§1. Thermal barrier coatings and carbon composites [00:00]
The substrate could be polycrystalline, unidirectionally solidified, or single crystal. Then you put on a bond coat — a porous, spongy layer. If you listen to my welding lecture on solid-state joining and adhesive bonding, you like a nice porous surface to bond to, to get mechanical interlocking. They do the same thing here, so you grade the layer from single crystal to a porous metal powder that's sintered on, and then maybe several layers up to a vapor-deposited ceramic that gets down in those pores and sticks, so hopefully it doesn't flake off. If it starts flaking off very badly, you're going to lose your blade. But you can lose one or two blades and usually you don't lose the engine. It's an expensive repair, but it's not good to lose an engine.
Student: Where did you work?
Student: I worked at Virgin Galactic.
We do just the spray, because we wouldn't want to spend $2 million for something that we were going to throw away after one use — less than an hour's use. You're only using it for about three and a half minutes. It's the four or five tests you do to make sure it's okay that get the life. So we just do the spongy white zirconia. I haven't ever worked on them, but it's my understanding that cruise missile rocket motors are made out of carbon composites.
[Tom produces a tube of carbon composite.] And speaking of carbon composites, here's a tube of carbon composite. This was designed as a filter. They make it out of carbon composites because the motor only has to last for two hours — it blows itself up at the end if it's successful. This was made by Koch Industries in a research project. Carbon has the best corrosion resistance of any material. It's impervious to most chemicals, and this was going to be a way to recover precious metal catalysts from baths of sulfuric acid. Sulfuric acid won't touch it.
You can see the surface has a sort of woven-fiber appearance. It starts out as polyacrylonitrile, which is a polymer blend, and you wrap it around a mandrel as a plastic cloth. You stick it in a furnace at 1,000° centigrade and decompose the polyacrylonitrile to carbon. But it's not really good carbon until you get it to about 2,000° centigrade and burn off everything except the carbon, and you end up with this. It has some directionality because you had the original fibers of plastic, so you can see the fiber shape. They also put nano powder on the inside to make a porous layer, so they could grade it and have a filter. They wanted to squirt the sulfuric acid with the catalyst inside, have the sulfuric acid go out one way under pressure, and recover the catalyst.
There's a lot of applications for things like this. If you're a chemical engineer — the most widely used inorganic acid is sulfuric acid. It has nothing to do with structural materials, though the filter does. Sulfuric acid is used in lots of chemical plant applications, as precursors, as a catalyst for gasoline production. The nice thing about sulfuric acid is it will absorb water — it's very hydrophilic, it loves water.
An example I used to do — I don't do it in class anymore, I did it once but never again. If you take about one inch of table sugar and put it in a beaker about six inches tall — now do this in a hood. I did it in the classroom down the hall once, about twenty-five years ago. I told the students to set it up because I had done it before in the hood in the lab, and I decided I wanted to do it in the classroom. You take concentrated sulfuric acid and you pour about an inch of sulfuric acid on top of the sugar — about a fifty-fifty split. Anybody know the composition of sucrose? C12 H22 O11. If I take the H2Os out, what am I left with? Carbon. Sulfuric acid is a wonderful desiccant. It will strip all the H2Os out and leave carbon. When you pour the sulfuric acid in, the sugar turns a little gray, then blacker, forms kind of a black liquid, and then you see this big black mass grow up to about six inches high — triples its volume. It also gives off sulfurous acid fumes.
So we canceled class about five minutes early that day. The classroom had a little odor to it — pungent. No one died, it wasn't that bad. Afterwards I went to the students and said, I told you to set this up so I could do it in the classroom. I come back the next day and there's like ten of these masses of carbon. They thought it was so neat — sugar's cheap, sulfuric acid is cheap. I said, didn't you guys have fumes come off? Oh yeah, it smelled terrible, we had to put the cover down on the hood. Well, okay. So next time I'll videotape it if I teach sophomore thermo again.
Sulfuric acid is the most common. The most common organic acid is acetic acid. They make polyacetate sheet and other things out of it. To make acetic acid, you take carbon monoxide and water — I don't remember the exact reaction, you can look it up. But you have to have a catalyst that is either rhodium or iridium. As one chemical engineer told me, you're not really making acetic acid, you're making a catalyst recovery unit. Because if you don't recover all of this fine powder catalyst of iridium or rhodium, you lose your shirt. If you sell that with your acetic acid, you're going to lose all your profit, because all your money is in the catalyst. So that's what that carbon composite is.
