Shuttle launch reliability
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They plotted it wrong. They plotted blow-by and they didn't plot — they actually did have the data on there. This is one of the plots, and they have the temperature of the expected day. This is SRM 25, the 25th shuttle flight. They had 24 successful shuttle launches, and NASA had done a multimillion-dollar study showing that the probability of having a failure on liftoff of a shuttle was one in 10,000.