-quarters in recent years of the Navy students go into the SDM program during the three years and get an SDM degree. Andre is in the SDM program. You want to tell them about what the SDM program is?

p6 05:18

Student: Sure. It's about a three-term program. The name is System Design and Management, and it primarily focuses around engineering professionals — they have about eight years experience — coming back to focus on system architecture, project management, and system engineering. So it's a unique program in that you take some courses from the business school, from Sloan, and you take some from the engineering school that you kind of tailored based on what company or field you're going to go back to.

p7 05:50

Okay so it turns out it's almost perfect, except the 2N program already existed before SDM was created. About when was, SDM, about '95? Okay, '94, '95. But the Navy program goes back 120 years. There used to be ten or twelve universities in the country, there are now two: there's the Naval Postgraduate School at Monterey and there's the MIT program. There used to be four or five that had a Navy nuclear degree, MIT was one, you know, Penn State and Michigan, University of Michigan, I don't remember the others, but they've all, with budget cutbacks, they've all gone away except this one. Okay, and Monterey is always trying to kill this program. I've been to meetings in Washington for 30 years about whether they're going to keep the 2N program at MIT, and the Navy brass all decide they want you.

p8 06:51

So one of you said, before class everyone else left, said — I said how'd you get this assignment rather than Monterey? And, you know, Monterey, it's pretty nice weather, folks, I mean, let's face it. But this is the diploma assignment, and you really are here because you're the best, okay, the Navy has to offer. Pretty frank, in any case. And you're the best Boeing has to offer. People who've gone back to Boeing from this program have ended up a couple years later heading up the building of a new aircraft, okay, for the whole program. And some of you will head up building a whole new ship.

p9 07:35

One of the first people I met in Washington was Millard Firebaugh [the Navy admiral; captioner had "Miler Fireball" / "Miller Fireball"]. Millard was a captain at the time, he was head of the SSN-21 program, okay, Sea Wolf submarine, in the 1980s when it got cancelled by Congress. And then he had to go up to the Hill, they got reinstated, and then when the Sea Wolf had a problem — this is getting to the point where some of you were barely born, but nonetheless — Sea Wolf had a problem, ended up costing Navy $2 billion. And at that point Captain Firebaugh, who was a graduate of this program before my time, because he's older than I am, but Captain Firebaugh was then Admiral Firebaugh, he was Chief Engineer of the Navy, and he put me on the committee with a bunch of other people to figure out what went wrong down there.

p10 08:32

[Brief break — Tom calls a pause while setup continues.] Okay we'll take a little break, the setup, start your... brief. It'll get modified as time goes on, but we need every day that we can. We also, in the Navy, the Naval Sea Systems Command tells you that you have to take a welding metallurgy course and a welding course, of course, and this sort of fulfills many of those.

p11 09:06

For those of you who are not a part of the US Navy, or if you're a Canadian Navy or Coast Guard, you may have a choice. You can check with whoever your supervisor is. I'll pass around to those of you that are not in the 2N US Navy program, because these are the other 36 units, or the other 24 hours of lecture, that you can take if you like. For you guys that are in the 2N program, it's already, the decision has been made for you. You'll take this module that I'm doing this summer, you also take the solid state welding and fusion welding, which I've highlighted. And this will get posted on Stellar, but these are — if you go to my website, eagar.mit.edu, and you go to classes, you'll see this list, and these should all have a link now to YouTube videos, and you can watch a prior lecture.

p12 10:08

Okay, now your assignment is to give a presentation, as I said, and the presentation should be ten minutes long. Means a PowerPoint of no more than ten overheads on PowerPoint. It can be on any subject you like, but to give you an idea of what the 2N people last year did: one student did flight deck corrosion. And a lot of these things are things that you may have already done at a shipyard or on board ship. I was telling, fact that one year after the — I think it was the second Gulf War, which only lasted what, three days or two days or something, anyway — there was a destroyer in the, what do you call that, the Persian Gulf, okay, in the Persian Gulf, that was part of the attack. And all of a sudden their 3,000 psi air system went out on the ship, and if you lose your 3,000 psi air system, not much else works. And so they had to come offline in the middle of the attack. People in the Pentagon were not happy.

p13 11:21

And it turns out it was a stress corrosion cracking problem in a brass valve that blew, and they lost their pressure. And it turns out, so this one student who had been on board that ship gave his presentation on this experience they had. And it turns out another student in the same class, they didn't know that both of them had worked on different parts of this. The other student had been in the Naval Supply Center in Philadelphia, and after this occurred they went and had to study everything they had in inventory, because the brass alloy was the wrong alloy, and they found like twenty-some percent of all the brass valves in the Supply Center, not just this type but all of them, were the wrong brass alloy. And so both of them were kind of working on different parts of the same problem.