§2. Steel, energy, and the monetary exchange material [07:43]
Other questions? Then we'll get back to what we're supposed to be talking about. We had talked about aluminum being canned electricity, and I mentioned last time that China has, in the last six years, increased their aluminum capacity by 250%. The rest of the world's not going up that fast. Some of this is because Ford is now making an F-150 out of aluminum, and people are saying we're going to start making aluminum automobiles, and we'll get to that in a little bit. But I have concluded that China has decided they don't mind being the country that creates all the pollution and essentially is killing their own citizens. They have lots of coal, and the way they're going to export it is by selling aluminum dirt cheap on the world market, which is hurting a lot of the aluminum companies right now.
Another economic lesson — the principal monetary exchange product. Money has little intrinsic value. Thousands of years ago it was all barter — you got some firewood, I got some grain, we'll trade. They came up with money as an easier exchange method. The primary thing before 1870, people were working for food. At the time of the American Revolution, 97% of the American workforce was in agriculture. Only 3% were Ben Franklin and Thomas Jefferson and politicians. We've reversed that today. From 1870 to 1970, for about a hundred years, the primary material was steel. That's because of Henry Bessemer in 1856 discovering a way to make steel in bulk, and Andrew Carnegie became the richest man in the world. In constant dollars, richer than Bill Gates ever has been. Andrew Carnegie made more money than anybody else in his lifetime. Steel was the method of determining the world's economic value.
In 1962 I was twelve years old. I don't remember much about it but I could read the paper. President Kennedy stood down US Steel. US Steel wanted a 10% increase in the price of steel, and Kennedy said roll it back, we're not going to let you have it. US Steel said we're a private company, go pound sand. They didn't actually use that phrase back in 1962, but they had this big fight in the world press. At that time the US steel industry controlled the world market, because after World War II the United States had 75% of the world's steelmaking capacity. Does anybody know why? They had bombed out all the competition. There's nothing better than having a war that's not on your property and bombing out all your competition. These managers thought they were the brightest guys in the world, because they could compete with people whose plants had just had a hundred tons of bombs dropped on them.
We have the same type of management today. We have American managers who think they're so bright because they can beat the Europeans. Well, you can beat the French because the French have laws that don't allow you to hire anybody unless you're going to keep them on the payroll for thirty-five years until they retire. There are things like that in Japan. We have to compete with people who decide they want 30% of their populace in agriculture for historical reasons, and so the price of rice in Japan is ten times the world market price. When I lived in Japan, I thought, what a wonderful gift, I'll bring in wild rice. The Japanese didn't have wild rice — at the time it wasn't cultivated, you could only get it from Minnesota or North Dakota, and the Indians would go collect it. No one had successfully cultivated it. They have, since, in the last ten or fifteen years, but back then no one could. I was told, you're going to go to jail if you bring rice into Japan. Just like the Eskimos have something like fifty words for snow, the Japanese have about fifty words for rice.
They revere rice, and they revere the economic power of the United States. Do you know what the Japanese call the United States, aside from America? Beikoku — which means rice country. If you look at the kanji, bei means rice and koku means country. The Japanese are very impressed with our economic production. So anyway, in '62 Kennedy forced US Steel to roll back prices. Some people in the steel industry would say that was the beginning of the decline — they didn't have enough profitability to add new production capacity. That's really not why they went down, in my opinion, but that's another story.
Starting in the early '70s after the first oil crisis in '72, all of a sudden oil became the commodity. Before that the Saudis could pump oil for $2 a barrel. I remember going with my parents in the '50s and '60s and gasoline was 24 cents a gallon at the pump. Even ten or fifteen years ago in Saudi Arabia, I'm told you just pay a fixed price when you come fill up your car — you might pay a buck fifty to fill up your tank. They've got more oil than they've got water. In fact, water is more expensive than oil even in the United States today.
