§1. Cost recap: materials are only ten to twenty percent [00:42]
We've been talking about cost and availability of materials. Yesterday I gave you a lot of different metrics and numbers about the value of a pound saved in different industries — shipbuilding, automotive, aerospace, and so on. Those actually varied by two orders of magnitude across each of those industries. And I mentioned that it's only about ten to twenty percent of the actual cost of a fabricated part — inspected, past quality control, and ready to ship — that's actually the material cost.
Everything is not all materials. In fact it's only ten or twenty percent of the cost of a manufactured product. The real costs are things like design, inspection, fabrication. The actual material that goes into the structure of a car, the basic metal frame of a car, is only five hundred to a thousand dollars. So we could talk about all-aluminum vehicles and so on, but the biggest single cost in an automobile is health insurance for the workers. It's about twenty percent of the cost of the car.
§2. Speed and the value of a pound saved [02:14]
You can go down to a finer scale than just two-order-of-magnitude differences between whole industries. One of the things you can look at is speed versus cost. Lightweight is important for structural materials in proportion to how fast an object moves. If you've got a completely stationary object — let's say it has a value of $200 a pound on the frame of a Boeing commercial jet — and then you go to something that goes really fast, like a turbine blade, that $200 a pound could be worth ten times as much as part of a turbine disc, or $2,000 a pound.
Because of that, the Air Force in particular has been looking at, for years, something called a bladed disc, or a BLISK. Right now you have a disc with these turbine blades essentially mechanically joined on the end, and that makes a big fat joint compared to if you could weld them together. That heavier section out at the rim means the hub has to be stronger because of the greater centrifugal force from the weight at the top of the rim. It's a great big flywheel, in a sense. So if you take the weight out up there, you can save weight here. There are follow-ons.
When I tell you it's $200 a pound for the value of a pound saved on an aircraft — back in 1990 we had some students in what's now the LGO program go out to Boeing, and they found it was $188 a pound. My two hundred is rounded to one significant figure, and it's not even that significant, because it can vary by a factor of ten depending on the speed.
To give you an idea, if you save twenty pounds on one of the discs that's spinning around in this engine, you can actually save two hundred pounds on the engine as a whole, due to the corollary weight savings. And that means on the airframe you can save two thousand pounds. Two thousand pounds on the airframe at $200 a pound is worth $400,000. So just getting that weight off the disc, which goes very fast, is very important if you can do it. People spend a lot of time and a lot of modeling to try to do that.
In automotive, it turns out that sprung weight is more important — the weight on the axle, where the wheels are spinning around. The wheels have angular momentum and inertia that the car doesn't have. The car is going forward at the same rate as the tread is going around, but there's more energy in that spinning wheel. So your brakes are more important. People have tried for years to replace cast-iron brake calipers with aluminum, but they had problems because brakes get hot, and if aluminum gets that hot it can distort and deform and your brakes don't work.
§3. X-33 and the V-22: aerospace weight savings at scale [06:34]
In aerospace structures, an example of weight savings being critical to the whole structure is the X-33 spaceplane, which was supposed to replace the Space Shuttle. It was a $1.3 billion NASA project. The X-33 was a half-size vehicle, and it was going to fly all the way from Edwards Air Force Base to Dugway Proving Grounds in Utah. It was going to get up above a hundred miles, which makes it space, but it wasn't going to go around the Earth. It was just a demonstration vehicle. Before SpaceX came along, this was going to be a reusable vehicle. The Space Shuttle, as you remember, was not completely reusable — the main tanks were disposed of every time, and they tried to recover the solid rocket boosters. The actual thing that got up into space was a lot smaller. This whole thing would have gone into space.