p14 12:09

But anyway, one student did flight deck corrosion. Another one did replacing Monel in submarine piping with titanium. Another one did Monel weld metal on stainless steel. Another one did a bearing failure they were familiar with. Another one did new ship construction. One was a Navy nuke, and he did nuclear corrosion from a generic point of view, because he felt that anything he knew about Navy nuke must be classified. Okay it's not true, but nonetheless. So anyway, you can be on corrosion, it can be on welding. I've had students talk about sailboat masts, okay, so far as that goes. Any topic you want. If you pick a topic you're interested in you'll do a better job. I've had a number of students essentially do a presentation of what they had to present right before they left, the last assignment. Many of you have had to do presentations, and I don't care if you use it. I've had — when undergraduates take this, some of them will do something they did for their summer internship, okay, doesn't matter to me.

p15 13:22

It's not that I'm trying to make you work hard. MIT requires that I evaluate each student independently. Can't evaluate you as a group. I have a very bad attitude about teaching, having been a student here, and having taught here for a number of years. And looking at how we teach in general in this country, we teach so that students can pass exams. We don't teach so students can learn. We train you to take a quiz, and I'm of the opinion you wouldn't be here at MIT if you didn't know how to take a quiz. You never would have gotten here. So therefore I'm not interested in testing your ability to take a quiz, I'm not interested in writing the quiz, I'm not interested in grading the quiz. The students will say they learn more from the students' presentations, or not, not necessarily — they don't say they learn more, they say they enjoy the students' presentations as much as the lectures, okay, how about that.

p16 14:25

I learn a lot from the — I learn more from the students' presentations than from the lectures, because it's sort of assumed that maybe I knew what I was talking about in the lectures. I would much rather that you interrupt me in the lecture and ask a question, so that I can digress on something else. That's the challenge for me, whether I have a story to tell about your question. And students are usually pretty surprised to see the breadth of my stories after 40 years in this business. And I'd rather tell the story, because I've never heard these lectures, guys. I mean after a while, after you've taken the class 20 times, it gets to be kind of old hat. Okay you haven't taken it 20 times, but for me anyway.

p17 15:09

So you're supposed to take three modules, and for the 2N students it's solid state weld diffusion, welding metallurgy, corrosion, which is what we'll be doing, we talked about at breakfast. Part of this is also adjusting to MIT, where any of you MIT undergraduates or graduate students? No. We just, the class that just graduated had, she's probably Commander McCoy, but she was the leader of the class, okay, as more senior, and she had gotten a degree in aeronautical engineering from MIT as undergraduate. So she was the only class of 30 years I've been doing this that I didn't have to help the class adjust to MIT. And many of you may have already heard, getting an education at MIT is like taking a drink from the fire hose, and it's not a bad analogy.

p18 16:02

But in fact MIT is not really, well it is that intimidating, but it's not that bad. Okay, ninety-five percent of all the pressure at MIT is self-inflicted. Doesn't matter whether you're a student or a faculty member. There's a lot of pressure around here. So you need to learn to adapt to the pressure. And I actually gave, in fact, this should get posted on Stellar, but I gave him a copy of this article I wrote a number of years ago, ten years ago, to the MIT Faculty Newsletter on leadership, management, and education at MIT, trying to tell what I learned at that time over about 36 years at MIT of what makes MIT unique.

p19 16:50

One of the things that makes MIT unique — not completely unique, but Caltech and MIT are somewhat unique — is they only admit one class of students. Anybody know what the class of students is? Scholars. Some of you are. Whereas Harvard and the other Ivy League schools — president, they admit scholars, athletes, and legacy students. And you can always compare yourself to a legacy student, because most of them probably shouldn't have gotten out of high school. They're a great hockey goalie or whatever. But in MIT you have no one to compare yourself with like that, and on average, you're average. So I'm just kind of telling you what you've already read, but MIT is — well, I shouldn't say it is as intimidating as you hear, but it's not really that bad, I guess is the way to say it. And other people fought through, so why shouldn't you be able to, right?