From 2000 to the present it's really energy. And it's not just oil — whether it's solar or wind or coal or whatever, energy is fungible. We used to price everything on oil, but the world market really is trading on energy today. There's competition among the different types of energy. What difference does this make? If you are the country in whose monetary system the price is based — when they say the oil price today is $36 a barrel for Brent crude, they're quoting it in dollars per barrel. They're quoting gold in dollars per ounce. The dollar is the international standard for international marketing. If a country is having hyperinflation, what does Argentina do? They make the US dollar bill their currency. Because now it's pegged to a country that's considered to have strong economic stability.
What does all that mean? When I lived in Japan in '84 and '85 it was 240 yen to the dollar. Anybody been to Japan in the last twenty-five years? What's the exchange rate? Yeah, it's 40% of what it was before. A 10,000-yen note, an ichiman note, was a $40 bill. Now it's a $100 bill. It's two and a half times as much. What happened? The Japanese loaned us money. They sold us Toyotas, they loaned us the money to buy the Toyotas and also to bankrupt the Soviet Union in Star Wars. And today we're paying them back hundreds of billions of dollars at 40 cents on the dollar. Pretty good, huh? You borrow money at a dollar and you give them back the same amount of yen at 40 cents for every dollar you got.
Who are we doing this to today? Yeah, China, exactly. Only China is holding the line, they're going to hold an artificial price on the international exchange rate for their renminbi, or yuan. Renminbi is the foreign version and yuan is the internal version of Chinese money. We're going to end up paying them back at 20 cents on the dollar. Because someday the Chinese government is going to find they cannot eat dollars. You eat food, you wear clothes, you buy computers — well, we buy the computers from them, but we design the computers for them. We're going to pay them back at 20 cents on the dollar. How much cash in dollars does the Chinese government have right now? $2 trillion. And they're getting to the point where they're getting tired of dollars.
As long as we are the country that determines the price of the monetary exchange — and certainly energy right now is priced in dollars — when these other countries have inflation, we get a discount on what we borrow from them. So you hear about how the United States always has a bad balance of trade. Yeah, it's because we're only going to pay you back at 20 or 40 cents on the dollar. Not a bad deal. I wish I could go to the bank and do that, but I can't. This is international finance.
§3. Energy content of materials [19:27]
We were supposed to be talking about cost and availability of materials. The energy content in megajoules per kilogram: aluminum, when we start with bauxite, takes 250 megajoules per kilogram of aluminum metal produced. If we recycle it, it only takes 15 megajoules. This can be converted almost directly to dollars — you can see it's much more efficient to recycle. Plastics — these numbers were probably based on $80-a-barrel oil — plastics are going to be around 60 to 110. Copper is expensive in energy content. Anybody know why? It's actually fairly easy to reduce — it was one of the first metals cavemen reduced thousands of years ago. It's because it's not very highly concentrated.
Anyone fly out of Salt Lake City and go over the Bingham mine? The world's deepest open-pit mine. Depending on how the plane takes off, you'll look down and see this big hole in the ground that goes down over a mile deep. It's the Kennecott copper mine. They're mining ore there that's only about a half percent copper. You get one pound out of a ton of rock. That's why it's so energy intensive.
Student: So this is the energy that needs to go into producing these materials?
Yep, to go from the ore to the bulk metal.
Student: You can't go the other direction, right? Once you made this —
Oh, we go the other direction — it's called corrosion. And it's actually cost us a lot. But we're not trying to go the other way. Well, you can. If aluminum's canned electricity, you can get almost 250 megajoules per kilogram. There's a student who took this class a couple years ago, Johnny Slocum. His dad's a faculty member in mechanical engineering. Johnny's a graduate student in mechanical, but when he was an undergraduate he found a way to take treated little aluminum spheres and drop them in water. You treat them with tin and gallium — people have been doing this for years, but Johnny found a way to do it reproducibly and quickly. He brings it into my office and he drops it in, and within 15 seconds the entire 5-millimeter sphere of aluminum has consumed itself and generated all kinds of hydrogen.
So we want to have a hydrogen economy. You want to fuel your car with hydrogen. People are trying to figure out how to store the hydrogen in your car. The federal government is spending hundreds of millions of dollars figuring out some way to store compressed hydrogen economically. When I heard President Obama announce this eight years ago, I said, oh yeah, we're going to have a hydrogen economy. You know what a hydrogen flame looks like? You can't see it. Most flames you can see because of the carbon soot, which glows yellow in the heat of the flame. A natural gas flame, if you burn it near stoichiometry, is blue — there's some carbon there, but mostly you're burning to carbon monoxide and carbon dioxide. A poorly combusted flame is yellow.