In order to meet the design requirements and all the energy it takes to get out of Earth's gravity, you had to make the fuel tanks part of the structure that carries the load. The fuel was going to be hydrogen and oxygen — H2O — one oxygen tank, two hydrogen tanks. So this was a very environmentally friendly vehicle. The tanks themselves had to carry basically all the load. The payload was just a box in here — not a small box. This liquid hydrogen tank, I saw one of them at Edwards Air Force Base, and it's about the size of a two-story house. So you've got three two-story houses here. They had struts in between, and that was the structure; on the outside was just a skin. The outside did not have any substantial structural strength. These three fuel tanks were basically the main structure, and these were Inconel and titanium forgings holding everything together. They were a good size, because the thing weighed hundreds of thousands of pounds.
[Tom holds up a piece of the liquid hydrogen tank.] This is a piece of the liquid hydrogen tank. It's a composite material. It's Nomex honeycomb core — which you may know by the trade name Kevlar — adhesively bonded together, with graphite-fiber-reinforced skin on the outside. It was all adhesively bonded. It was all part of a project in the early 90s, twenty-five years ago, to build the whole thing in 33 months. From contract award to flight was supposed to be 33 months. That was something the Defense Department came up with because of the first Gulf War — they had to retool a lot of their equipment before they invaded Iraq. It took about six months to retool and build things, because the military wasn't designed to fight a desert war. So they learned they had to rapid-prototype. Rapid prototyping was a big buzzword in the early 90s, and this was a $1.3 billion rapid prototyping project. There are lots of problems that go along with that, and in some of the other modules I probably discuss it in more detail.
It didn't work because the composite cost about $12,000 a pound to fabricate. It was $50 million for a 4,000-pound liquid hydrogen tank. So that tank only weighed four thousand pounds, twice the size of a house.
Another aerospace example: the very first all-composite major aircraft. There were small two-seater personal planes that people had made all-composite before, out of fiberglass, but this was the V-22 Osprey, the Marine helicopter. The Air Force has some and the Navy has some, but it was really developed for the Marine Corps. It's a tilt-rotor helicopter — it can fly as a regular two-rotor plane if you tilt the rotors forward, which means it can go 300 miles an hour. Helicopters cannot go 300 miles an hour. Anybody know why? They top out at about 180. It's because the tip of the blade — there's a leading edge and a trailing edge — and when you're going forward at 180 miles an hour and you've got the rotational velocity on top of that, the leading tip gets to supersonic velocities. You get instabilities, your blade falls off, the helicopter comes crashing down. The tilt rotor lets you fly like an airplane and then hover like a helicopter. This was critical in the raid when they got Osama bin Laden — they could come in quietly, not like a noisy helicopter, and then tilt and land in rocky terrain. It was all carbon-fiber composite. It started out supposed to be a $15 million helicopter and ended up $65 million apiece. It's one of the more notable overruns in the Defense Department.
Some things that are very big and heavy but don't go very fast and don't take much energy — it doesn't take much to push something through the water. So you can make this out of steel. You don't need lightweight, you need low cost, because these things are really heavy. Some of these new cruise ships are as big as an aircraft carrier or bigger, and hold more people. Pressure vessels intended to be stationary can be made out of steel and don't move at all. So steel is fine for things that don't move, but when you need to move very quickly you need lightweight, and that means aluminum or fancy composites, which drives the cost up. A lot of money gets spent on light-weighting of materials.
§4. Feeling density: pass-around samples [13:48]
[Tom passes samples around the class: a steel ingot, an aluminum bar, and a magnesium bar.] If you want to feel what lightweight means — someday I've got to get a piece of one-inch aluminum, but this is aluminum ingot, similar in size to a piece of zinc. This is basically the density of steel, about 7.5 specific gravity. This is the density of aluminum, about 2.7. And this is magnesium, about 1.8 or 1.9. Pass them around. Hit your neighbor, bludgeon them. I wanted to get one of beryllium, but beryllium is only 1.6, almost the same as magnesium at 1.8. And a piece of beryllium that size would probably cost on the order of a hundred thousand dollars. I do have a little piece of beryllium I could bring in that I paid $100 for — it's a little mirror that goes into a camera for outer space. So lightweight is important, but only if something moves, and the faster it moves the more important it is. One advantage of plastics is they're lightweight, and so we try to use them in a lot of our applications.