p20 17:52

Okay, but there'll be times — you know, I think I told the story here about freshman year when I thought I was going to flunk freshman physics, okay. I don't think I told the story in there about junior year when I had my epiphany. I was taking introduction to quantum mechanics in the physics department. I was a materials student, why I decided to take quantum mechanics I don't know. But I had a good teacher, [Boris] Barowski [Mildred Dresselhaus? — captioner garble; Tom names "barowski"], full professor of physics, one of the first two women to get full professorship at MIT. Her father was Nobel laureate at Harvard, chemistry. Brilliant woman, nice person. I didn't follow a thing she was talking about in class. I was getting 15s out of 100 when everybody was getting 85 out of 100 on homeworks. And had a three-hour final, and the night before I just said, okay, I'm going to take Eisberg-Resnick, Fundamentals of Modern Physics, and just go through and pick out the highlights.

p21 18:50

And I did. And I went into the three-hour exam, I finished it in an hour and 20 minutes. I had to wait for another 20 minutes, I checked it over and walked out of the class. I got a [unclear — "negative horse"?] okay. And all of a sudden a light went off and I said, oh, all that other stuff they talk about, it's just fluff. Okay and I realized, they can only quiz you, or they could only get two or three points across in an hour. Okay, and if you could figure out what those two or three points were, that's what the quiz was going to be on. And from there on out, I just, like, I didn't take notes. I just sat there trying to figure out what was this professor's outline, what was he trying to tell me. And a lot of anything in life is trying to figure out what the problem is.

p22 19:47

I've given you some other handouts that will be on Stellar. One's an article I wrote a couple weeks after the World Trade Center collapsed, which for about eight or ten years was the number one article if you looked up Google "WTC collapse." And the reason it was the number one article is I was asked by an editor to write it. I'm so sick of hearing such false information, like the steel melted in the fire. Anyone who's ever been to a fire knows that steel doesn't melt in a fire. Okay, if steel melted in the fire, we didn't need Sir Henry Bessemer in 1856 to teach us how to melt steel. We would have been melting it for a few thousand years before that. But I wrote this in three hours. Which is less time than it took for me to write any of my several hundred publications. I've gotten more comments on this, positive and negative, than any paper I've ever written or actually all of the papers combined. Why? Because I wrote it for a high school science student. I was trying to write it so someone could understand it.

p23 20:52

And that's one of the things that I learned about, almost 30 years ago, when I took the Sloan School subject, actually Sloan Senior Executives Program, and I heard this guy Lester Thurow talk. He was the dean of the Sloan School, and Lester was, he called himself an educational economist. Now his colleagues at Sloan School called him "Lester the rower," okay, but Lester was getting — this is 1988 — he was giving $30,000 a lecture, not quite as good as the Clintons are doing right now, but it was still pretty good back then. And he had the number two top selling book in the New York Times book list, and as he once said, never tried to compete with Princess Diana's [captioner: "Tiana's"] book. He was number two.

p24 21:43

And it wasn't what Lester said. When I took this senior executive program, Lester came in twice to talk to us. He was just an engaging speaker. I just loved to listen to him. He just seemed to make so much sense of what he said. And it was the first time I had ever heard him, and I was impressed. The second time he came in, everybody else there, these 40 other, 49 senior executives in industry — and I was the one academic in the — they were all just enthralled to hear him again. And I was sitting there trying to analyze what he said and why he was such — I wouldn't mind getting $30,000 for a lecture, right? If you guys start figuring out what your tuition is, actually MIT is getting about $30,000 for this lecture. Well I'm not quite getting that, but tens of $10,000 probably, he's not, adding up the tuition, number of hours taught, it's pretty impressive.

p25 22:43

Anyway, and at the end of what was said, I realized he didn't say anything I didn't already know, but it was the way he said it. And so I changed, by 1989 I changed the way I was going to conferences and giving talks. And for example, talking about welding, I was giving a keynote lecture in welding on resistance spot welding, which is how they put automotive bodies together, at a conference in Gatlinburg, Tennessee. And I said, you know, they put 3,000 spot welds in the average automobile because you need 2,000 good ones, okay. And a year later at the Welding Society conference at a reception, I heard someone behind me say, "you know, they put 3,000 spot welds in there." Little bit, people will remember short little quotes. Okay, we live in a soundbite world.