A hydrogen flame — they have them around chemical plants all the time. They do steam sparging — if you have a hydrogen leak at a chemical plant, rather than fix it, because you'd have to shut down the whole plant, they'll put a steam line right there and release steam to dilute the hydrogen so it won't become explosive. But the other reason they have to do this even for smaller flames is because people have walked right through a burning hydrogen flame. You're going to go fill up your car at some gas station with hydrogen, and if there's a flame there, people are going to be walking through flames all the time. You can add carbon, but now you're defeating some of the other purposes. Plus, where are you going to get the hydrogen? You can get it from a nuclear reactor, or you can get it by burning coal — that doesn't exactly get rid of the carbon dioxide. There are all kinds of problems with this idea of a hydrogen economy. But if you had to fill up your car, you would basically go get a bunch of aluminum pellets and fill up with a tank of water. I think Johnny's getting like 87% efficiency in generating hydrogen. So your question was, can you go the other way? Yeah, people are trying.
There's a little problem — you have to treat it with gallium and with tin, and that's what he's learned how to do. There's some interesting metallurgy about gallium and aluminum not being miscible, and the gallium causes liquid metal embrittlement of the aluminum. Anyway, that's metallurgy — I guess that's what this course is supposed to be about.
So with copper, it's all energy content in the beneficiation, getting the ore to a high concentration. We used to have 6% copper ores in the Belgian Congo, what we now call Zaire, but we used them all. The richest ores in the world now are only around 1 or 2% copper. The Bingham mine has been operating for like 80 years at half a percent. Steel actually has one-fifth the energy content of aluminum, and on the next slide you're going to see that affects the price. Coal — that's megajoules per kilogram. Cast iron is nice and cheap, glass is cheap, cement's even cheaper, wood's cheap, and stone is dirt cheap. Actually, it's stone cheap. Recycled, the energy cost is much less. And that's why recycling is good.
§4. Recycling, virgin material, and history [26:24]
We used to use virgin material for almost everything. When the industrial revolution started — these plots go back to 1870, 1900 — I couldn't find all of these on the same scale yesterday when I created this plot. There's sort of an exponential growth of steel, exponential growth of copper. This is US aluminum production — I couldn't find a good plot for world aluminum production. In around 1970 all of a sudden the Venezuelans, the Paraguayans [Paraguay], the Canadians, and the Norwegians, they all started big hydroelectric plants. A lot of our aluminum production was in big hydroelectric plants — the TVA and Alcoa Tennessee, the Pacific Northwest, the Grand Coulee Dam. They situate aluminum, which is canned electricity, near hydroelectric plants because you can't get it out of where all the water flows. James Bay in Canada is close enough to New England to economically transport it as electricity to New England, but barely — you can't get it to Pennsylvania, you'd lose too much in transmission, unless they start building DC transmission lines through New York. You think people in New York are going to allow that? People in Vermont won't allow it.
Look at the integral underneath these curves. We've recycled steel — today we recycle 70 to 80% of the steel we use. A lot of that is what they call home scrap, where you have stuff left over at the steel mill and it never goes beyond the fence of the steel mill — it just gets remelted into the next process.
The real thing here is, since 1900 or so, we've put an awful lot of steel, copper, and aluminum into the environment. We didn't put any aluminum into the environment to speak of before 1880, when Charles Martin Hall and Paul Héroult developed the process for making inexpensive aluminum. Aluminum was a precious metal before that. There's a nice picture in the book on the history of aluminum by Alcoa: the royal French baby rattle was made out of aluminum. The royal French dinnerware was made out of aluminum because it was lightweight. Aluminum was more expensive than gold because they didn't have a cheap way to make it. Then all of a sudden these two guys come along and form Alcoa and Pechiney, and they have an easy way to make aluminum. Henry Bessemer came along with steel, and copper was basically just increased mining. But we have been putting all this steel into the environment.