§5. Bonds and the limits to properties [15:14]
Let's change topics. There are inherent limits to the properties of materials. We can't get something stiffer than diamond. Diamond's about 60 million modulus, steel's about 30 million, aluminum about 10 million, most plastics around five million at the top end. Stiffness is related to the strength of the bonds between the atoms. This is a plot of the bond energy between two atoms. If you have an atom at the origin and another one out here, this is the energy well. As they come together they're attracted by different types of bonding, and they reach an equilibrium distance at the bottom of this trough; then they start to repel each other as you try to squeeze the nuclei together. That all relates to things like thermal expansion. The restoring force — the spring constant, the curvature of the bottom of the well — is basically Young's modulus.
Diamond has the highest Young's modulus. The polymers, which have low stiffness, have high thermal expansion. Anybody know what material has the highest coefficient of thermal expansion by far? I was surprised when I discovered this a couple of years ago. Rubber. Elastomers, rubber bands, have a tremendous coefficient of thermal expansion. I'm sure there's some good explanation in the entropy of rubbers.
The forces bonding atoms together can be described as primary bonds — covalent, metallic, or ionic. All three of these have similar energies in kilojoules per mole, or in electron volts, one, two, three eV. Metallic bonds are not as strong as covalent. Covalent would be like diamond, the strongest material we know, or ceramics, typically ionic, almost as strong. Metallic bonds are not as strong, but they interact over a larger distance — more than one atomic distance. These others really only see the bond energy about one atomic distance away. Metallic bonds go for two or three atomic distances, because the electrons form an electron cloud. So an electron originally associated with one atom might have some bond attachment energy with an atom two or three atoms away. That gives metals some of their interesting ductility properties.
Other types of bonds — Van der Waals and hydrogen — are an order of magnitude or more weaker. This is the Achilles' heel of plastics as higher-temperature materials. They're held together with Van der Waals bonds, so their dissociation temperatures don't get above about 300 degrees centigrade, whereas these other things can go to 3,000 centigrade, being ten times stronger. Hydrogen bonds are a special case, stronger than Van der Waals. For the chemists out there, there's another type of bonding I haven't listed: dispersion bonding, which has to do with how things like liquid oxygen or liquid nitrogen form condensed phases. Liquid helium is a special case. Things start behaving in a unified way at lower temperatures, hundreds of degrees centigrade below room temperature.
You can also look at the limits to properties in terms of bonding. This is the enthalpy of a transition — boiling or melting. These are boiling temperatures. The highest boiling temperature of any material is around 6000 degrees, and the highest melting temperature is tungsten at 3,300 — that top point right there. Melting temperature and the energy of the bonds are fairly well correlated, and that's been known for about 200 years as Richards' rule and Trouton's rule.
§6. Stiffness, geometry, and surgical instruments [20:28]
There are limits. I used to consult with a division of Johnson & Johnson that made surgical instruments. Forty years ago, when I tore the cartilage of my knee, if you had to have an orthopedic surgeon do surgery on your knee you'd be in a cast for two or three months and on crutches for about six months, because they had to lay your whole knee open. Then in the 1980s they got to what they called minimally invasive surgery — basically just make a slit on your knee, rather than opening the whole knee. They go in with very fine tools, and I used to work on some of these tools when they break. They'd go in and nibble away the cartilage. They had a little tool called a rongeur — the surgeon just goes in there like a mouse taking a bite of the cartilage, pulls out a piece, takes another bite. He doesn't have to open the whole leg. You wouldn't have to be in a cast for two months — you could be on crutches for two months and walking around two months later. I still have two torn cartilages, one in each knee, because it was such an ordeal to repair them back in the old days. They always wanted to get finer, and they do all kinds of minimally invasive surgery, because you don't have to stay at a hospital as long. It's worth a lot of money to be able to come up with instruments that can do this.