p26 23:35

My favorite quote from Lester was a few years later, he was Dean of the Sloan School, and he was giving a lecture over here at the Marriott Hotel to a group of people and alums and stuff. And he was lamenting the fact that we tend to lose some of our best faculty to other universities who pay big bucks for them. And everyone kind of knew he was talking about Robert Merton. You might know who Robert Merton is. Robert Merton was the guy who worked with Black and Scholes on derivatives. You've heard of derivatives. And I'm not talking about, you know, dy/dx, okay, I'm talking about derivatives as trading on Wall Street. Black-Scholes, it's called the Black-Scholes method, but Merton was the postdoc or whatever working with these faculty, and they came up with this way to predict the value of a price of stock in the future in a very precise mathematical way. And this led to the whole derivatives trading, which led to the collapse of the economy in 2008. Okay, you have a bunch of people on Wall Street sitting around the table placing bets with each other.

p27 24:44

Actually they call it selling the risk, okay, trading the risk. But every time this person who owns $5 billion worth of mortgages says, I'll sell you $3 billion of these, but you're going to have to give me 2% or whatever, for, you know, or I'll give you 2% for assuming the risk. And they just go around in a circle and keep trading paper, going around in a circle, no value added. And everyone is getting a cut of the action on trillions of dollars. The amount of derivatives in, like, 2004 in the world was $1 trillion. The amount of derivatives in 2008, at the time of the collapse, was $50 trillion. It's equal to the world's gross domestic product for a year. And what happened is the banks, when a couple of them defaulted, they were going to have to pay another bank for their default, and they didn't have the cash. And the other bank was going to have to pay the other guy sitting on the other side of the table, and they didn't want to give up their cash. It was just like the stock market crash of '29. No one wanted, everyone wanted to hold on to their cash, and no one — because they were afraid that someone was going to call them on their paper, right.

p28 26:04

So anyway, he was talking about Robert, he didn't say Robert Merton, but everyone kind of knew. But Merton had been a faculty member at Sloan. He got hired away for big bucks to Harvard, and a couple years later he won the Nobel Prize, okay, Black and, back away. But anyway, so Merton won the Nobel Prize. Lester's lamenting the fact of some of our star faculty are hired away, but he says, but fortunately they tend to hire our extinct volcanoes. Now think about it. He didn't have to explain to anybody in the room what he meant by an extinct volcano in that context, right. And so you need to learn to communicate in vivid metaphor, sentences, okay. Cause that's what the management at the top wants to hear, folks. Sorry.

p29 27:02

Another article that you'll get is materials research needs in the 21st century. And this is an article right here, that I wrote for this National Research Council of the National Academy. Committee, they had a committee of people from around the country trying to tell the Defense Department what high-tech materials they would be using in the 21st century. This was copyright 2003, so we were doing this in around 2001. And if you look at the beginning, it gives the names of a lot of distinguished people. Harvey Schadler [captioner: "shatterer"] was chair, General Electric Research. Alan Liss, General Dynamics retired. James Baskerville, Bath Iron Works. Okay, I think he was a grad of this program too. By the way, I know Millard Firebaugh, okay, was the one I talked about, he was Electric Boat then, but he's been Chief Engineer of the Navy. Anyway there's a lot of distinguished people trying to divine what materials people would use in the future.

p30 28:21

And I didn't really fit in there, because I tended to agree with this million-dollar US Army study. The US Army had done a study in the late 1990s of what material the US Army would be using the most of in the next 30, 40 years. Anybody know what it was? Student: Aluminum? A million dollars to figure this out. Student: Humans? Steel. Steel — not humans, but you could use that, that's actually — anyway, it's steel, okay, and I'm going to tell you why it's steel in a moment. But because I could convince them that it would be steel, and they needed me to write something, I sort of took the outline of my material selection course, which is one of the modules of 12 units, and I put it into this four-page summary which they put into an appendix in there. That's so it doesn't have my name associated with it. I'm not ashamed of it.

p31 29:16

In 1992 I wrote this article in the Welding Journal called "The Future of Metals." This was at a time when people thought fine ceramics were going to take over jet engines and everything else, and they didn't. And I was predicting in 1992 that they wouldn't. And how did I know this? Anybody know how I know this? Because I was looking at the properties of these materials. What if you think of a ceramic, what do you think about as a structural material? Student: Hard, brittle. Hard, brittle, right. High temperature too, which is why they wanted it for jet engines. And they actually built jet engines, but it turns out the critical flaw size for a brittle material is extremely small. Okay, it's a very simple formula: the toughness has to be greater than the stress times the square root of pi times the crack length. Okay, well this is the applied stress, you can get a very high applied stress. The toughness of a ceramic is terrible. Okay, the crack length — anyone ever seen someone cut glass? What do they do? Score it. They take a carbide or a diamond tool and they scratch the surface, and they can make a wavy cut, straight cut, whatever they want. And then they just, they can hit it with the heel of their hand and it'll just break right where they put the scratch, because the critical flaw size is less than a human hair for a brittle material like glass.