And it comes back. Every few years we build a structure and it comes back forty, fifty years later as scrap. After a while you've got so much steel in the environment — I did an estimate once, I think it was 5 trillion tons of steel have gone into the American economy over the last 100 years. We get back over 100 million tons of steel in scrap, and we actually export scrap to the rest of the world. So there's going to be a little blip in here. Although these things are going up exponentially, they're going to start coming down in terms of virgin material. The use is going up but the amount of virgin material versus recycle is going to go way down. You're not going to need to do as much mining of the virgin ore, and you're not going to pay 10, 20, 50 times as much to process it into metal when all you have to do is remelt it. But it's not quite that simple.
§5. Bismuth, lead, and the limits of recycling [31:14]
I've got a couple of examples. One has to do with steel and recycling of steel. Both of these have to do with lead, actually. A few years ago they wanted to get the lead out of the solder in electrical connectors, because lead's toxic. So they were going to replace lead-tin solders with bismuth-tin solders. The steel companies almost had a fit. Because you start putting bismuth-tin solders in automobiles, which are a major part of the recycling of steel scrap, and you make all of the scrap worthless. If you get 10 parts per million bismuth in a steel ingot, it's just a big paperweight. You cannot roll it — it's just brittle. The bismuth goes to the grain boundaries and there's no way to get it out. You can't oxidize it out. You have to go back to the ore. You can purify it out of the ore, but you can't get it out by just remelting the steel. There is no way to do it.
Twenty-five years ago I'd go to these conferences and people would say, we're going to replace lead-tin solder with bismuth-tin solder and save the world from all the lead-tin solder. And I'd say, have you considered the fact that you will no longer be able to recycle steel? And they'd say, what? I said, do you know what happens if bismuth gets in steel? And no, they didn't know. But you haven't seen bismuth-tin on the market because the steel companies know what happens if you get bismuth in steel.
Student: So when you say we cannot recycle the steel by melting it — how do you originally produce iron from iron ore?
We can recycle it, as long as we don't have bismuth impurity. We don't use ores that have bismuth impurity. There's lots of iron ore in the world, and bismuth and iron are not generally compatible in nature. When you produce virgin steel from iron ore, you'll have less than one part per million bismuth. It's when you get to 10 parts per million bismuth, when you start recycling and man starts mixing other things in that nature didn't put together, that you have to be careful. I'm going to talk about how you produce iron from ore in about two weeks when we get to talking about steel per se. This is a longer introduction — Dr. Belar [?] was sort of criticizing me earlier this week for extending my material selection introduction into about half my module.
Traditionally we've always used carbon to reduce the oxides — drive it off as carbon monoxide which becomes CO2, which now is an environmental concern for global warming. When you have one and a half billion tons of steel each year, that's a lot of CO2, and it does have an effect on the total CO2 of the world. We've always been very careful about certain impurities — bismuth is one of the worst. The word has sort of gotten out, but I remember twenty-five years ago these people who were just thinking about soldering didn't look at the whole systems problem of what this means downstream for recycling automobiles. You're still going to have electrical wires and solder joints in automobiles. You can take some of them out but you can't afford to take the whole thing apart.
The other story comes from aluminum. Lead itself is very harmful to aluminum. About seven parts per million lead in aluminum makes the aluminum brittle. They don't mix — the lead goes to the grain boundaries and makes the aluminum brittle. So Alcoa Tennessee was having a problem thirty years ago. They were getting aluminum cans back that had lead impurities. They'd melt everything, do the analysis, find too much lead, scrap it. They had to send it back to the refinery — they couldn't just remelt and recycle. They thought, maybe people are slugging this with lead, since they buy the scrap by the ton — lead has eight times the density of aluminum. It's easy to check — x-ray the bundle and you'll see if there's a slug of lead in there. Aluminum isn't very x-ray dense, and lead is. They did it. They couldn't find people slugging it with lead — that was the first hypothesis.
They started checking smaller things, melting just a bundle at a time, and they found it was stuff coming from Mexico. They started looking, and they found that Mexico still had at that time leaded gasoline. They did a plot along the side of a highway in Mexico — and Mexico didn't have a five-cent deposit on beverage cans. You could plot the lead concentration away from the highway out to about a hundred yards, and it just dropped off. It was the fumes from automobile exhaust falling on cans that people had thrown along the side of the road. People would go collect the cans, and they'd be coated with a very thin layer of lead, but it was enough to contaminate the recycle stream. I said, what do you do? They said, we quit buying scrap from Mexico.