The problem is, you get too slender and things start to bend. They're not stiff enough. There are two ways to get stiffness. You can go to a stiffer material like diamond — diamond's the stiffest material, but it's only two times better than steel. If a factor of two will do it for you, use diamond rather than steel. Doesn't make sense. The other way to get stiffness is to change the cross-section. [Tom holds up a flat plastic strip, then a tubular plastic piece.] This is a flat piece of plastic. This is a similar plastic but tubular. I can bend this one very easily. The other one — I can bend it, but because it's tubular it takes a lot more force. You've got the sectional modulus. You have Young's modulus, which is a property of the material and the bonding, and you have the sectional modulus, which is a function of geometry. Something that's tubular can be lightweight and stiff without being an expensive material. The plastic can be stiffer than steel if you make it big enough with a big enough hole. And this is a nice ductile plastic that doesn't easily fracture.
[Tom snaps a brittle plastic sample.] Watch your eyes. That's a brittle material. This is a ductile material. Different properties.
That type of strength — as a measurement of force — goes back to Galileo. He came up with a beam theory. He didn't have all the sectional modulus formulas, but we now know stiffness goes as the width times the cube of the height — b-h-cubed. Here's his little weight and very fancy tensile machine. Today we can actually do these things in a computer better than Galileo did, with more complex shapes, more complicated load distributions, and we can calculate the stresses easier than we can measure them. For most of my career, when I was your age, it was easier to go out and measure it in a machine. Today the computer codes for stress analysis are so sophisticated that you can do a much better job in the computer if all your assumptions are correct. I love it when people do finite element analysis and try to cram it down my throat, because I can always cram harder back.
§7. From force of fracture to energy of fracture [25:29]
There's more than just force of fracture. It was about the 1880s that people started designing bridges and buildings using Galileo's concepts, but they didn't have the mathematics until the 1880s, when beam theory was developed mathematically. That kept us going very well until World War II, when we learned you also have to understand the energy of fracture. There's the force of fracture, which I just demonstrated, but there's also the energy of fracture — how much energy is absorbed under the stress-strain curve.
In 1901 a Frenchman came up with a Charpy [test]. He took a 1-centimeter-square bar, 10 centimeters long, with a 2-millimeter notch in it, and put it in a machine with a big hammer. These machines have about 240 foot-pounds of energy. If you got hit by this you would know it — it would probably break a number of bones. You measure how much energy is absorbed. The pendulum, with no sample in there, would swing all the way back up — 98 percent of the way, with a little friction in the bearings. If you've got a piece of steel that it has to break, it will absorb energy, and you measure it on a little dial. Pretty simple machine. Typical machine has about 240 foot-pounds; the hammer might weigh 40 or 50 pounds and be lifted a number of feet in the air.
[Tom demonstrates with a sheet of paper.] For a brittle material, the force of fracture can be fairly large. I can pull on this paper with several pounds of force. But the science of fracture mechanics, which started in 1925, basically said: if I put a flaw in the material, a little notch, it takes ounces. You can do this yourself and feel it. Almost no force with a little notch. That's the science of fracture mechanics — the energy of fracture. Take a ductile material like rubber, pull on it with a notch, and it doesn't rip, it doesn't tear. It blunts the crack into a U, and the stress concentration is less. Rubber is very forgiving in fracture mechanics. Paper is brittle. When I put this paper back together it matches — just like I break a coffee cup and put it back together with Krazy Glue, all the parts match. If I broke something that was ductile, it has to stretch.
[Tom produces silly putty.] An example of a material with both ductile and brittle behavior is silly putty. Sorry — it's been a while since I played with silly putty. Silly putty is very ductile. It's almost Newtonian. You can stretch it out like glass. Has anyone ever played with silly putty and pulled it very quickly? It snaps. I have to make it smaller so I'm strong enough to pull it quickly — but it's brittle fracture. Silly putty can be ductile or brittle depending on how fast you fracture it. There are lots of complications, and this has given jobs to metallurgists for decades.