p32 31:01

So as long as you make a jet engine with no imperfections in there larger than half or one-tenth the size of a human hair, it'll run at great temperatures, and we've already done that. It's called a cruise missile. Okay, the cruise missile engine is made out of graphite. Graphite's not particularly tough, but it only has to last for an hour, and the bigger problem is keeping it from burning up in an hour. They have to put coatings on it and stuff to keep it from burning up, but it doesn't have to last that long. And in fact graphite's tougher than most of the ceramics. So I used to say — when I was in Japan, in Tokyo, in mid '80s, I used, they had what they called ceramics fever. And Shinjuku, if anybody knows — some of you know — what one of post said: Shinjuku is the world's largest subway station.

p33 31:55

My son is, actually, he called me up once in 1984. I had gone to Australia, he had gone to Mount Fuji with some Scouts to climb Mount Fuji, and I'm sitting there eating dinner after I'd gotten home about noon from Australia, and I get a call, and Matt says, "Dad can you come pick me up?" I said sure where are you, he says, "I'm in Shinjuku." I said, uh, it's the world's largest subway station, about two million people a day go through there, it stretches for about five miles, okay. And I said, uh, where are the people you came with? Oh, they're going down to Shibuya, which is several subway stops. I said, I'll meet you at the dog. That's where all the gaijin, the foreigners, would meet, at the dog in Shibuya, because they had the statue of a dog, okay. So I said I'll meet you at the dog, which only three subway stops for me, about four for him. So I didn't lose my 10-year-old son. Had dinner with him last night.

p34 33:00

Student: You're talking about graphite engines, gra— [unclear]. So they had a ceramic — yeah, they had a ceramics fever in Japan. They called it ceramics fever in Japan. They had a ceramic show when I was there in 1985, when I left, a million people showed up. So this is not just your scientists, everybody thought fine ceramics were great and they were going to take over the world. And I came back and I used to give talks at NIST in Gaithersburg, Maryland. I remember the big lecture hall, I got up and I said, well, the problem with ceramics is they don't have any toughness. In fact the only structural materials made out of ceramics are Portland cement and toilet bowls. And I'd throw in the kitchen sink, but you've got to line it with cast iron to give fracture toughness, okay. If you drop something in the sink and it was just made out of ceramic, you'd end up with, you know, shattered sink. So they have to make it out of cast iron, and gray cast iron is the worst metal of all in terms of toughness. So people forget this toughness requirement. We're going to talk about that some more, okay.

p35 34:14

So I knew it was going to be — actually I'll put it up right now. Several things here to show you. If I look at all metals and other materials, this comes out of Mike Ashby's book. Professor Ashby was at Harvard, now he's retired from Oxford, but he's British, he's a great scholar. He wrote a book on material selection and mechanical design. If you wanted to take, if I had to recommend something for you at Boeing to take if you're not already a materials person, there's a material selection module which is one of my favorite modules, although you're going to hear me talk about steel all the time, okay, just like I'm going to talk about here. This graph came out of there. Ashby came up with these things that are now known as Ashby plots. This is fracture toughness versus strength for a lot of classes of material on a log scale. You can plot anything on a log scale, right, and get a straight line.

p36 35:13

Except these are in straight lines here. Here's the fracture toughness K1c squared over pi times sigma s, so this is basically the critical crack length. And if this is in centimeters, 100 cm would be the critical flaw size. That's pretty big, except the only materials that will cross that line are some of the engineering alloys, and steels are right up here. What you want is the highest strength and the highest toughness, so up here at 45° you want everything that's going to be at the top of this, and that's where steels are, along with nickel, titanium, copper, aluminum alloys are way down here. Engineered ceramics are down here, critical flaw size is of 10 to the minus 3 cm, that's less than a human hair, okay. So ceramics are great as long as you load them in compression, and that's what we do with Portland cement, okay.