So recycling is not always easy. There are more sophisticated concerns. You have to grade your scrap — you can't mix 6000-series with 5000-series because of the different alloy content. You usually end up downgrading the alloy from some of your better stuff. In some critical applications, like turbine blade alloys, the spec will say you must use virgin material. You can't use recycled because they don't know what's going to be in the recycle. The point is, we're going to be using more and more recycle in the future, a smaller fraction of virgin material, because we have this tremendous resource out there of scrap coming back. We don't have that for certain materials like concrete, because we don't recycle concrete, which is a big problem we'll talk about later.
§6. Ashby plots and the bird-strike case [39:06]
This is an Ashby plot. Material Selection and Mechanical Design — Mike Ashby was professor at Cambridge. I mentioned him before. I showed his plot of materials uses through the ages a couple of days ago. He also came up about 1980 with what are now called Ashby diagrams, where he plots a property of a material over four, five, or six orders of magnitude versus some other property. He has a company called Granta — for $50,000 you can get a 10-dimensional plot in the computer, you plug in what you want and it pops out and tells you what potential materials you can use. If you believe that's a worthwhile thing to do, I've got a bridge in Brooklyn for you. If you want a really coarse cut at something, yeah, it'll tell you. But if you really want to get down to the fine detail, Ashby plots might get you in the ballpark, and they're very useful for understanding the properties of materials. We're going to talk about — there are limits to the strength of materials. At about 1,000 megapascals is the ultimate strength of materials. The energy content varies over a number of orders of magnitude. Foams obviously have low strength and low energy content. We'll see different Ashby plots as we go along.
Strength versus temperature. This came up in the last two weeks. I missed a day last week — had to be down at an inspection of an aircraft — and one guy told a story about the problem of bird strikes. So Monday night my wife wanted to go see Sully, the movie Sully, because my daughter had seen it and said it was worth seeing. It's not a bad movie. It has nothing to do with reality. The NTSB was made a bad guy by Clint Eastwood — they were not a bad guy in the real world. But they made him a bad guy. Clint Eastwood had to sell tickets. It's an entertaining movie — think of it as fiction based on fact. The guy really did land a plane in the Hudson River. That's about as far as the fact goes. It was a bird strike, he lost both engines at 2,800 feet, and he had to land in the Hudson River. He was successful — 155 people all survived.
Here's a flock of birds around a British aircraft. This is an F-111, and this is the composite radar dome, the nose of the aircraft, that hit a bird. The brittle composite just breaks up into a bunch of little fibers. This is a Pratt & Whitney engine after a bird strike. This is actually the leg of a bird sitting on the back of a tail wing. They have to test the engines, and I think it's a two-and-a-half-pound chicken. Years ago they came up with this spec, and the British were having a hard time passing it. Pratt & Whitney was having no problem. So the British sent over a guy from England to watch the bird-strike tests. They take a real engine — $5 million engine — and they throw a bird in it. Now, it's a dead bird. I've got a story about live birds, but that's another story.
The guy watched the test, and Pratt & Whitney was having no problems passing it. As he was walking out, he says, fresh, not frozen. The British were throwing in frozen two-and-a-half-pound chickens. The point is, as a function of temperature, when you get below 32 degrees, chickens get a lot stronger, even if they're dead.
Okay, so maybe I should tell the other story — I like to tell stories. There was a test lab down south of here, out of business now. These guys had a metallurgical test firm, and around 1979 or so I became their metallurgist. I was trying to pay for my house, so I became a consultant. I would go down there and do 500 failure analyses a year. These guys also did non-destructive testing — that was their business. I think they all graduated from high school, but none of them had any real college or scientific background. They were always trying to figure out some way to get rich. They read an article about a tornado that went through Kansas, where all the chickens were plucked alive in the tornado. So they decided it must be the low pressure. They had a little vacuum chamber. They got a dead chicken and threw it in there, pumped it down, took it out, and the feathers were still on it. So they decided it had to be a live chicken.
They got a live chicken, put it in the vacuum chamber, and started pumping it down. They opened it up, and this chicken — I wasn't there, if I had been there I would have stopped this — this chicken kind of stumbles out, and its entrails were coming out the other side. You get pressure — this is no worse than grandmothers drying off their cats in the microwave. Haven't you heard those stories? When microwaves first came out, that was very common. I'll see you tomorrow.