The Charpy bar — if it's ductile, the fracture will be nice and deformed. If brittle, it just snaps, like my piece of clear plastic.
§8. Liberty ships, Irwin, and the Schenectady [30:14]
In World War II we built a number of Liberty ships. Henry Kaiser — heard of Kaiser Aluminum, or Kaiser Permanente health care? Same Henry Kaiser — decided we could build ships just like we build automobiles on a mass-production line. This is from one of his shipyards in Oregon, and they built thousands of Liberty ships for World War II, and T2 tankers, which were basically the same thing. They weren't very large ships, but they built them. And they broke up in two. There's a Navy report from 1946 after the war, and the classic picture is the USS Schenectady. This was at dry dock on the West Coast — just kind of broke in two from brittle fracture, no one got hurt. This other one was in the North Atlantic in the middle of the ocean. That would be a little more traumatic.
A couple of years ago they did a movie on a Coast Guard rescue off Cape Cod. True story from 1952. The T2 tanker — same class as the Liberty ships, only seven years after World War II — split open, and the Coast Guard had to go out and rescue them. If you've seen the movie.
Back to the report: "Design and Methods of Construction of Welded Steel Merchant Vessels," report to the Secretary of the Navy, 1946. This whole problem led to three research groups. One was the Welding Institute in Great Britain, formed in 1946 because of the ships breaking up. George Irwin, head of the mechanics division at the U.S. Naval Research Laboratory in Washington DC, is now called the father of fracture mechanics because of the studies he did on the Liberty ships. The third place was here at MIT — Morris Cohen and a few other people doing the science of brittle fracture.
From the report: there were 4,700 welded steel merchant vessels. Almost a thousand suffered casualties involving fractures — all brittle fractures. 24 vessels had a complete fracture of the strength deck. One vessel sustained a complete fracture at the bottom. Eight vessels were lost, 26 lives were lost. In steel, this type of fracture occurs at low temperatures and in heavy seas. Heavy seas just means high stress.
People studied this through the 1950s. George Irwin took a formula — not a very complex formula — that had been developed in 1925 by Alan Griffith in England. Griffith was studying brittle fracture of glass. Anyone ever seen glass cut? You score it with a little diamond or a carbide tool, and then you whack it. It breaks right where the notch is. Same as the brittle paper — glass is more brittle than paper, and you need an even smaller notch, just a thousandth-of-an-inch scratch, to cut through half-inch glass by whacking it with the heel of your hand.
Here's the math. The fracture toughness of the material equals the stress applied times the square root of pi-a. That comes out of the formula, and this is called the fundamental equation of fracture mechanics. You might know the force of fracture — stress equals force over area, simple. The energy of fracture all boils down to this, with whole books written for different geometries.
Alan Wells — he's up here because he wrote a letter for my tenure case — also worked in the 1950s. Ever heard of the Comet aircraft? He was the one who figured out why the Comets came down. The Comet was one of the first jets to fly across the Atlantic, and they were just falling out of the sky. They were at the bottom of the ocean and no one could figure out why. Alan Wells came along and said: square corners, not a good idea — stress concentrations, you get cracks. They had to prove it, but they did.
§9. Modes, the Ashby plot, and where steel sits [35:21]
Fracture toughness is now measured with a compact tension specimen. I've shown you one of these in granite. You have three modes of fracture. Mode 1 is pure tensile — you pull on the compact tension specimen with a notch in it and it grows that way. Mode 2 is a shear fracture — push one end in and pull the other out. Mode 3 is another form of shear in the opposite direction, where you're basically tearing. The behavior changes depending on the thickness of the material. So you have plane stress, mixed mode, and plane strain — different stress states. This has kept mechanical engineers and metallurgical engineers busy for the last 50 years. In practice most metallurgists ignore it, which you do at your peril — both in design and in understanding failure. Most of the time you can understand failure with fracture mechanics easier than with great big fancy finite element programs.