p37 36:13

So polymers, they're down here. So actually I'll do it for you tomorrow, I don't have time right now to make this big graph that I had done this morning, is another way to think about looking at this. But if you look at material selection, it turns out there's a reason why we use metals, and that's because they're ductile. They have the ability to form under load. Student: I don't know what it means to load something under compression, like for instance that 3,000 psi practically, what does that mean? Okay. Um, well first of all, Portland cement — you know, you add water to it. Again you start with the limestone, you put it in a kiln, you drive the CO2 off, you make burnt lime, which is calcium oxide, magnesium oxide, bunch of other things. You throw some sand in, which is making a composite out of it, and you mix it with water. And the water hydrates the burnt lime, calcium oxide, could be magnesium oxide, plus H2O gives you calcium hydroxide. Now this is a way oversimplified formula for the chemistry of it, but basically that's what it is. And it takes time to set up, and it actually gives off heat when it sets up. If you pour a Portland cement and you go stick a thermometer in it, five hours later it'll be about 140, 150° F, okay. It's exothermic reaction to do this. It takes a month to get to its engineering strength.

p38 38:03

And so when they pour the foundation out of here for the new NanoTech building they're building, they will pour cores, and they'll send them to a laboratory, and they may test them after one week, and they may, they have to support a thousand psi after one week, because it hasn't finished setting up. But after 30 days its structural design strength should be 3,000 psi, and if it fails after 30 days, rip it out and start over. Okay, so does that answer — Student: I might be just beating around your question, but that tells me that you do load it to make sure that it's working correctly, I guess, to make sure there are no, I guess, flaws in it. But you only put it in compression, okay. If you want to put it in tension, you have to use steel rebar.

p39 38:50

[Tom produces a piece of steel rebar.] Here's a piece of steel rebar. It's got notches rolled into the surface, so that the concrete grabs those, and that takes the tension. If you make a concrete beam, the bottom of the beam that's in tension, in bending tension, it's the steel that's taking the tension, not concrete. May have 500 psi tension capability, but it depends on the size of the bubbles in there, things like that. The engineering credit you get for concrete in tension in an engineering design is zero in tension, and 3,000 psi in compression. Okay, and you put steel in it. When they were just pouring some steps in the basement, this part of NanoLab, they have wire mesh for the steps. Well, steps, what do they know, they're mostly in compression, you only stand on them, you're not pulling on the steps. But yeah, there's, it gives, there's going to be some area in there even though it's on a foundation, but they still give zero.

p40 39:59

Student: I guess maybe a better question is, were you saying that concrete doesn't set correctly unless you compress it as it's curing? No, I'm just saying it takes time to get to its strength. Just like epoxy, you mix two-part epoxy, concrete is two-part — you take the dry Portland cement, you mix it with water, and then it forms a chemical reaction, and it takes a month or more to harden up. In fact it can take years to harden up. The oldest reinforced concrete structure in the country is Harvard football stadium, okay. And if you go drilling that, or if you're drilling, 1917 is here, okay, which is only a few years later, you go ask the workmen around here about drilling in these walls that are concrete walls — this stuff is really hard after a hundred years of setting up. I mean you have to have a hammer drill with a carbide tip and things like that.

p41 40:57

So did I — Student: So concrete is — go ahead. Student: Let's see if I can just try that. Concrete is really good to resist being crushed, but it's very weak when being pulled apart. So you want to use it in applications that you're only crushing it, not that you're making it resist being pulled apart. You can't put it in tension. I had a case — I'll tell this story — back in the early '80s they were building a new building for Dan Rather, for his, I think it was, yes, he was working for CBS at that time. And they had concrete beams, six-story building in New York in Manhattan, and they had concrete beams and they had steel rebar like this. And during construction, one — like the fifth floor — one of the beams which is there like this in tension, just, you know, not in tension, but I mean the bottom was in tension, it was in bending, compression on the top, that's fine for concrete, concrete's great in compression but it's lousy in tension — it broke. And like a house of cards or dominoes, all the other beams came down. One guy broke a leg, one of the workmen fell on, some stuff fell on him and broke a leg, but otherwise it was just like a $50 million loss or whatever, plus Dan Rather didn't have this nice new room for another year, okay. Delayed construction and stuff.

p42 42:21

Well I went out to the scene, I looked at it, and all this rubble, you couldn't really tell too much. You couldn't really get on the other side, because you'd be out in the middle of the air, okay, these things were all the end of the floors. Well finally they had some inspection, I couldn't meet the day of the inspection because of some family vacation, so I had to go like two weeks later to this wood storage facility. It was CBS's property, they have to have someway to store the stuff while the walls are going to go on. And I'm out there — it turns out the place they had was, CBS owned Steinway Piano at the time, and so they have to season their wood and they have big racks of wood out there for five years seasoning. And right across the way, with LaGuardia Airport, you look through the chain-link fence, see the runway right 100 yards further down, okay. And I'm out there middle of July, I'm looking down, and I'm looking at the fracture surface, the brittle fracture on the steel, and this rebar should not brittle fracture, you bend before you break. You've been to a construction site, you've seen a bent rebar, right. It's not so brittle you can't bend it, because it's some metal.