Fracture toughness versus strength. Strength here is the force of fracture, a stress. Fracture toughness is K-1-C — we don't have to get into the details. This is an Ashby plot for all the different materials. Way up here, you want high strength and high toughness, if the thing's not going to fracture. Where do we have the best material? Steel. I told you, you're going to get tired of my using the word steel. Most people at MIT know how to spell steel with two E's, not with an A. You also have composites in there, approaching metals. Copper alloys, nickel alloys, can be better than some of the steels. Titanium alloys are in there. Aluminum is not anywhere near as good. One of the guys who was director of research at U.S. Steel — he'd been a professor at Lehigh when I was a young engineer — called aluminum "the near metal" because it wasn't as strong or energy-absorbent as steel. But you can get around some of those problems.
Here are your fancy ceramics, considerably lower in both toughness and strength, but primarily in toughness. Things people used in ancient times — cement and pottery. Woods are here. Woods are actually pretty good. They have a fibrous nature, with properties perpendicular and parallel to the grain. Polymers basically bite the dust when it comes to real strength and toughness. But that doesn't mean these things can't be used in different applications, because of other advantages.
That's one of the things about selection of materials. First decide what industry, because I need to know whether it's $2 a pound or $200 a pound. That throws out 90 percent of the materials in most cases. I need to know how fast something goes, to see if I can pay a premium. Then I need temperature capability. If room temperature is all I need, in many cases plastics are fine — easy to manufacture. I can form plastics much easier than I can form metals or ceramics. If I need really high temperatures, I may have to go to ceramics, but then I have brittleness problems. So there are certain regimes, and if you ask the questions we've already been over, you'll be able to figure out what types of materials to look at.
§10. Irwin's ratio analysis diagram and safety factors [40:01]
Out of all this stuff George Irwin looked at, he came up with something we don't use very much anymore, but I still think it's a useful way to look at different classes of metals. Irwin was funded a lot by Rickover and the submarine programs in the 50s. This is the ratio analysis diagram for steel — toughness versus strength, the two criteria, energy of fracture versus force of fracture. All the steels in the world fall in this big band. You can have very tough steel at low strength, or very strong steel at lower toughness, and the question is, how tough is tough enough? These lines tell you, for a given stress level, what size flaw you can tolerate in inches. This is in thousands of pounds per square inch, this is in foot-pounds of energy absorption — kind of a sharp, great big Charpy test. Here you can tolerate a two-millimeter flaw in steel at this strength level — 220,000 psi, about 800 MPa, very strong. If you're at yield strength, you could tolerate that two-millimeter Charpy and still have a fair amount of ductility. At half yield, your critical flaw size is a centimeter. At typical design stresses — maybe a third — you might have three-quarters of an inch as a critical flaw size in a piece of steel even at 200 ksi.
Student: Do you expect — what stress level — for an airplane versus a bridge, what's the range on that?
Let's go with a building. I'll go to the structural welding code, or to the American Institute of Steel Construction, and — based on yield stress rather than ultimate tensile stress — it's typically about two-thirds of yield. That's for the base material. The weld metal will be one-third of yield. We have twice as much safety factor for welds because we know they're going to have defects in them. So it depends on whether it's a straight steel plate or a welded plate. This is all in the Structural Welding Code of the American Welding Society and in the American Institute of Steel Construction for buildings. The safety factor is 1.67 on force. Then the question is, do you need an energy-of-fracture criterion for a building? We never really worried about that a whole lot after the 1950s, when Irwin explained how important the energy of fracture was. We didn't change the building codes. So when the Northridge earthquake hit Southern California in the 1990s, buildings snapped in the earthquake and caused billions of dollars worth of damage. In the 1990s, forty years after Irwin, we started incorporating impact, or energy-of-fracture requirements, into the steel in buildings.
Now, you asked about a bridge. The safety factor for a bridge isn't 1.67 on strength — it's 2.0. For a building, safety factor on strength is 1.67. For a bridge — steel in general, and this sort of applies to aluminum too — it's 2.0. For impact, in bridges and buildings, this was all incorporated about 1990 — finally, forty years late, after billions of dollars of loss at Northridge. For aircraft, it's mostly fatigue and it's aluminum, and like bridges it's about 2.0, going up to 10.0 on safety factor.
Why? You can tolerate a crack in a bridge. The bridge won't come falling down because we have a redundant structure — built sort of as an egg-crate construction. Lots of different ways to design bridges. I had a building in New York City — a nine-foot crack in a nine-foot beam at the bottom of the building. A 20-story building over the George Washington Bridge approach into Manhattan, in a pretty rough area of town. When I went there, there were all these little empty plastic capsules on the sidewalk. The building manager's office was bolted in about ten different bolts, big heavy bolts, like a prison door. I went in to look at this nine-foot crack in a nine-foot beam, but they had another ten beams holding the building up. So there's redundancy. They had to shut down one or two of the lanes on the approach into New York City, which is a problem. When the tenants heard about the crack in the basement, they wanted to go get some of the crack.
For aircraft, we've known about impact since the 1990s and had some criteria, mostly because people like Boeing and the Air Force are faster adopters than the civil engineers for bridges and buildings. Does that answer your question? It's a long involved answer to something that depends on the industry, the type of building or bridge, the type of material. And there are still industries that have not yet figured out what they should have learned from Northridge.
§11. Critical flaw size, what we can detect, and the Sea Wolf [47:14]
Back to this — the ratio analysis diagram for steel. If I look at more typical strength steels, like the highest-strength steel in a bridge on a highway, which is 100 ksi — over here — my critical flaw size is like two and a half inches. If the design strength is three-fifths or half of yield, my critical flaw size is two and a half inches. I'm not going to have brittle fracture. We've designed that out, in general.
Student: [Do the codes treat the flaw as a sharp crack?]
In general the codes treat it as a sharp crack because they don't know — they take the most conservative approach. If you know your flaw is porosity, you can tolerate five times the size flaw, because porosity is a blunt notch, not a crack. Most codes will say no cracks allowed, period. If you really know you have a statically loaded structure like a building, there are cracks in everything. Back in the 1980s the Air Force wanted to run an acoustic emission study on airplanes with cracks in them, to see if they could detect cracks using acoustic emission — when a crack grows it sends out a little burst of noise and you pick it up on a sensor. The general said: you're not flying one of my aircraft with a crack. So they had to go to Australia, because the Australian generals were smarter — they knew their planes were full of cracks. The planes you ride on, that you go to Logan Airport and get on, are full of cracks, folks. But we know how big a crack we can tolerate.
Brian's going to talk later this semester about how we detect flaws. Typically we can detect flaws an eighth of an inch in size or larger, with about ninety percent accuracy. So if critical flaw size is two and a half inches, what do I have to worry about a half-inch flaw for? I have this all the time — people come to me and say, oh, we found a sixteenth-of-an-inch flaw. I say, forget it. We don't even try to find those, because we cannot reliably find them, they're too small. I'll say: I can do fracture mechanics, and I can prove to you that you'd have to have a one-inch flaw before you should worry. And we know how fast they grow in fatigue. It's called structural life assessment. Dr. Belmar has a module on it. Whole books written on it.
Student: [If there are many small flaws clustered together, is it like the weakest link, or does it act as one big flaw?]
Yeah. If it's full of them, it's like a piece of perforated paper. I can tear this paper off and I know exactly where it's going to rip, because it's perforated at the top. That's a cumulative set of defects. Sometimes when we process materials — when we bond them together — we have a weak line at the bond because it's full of porosity or inclusions, and we worry about that. Over time people have developed a certain amount of experience. For porosity, I go to the structural welding code, and for a given strength steel I can tolerate six pores no larger than an eighth of an inch in a 12-inch length of weld. Six little BBs in 12 inches. If you have clustered porosity, they usually say draw a big circle around it and treat it as one big pore — a little conservative, but the best you can do. Only in the last five to ten years has fracture mechanics been able to actually calculate the fracture behavior of clustered porosity — it's very complex, getting those stress fields to overlap. So we usually just say treat it as one big flaw. If you do that, you'll reject a lot of things that would be fine.