p43 43:36

But this was a brittle fracture. And then I looked at this one, it had concrete on the fracture surface. And then I realized — I looked at some of the others, they still encased in concrete — but they tack-welded these things together where they crossed. You don't tack-weld rebar. High carbon, it'll form a brittle fracture, that's how lousy fracture toughness is, you'll drop it by a factor of eight. And so this tension connection was now a glass brittle tension connection at tow toad fills [unclear — captioner garble]. Okay, because the weldability of the steel was lousy. Student: How are you otherwise supposed to connect the re— you wire it together. You take little wires and you wire it together, you make a cage. There are rebars that are designed to have high strength and low carbon for good weldability, but most rebar is garden variety merchant quality steel. Okay, and that was the answer to this case. And then I got a personal tour of the Steinway Piano factory, and now when I see a Steinway I go up and I start inspecting it to see all the different things they do for a Steinway, why it costs so much. A lot of good reasons. Really good.

p44 44:59

In any case, one of the points I'm trying to make is — and this is one of the two or three for today's lecture — is we use metals because they have good toughness, and we don't use ceramics because they have lousy toughness. They have lousy fracture resistance. Their critical flaw size is so small that you can never inspect for those things. Okay, and it turns out the Sea Wolf submarine problem, if you want to get back for a Navy example, is — the problem with the Sea Wolf submarine was they ended up getting too high carbon content and alloy content. We're going to talk about some of this stuff when we get to it. But the weld metal was 30 or 40% higher strength than it was intended to be, because of the chemistry of the weld metal, and they got a less tough steel. It formed little microscopic flaws that the original inspectors weren't looking for, something that small. It's a different type of cracking that we hadn't seen before. And they had built 18% of the ship before a guy found it.

p45 46:05

And he found it by a non-destructive test technique that was not exactly authorized. The outside of the hull has to be very smooth. They take off, they grind off the weld reinforcement, because you want a hull that is so smooth that even the weld reinforcement will create enough of a ripple that a guy listening on the other side could hear the noise from that ripple, okay. So they have to grind the weld smooth on the outside surface. The guy was doing this, the grinder was grinding it, and he saw some of the grinding swarf — what's grinding swarf? [Pause.] Yep, good travel work for you folks. Okay, swarf, okay. Grinding swarf is the little powder you get from grinding. And he noticed some of it which had been magnetized by the fact you've been magnetized steel just, and their magnetic field was aligning with these little cracks in the weld metal, and he had never seen that before. And he had enough sense to call over an inspector, like, what's that, I've never seen that before. And so then they went in with their instruments, and they found these things that were about a millimeter in size, and typically all the requirements for any inspection anywhere — except some of Boeing's, okay, which are tighter than anything that ever the world ever needed, talking about that, I've got a good story on that — typically we're looking for eighth of an inch, 3 mm flaws, and these were 1 mm flaws. They were all over the place but they were very small flaws, okay.

p46 47:44

And so this guy saw, they went in, they did the inspection, and they realized all the welds in the sub, and they had to cut out every weld. Student: What testing did they usually do? Those they typically do with the magnetic particle, but they're looking for large flaws. And typically if your minimum detectable flaw size is at an eighth of an inch reliably detectable — actually the Air Force did a bunch of studies in the 1980s on what they call probability of detection, okay. If you plot the probability of detection by flaw size — and I'm finding this in inches, that's what we use in this — and this is 100%, you'll find the curve looks something like this. And you'll be at 95% probability of detection by a manual inspection at an eighth of an inch. You'll be at about 50% at a 16th of an inch. These were down here in the millimeter size, very low probability of detection. Aircraft engines, they're looking for things 15,000ths of an inch [0.015"]. We don't really have inspection technologies that can do it, and Boeing has specs of 10,000ths of an inch [0.010"], okay, no one can find it, but it's in the spec.

p47 49:19

Student: [unclear] — if it's not detected, it's not there, right? That's right. You better make sure that you designed the structure to tolerate it for that size. Well actually I'll tell you the story, since we only got a couple minutes left. So I had — this was late '80s, they were coming out with 747-400 — so I'm dated by that. And to get the, this was an extended range aircraft of the old 747, and they had switched all the air tubing from stainless steel to titanium to save weight. And it turns out Engelhard [captioner: "angle hard"] was building the catalytic converters for the air you breathe. Why do you need a catalytic converter on a high-flying aircraft? You know, said you're in a — Student: Security? Um, because there's a lot of ozone up there.