To give you a specific example: in 1992 the US Navy was building a two-billion-dollar submarine down in Groton, Connecticut, called the Sea Wolf — the 21st-century submarine. It had been designed by Captain Millard Firebaugh, an MIT grad who got his PhD in what's now Course 13, then Ocean Engineering. He was in charge of designing the Sea Wolf in the 1980s, when I first met him. They built it in 1992. A guy was grinding the outside surface of the hull. The hull has to be about 30 feet in diameter, plus or minus a quarter of an inch, smooth. Little ripples of a quarter of an inch — like weld reinforcement — create sonar noise, and they'll find you. So a guy was grinding this and he noticed, as he was grinding, the swarf — anybody know what swarf is? If you like Scrabble, that's not a bad Scrabble word. Swarf is the particles that come off in grinding. He saw the swarf was lining up in sixteenth-of-an-inch lines. The welds were full of little sixteenth-inch cracks, and they hadn't found them. They had done their inspections, but their equipment is designed to find an eighth of an inch and larger, because that's what the standard says, because that's what you can reliably find. He noticed it, said, I've never seen that before, told somebody, and they found the entire submarine — eighteen percent of the hull was completed — full of these little cracks.
Captain Firebaugh was now Admiral Firebaugh, chief engineer of the Navy. He asked for companies and two individuals — and I was one of the two individuals — to come down and advise the Navy on looking over General Dynamics' shoulder and saying, how are you going to repair this? If you take my welding metallurgy course you'll hear the rest of the story, but they did repair it at a cost of two billion dollars. Congress was not necessarily happy.
I remember going to one of these meetings — the second meeting, I think — and I was introduced to two captains in the Navy. One of them owned the submarines out there, and the other one maintained them. Division of labor. They wanted to know — because on some of the earlier submarines they hadn't built the entire hull out of this 100-ksi steel; they were using the old HY-80. But just to get experience with 100-ksi steel, they had built small circular sections of the hull out of HY-100. They wanted to know if they were going to have to derate these submarines that were out there floating around in the ocean. I said no, you don't have to worry about it. Fracture mechanics says the critical flaw size is probably three or four inches in your steel. They design it so the critical flaw size is thicker than the thickness of the steel. I can't tell you the thickness of the hull, because that's classified. And if you knew it, and you also knew the 30-foot diameter — which is not classified, anyone can take a picture of a ship and tell — you could calculate how deep the ship can go.
I can't tell you how thick the wall is. But I can tell you that in Rhode Island, where they build these things, they turn them up on their side like a coffee cup. They weld four vertical seams at a time rather than one horizontal seam — they can go faster. They built a hundred-million-dollar building to do this inside, because the Soviet satellites could take a picture of the end of that cylinder and measure the thickness from a hundred miles above to within a quarter of an inch.
I said: no, you don't have to worry about it, your critical flaw size is probably three to five inches. What it means is, when these things come back for maintenance every year or every two years, you should go in and use non-destructive test techniques to see if those little sixteenth-of-an-inch cracks have grown. If they haven't grown bigger than an eighth of an inch, send it out again. You'll probably be able to go out for the entire life of the submarine. You don't have to derate it. They can go at maximum depth and maximum stress. Just do a little extra inspection when you come back from maintenance.
That's how we live with aircraft. The aircraft have fatigue cracks all over them. What we learn is where those cracks grow. We know where to look. It's not just a guessing game. We have a lot of experience, and that's what structural life assessment is all about.
There's a ratio analysis diagram for aluminum which you can study, and there's one for titanium. We'll conclude the videotaping with that. When I'm here on Monday we'll go back through some of these things. We've now sort of completed the videotaping for MITx, and we can go in and you can ask questions to your heart's delight. I much prefer when you ask a question, so I can digress.