p48 50:21

You know what happens if you breathe a lot of ozone for eight hours or three hours on a flight? You get terrible headaches. Ozone is not good for your health. It's good for cleaning smoke out of a hotel room if someone's smoked in there before you, but ozone is a strong oxidizer, and there's a very low tolerance level. And there's all kinds of ozone up in the atmosphere, and the air that's coming in is what the passengers are going to breathe. So you have to put it through a catalytic converter to scrub out the ozone. And so, just like the catalytic converter on your car, there's these great big catalytic converters for all the air coming into the aircraft. And they were replacing this with titanium to cut down on the weight on the 747, so you make it a 10,000 mile aircraft, or something. Some of the aircraft are now like 13,000 miles. And why don't they want to go any further than that? Student: It's too heavy? No, you get halfway around the globe, 13,000 miles, get anywhere you want.

p49 51:14

The only people who want 25,000 miles for an aircraft are the US Air Force. And I was on a committee once, actually it might have been this committee, I don't know, it might have been a different — I think it was a different — I said, why do you need 25,000 miles, you can get anywhere in the globe with 13,000. They said, we are planning in the future not to have a base anywhere in the world other than in the United States. And if you look at it, it's probably not a bad planning exercise. I'll tell you another story, actually this one, Millard Firebaugh, he said — he was at Pentagon once when he was Chief Engineer, and the Air Force was — some Air Force General, Major General or full General or whatever — was complaining about the cost of aircraft carriers being $15 billion. It turns out the cost of a US Air Force airbase is also about $15 billion, okay. And Millard — so this Air Force General was at this meeting, the Joint Chiefs or whatever it was, and he was complaining about the cost of aircraft carriers, and obviously he probably wanted some of that budget the Navy had. And so Millard says, well, you know, I served in Vietnam, and I don't remember leaving a single aircraft carrier behind. That's actually one of my favorite quotes. I often tell people, we're not going to leave anything behind, okay.

p50 52:57

Speaking of behind, I guess I can give you some demos of ductile behavior. [Tom produces a piece of polyethylene plastic.] This is a piece of polyethylene plastic. This is ductile. [Tom produces a piece of plexiglass.] This is plexiglass. And that's good. Which would you rather fly in, or go over the, in a storm in, or go under the ocean when someone's dropping — okay, the Navy designs submarines for perfectly elastic, perfectly plastic behavior, okay. Coast Guard surface ships are sort of somewhere in between these two, okay. Airplanes — well, they're actually this, okay. But aircraft get a lot more inspection, we do a lot more things with them.

p51 54:01

The other example I give of toughness — which I guess we have, I'm actually going over a little bit, but you have a classic nine, right — the other example I give of ductility, and I actually have done this on the History Channel and some other things — a brittle material, well you can talk about the strength of the material, it turns out paper is brittle, but you can pull on this without a crack with several pounds of force. But if I put a notch in it, takes ounces. And it's brittle. I can tell it's brittle because I put it back together, just like a cup that I drop, I can glue it back together, everything fits perfectly. [Tom demonstrates with paper.]

p52 54:42

If I have a ductile material — one of the most ductile materials we know is rubber. [Tom produces a piece of gum rubber.] This is gum rubber. I can put a great big crack in that, and all it does is blunt itself at the tip. [Tom produces a different piece of rubber.] This is a piece of other rubber that I pulled for many years. Pull this as hard as I can, barely extend it, okay. So that's the difference between strength and toughness.

p53 55:12

The reason we use metals is because they have excellent strength, excellent ductility — and it's not the same, but it's somewhat related — they have excellent toughness, compared to any other material. Now, some polymers — I just showed you polyethylene has excellent toughness. Why don't we use polymers? Student: No strength? Strong, they don't have enough strength, but they also don't have enough temperature capability. Most polymers poop out in hot water. Okay, so polymers are fine at room temperature, but if you need anything go a little bit higher than room temperature you're not going to — anything. Silicone polymers can go up to about 500° F, okay. But if you need to go to 1,000° or something, it's going to be metals. And you only got choices between metals, ceramics, and polymers, we talked about broad classes in these. So we're going to talk about metals, and specifically we're going to talk about welding. And I'll see you tomorrow.